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Old 11-12-2012, 12:18 PM
 
25,021 posts, read 27,927,795 times
Reputation: 11790

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Quote:
Originally Posted by katzpaw View Post
All This Over 407,000 Votes? - Ricochet.com

"Obviously there's plenty of soul-searching and blame-giving to go through, but as we hear what the liberal media think about what the right needs to do to improve (how generous of them -- really), could we keep these figures in mind?"

Margin of victory:
Florida: 73,858
Ohio: 103,481
Virginia: 115,910
Colorado: 113,099

Those four states, with a collective margin of, 406,348 for Obama, add up to 69 electoral votes. Had Romney won 407,000 or so additional votes in the right proportion in those states, he would have 275 electoral votes.
It's also worth noting how many votes Ron Paul got would have gone to Romney if Paul never ran? Let's not forget that either, Ron Paul could have cost Romney the election since he got at least ~100k write-ins in every battleground state
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:19 PM
 
Location: Dallas, TX
31,767 posts, read 28,813,019 times
Reputation: 12341
Quote:
Originally Posted by katzpaw View Post
Obama won by over 3.4 million votes and with over 50% of the votes.

Compare this with past "mandates". In most past elections the victor had close to 50% of the vote:

Winner % of votes:
1960 49.7% Kennedy vs Nixon
1964 61.1% Johnson vs Goldwater
1968 43.4% Nixon vs Humphrey vs Wallace
1972 60.7% Nixon vs McGovern
1976 50.1% Carter vs Ford
1980 50.8% Reagan vs Carter vs Anderson
1984 58.8% Reagan vs Mondale
1988 53.4% Bush vs Dukakis
1992 43.0% Clinton vs Bush vs Perrot
1996 49.2% Clinton vs Dole vs Perrot
2000 47.9% Bush vs Gore
2004 50.7% Bush vs Kerry
2008 52.9% Obama vs McCain
2012 50.6% Obama vs Romney
That is better than the "mandate" Bush was said to have when he won by fewer votes against Kerry.

Quote:
Originally Posted by theunbrainwashed View Post
It's also worth noting how many votes Ron Paul got would have gone to Romney if Paul never ran? Let's not forget that either, Ron Paul could have cost Romney the election since he got at least ~100k write-ins in every battleground state
Damn, Ron Paul is the problem. Republicans, unite (again).
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:25 PM
 
48,502 posts, read 96,838,702 times
Reputation: 18304
Quote:
Originally Posted by katzpaw View Post
All This Over 407,000 Votes? - Ricochet.com

"Obviously there's plenty of soul-searching and blame-giving to go through, but as we hear what the liberal media think about what the right needs to do to improve (how generous of them -- really), could we keep these figures in mind?"

Margin of victory:
Florida: 73,858
Ohio: 103,481
Virginia: 115,910
Colorado: 113,099

Those four states, with a collective margin of, 406,348 for Obama, add up to 69 electoral votes. Had Romney won 407,000 or so additional votes in the right proportion in those states, he would have 275 electoral votes.
Oe alos has to look at the final rsults ;wehich was that nothig real wqas gaiby either party as far as staus. It was not 2008but a repeat of the midterm with expceted sittig presdient winningbin close race.thatwas because of the econmy.But looking at the local and state house results it was conitnuing gains for repulbicans. Also the growth states they increased their domiance.With popualtio shiftas the Demnoicrats have to rethink just what the future ocer time willresult in. Thyey are kiddig themselves ig they think that race can amke a difference unles there is a better economy.its as Clinto said in the end .
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:28 PM
 
Location: Stasis
15,823 posts, read 12,461,965 times
Reputation: 8599
I'll apply a sports analogy that applies to both but more to Gore than Romney - if you play such a bad game that it comes down to a tie and victory is based on penalty kicks or a ref's call on 1 play, and you lose, then you only have yourself to blame.
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:30 PM
 
Location: Wisconsin
25,581 posts, read 56,471,152 times
Reputation: 23381
Quote:
Originally Posted by texdav View Post
Oe alos has to look at the final rsults ;wehich was that nothig real wqas gaiby either party as far as staus. It was not 2008but a repeat of the midterm with expceted sittig presdient winningbin close race.thatwas because of the econmy.But looking at the local and state house results it was conitnuing gains for repulbicans. Also the growth states they increased their domiance.With popualtio shiftas the Demnoicrats have to rethink just what the future ocer time willresult in. Thyey are kiddig themselves ig they think that race can amke a difference unles there is a better economy.its as Clinto said in the end .
More "math you are continuing to tell yourself as a Republican to feel better."

Dems gained in the Senate. Dems gained in the House.

Gerrymandering has unseated Dems who normally would have won. It is a false result.

You are kidding yourself - which is what Republicans do to make themselves feel better.

Keep it up. You are on the path to extinction.
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:41 PM
 
Location: On the "Left Coast", somewhere in "the Land of Fruits & Nuts"
8,852 posts, read 10,454,406 times
Reputation: 6670
Quote:
Originally Posted by katzpaw View Post
I don't support the argument - just presenting it as "Math You Do As a Republican to Make Yourself Feel Better".
Gee, guess we'll have to add that one to the list (which is starting to get dam near as long as the list of Obama "nicknames")!

17 best excuses for Romney’s defeat

Six Absurd Republican Excuses for Mitt Romney’s Defeat

30 Really Lame Republican Excuses For Losing The Election
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:47 PM
 
3,697 posts, read 4,996,285 times
Reputation: 2075
This argument suggests a lack of understanding of math and probability.

Obama won 332 EV. To Romeney’s 206. Obama needs 270 to win, Romeny needs 269 to tie and force it to the house.

332 minus 69 gives 263.

If Obama won just one of the states he would have 270 or more: FL(29), OH(18), VA(13), CO(9).

Which is more likely to happen, Obama win one of those states or Romeny all 4!
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:50 PM
 
Location: DC
6,848 posts, read 7,989,918 times
Reputation: 3572
Quote:
Originally Posted by katzpaw View Post
All This Over 407,000 Votes? - Ricochet.com

"Obviously there's plenty of soul-searching and blame-giving to go through, but as we hear what the liberal media think about what the right needs to do to improve (how generous of them -- really), could we keep these figures in mind?"

Margin of victory:
Florida: 73,858
Ohio: 103,481
Virginia: 115,910
Colorado: 113,099

Those four states, with a collective margin of, 406,348 for Obama, add up to 69 electoral votes. Had Romney won 407,000 or so additional votes in the right proportion in those states, he would have 275 electoral votes.
So you're telling us that If Romney hand't lost, he would have won? LOL
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Old 11-12-2012, 12:54 PM
 
6,129 posts, read 6,809,038 times
Reputation: 10821
It's not the margin by which he won, it's the fact that he won decisively in every single demographic that is projected to increase it's share of the electorate in the coming years, and he did it consistently across the country. Black people, Hispanics, Asians, and the gay-friendly... these groups will only increase in electoral influence.

Not to mention he set up a hell of a ground game. If he leaves it in place for 2016 watch out.

Republicans benefited greatly from the gerrymandering of districts in their favor on the congressional level. The slide in congress might have been worse without it.
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Old 11-12-2012, 01:02 PM
 
35,309 posts, read 52,292,554 times
Reputation: 30999
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tinawina View Post
It's not the margin by which he won, it's the fact that he won decisively in every single demographic that is projected to increase it's share of the electorate in the coming years, and he did it consistently across the country. Black people, Hispanics, Asians, and the gay-friendly... these groups will only increase in electoral influence.

.
It kinda went exactly as all the polls had predicted,except the FOX polls that had Romney winning in a landslide, heck even Limbaugh was saying Romney big..
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