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Old 02-20-2013, 10:13 PM
 
Location: New York City
4,036 posts, read 8,652,208 times
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Can Republicans Win the Senate in 2014? - NYTimes.com

The takeaways:
Summing up the possibilities across all 35 Senate races yields a net gain of four to five seats for Republicans, just short of the six they would need to win back the majority.
and
Considering the uncertainty in the landscape, estimates from betting markets that Democrats have about a 63 percent chance of holding their majority appear to be roughly reasonable.
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Old 02-20-2013, 10:23 PM
 
4,749 posts, read 3,466,405 times
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That, of course, does not take into account the massive damage that the republicans could sustain if the sequester goes through and rolls back all of the economic gains we've made over the past two to three years.
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Old 02-20-2013, 10:44 PM
 
Location: NC
10,005 posts, read 8,719,959 times
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Also if the past two election cycles are any indication. The GOP can be expected to tea party torpedo 2-3 of their best shots for winning or holding seats. I am thinking this is a real possibility in West Virginia, Iowa, and Georgia.
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Old 02-21-2013, 06:02 AM
 
Location: "Daytonnati"
4,245 posts, read 5,751,497 times
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I think CV is that the party out-of-power in the WH picks up seats in Congress, so Slivers predicition isnt that off.
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Old 02-21-2013, 06:09 AM
 
71,504 posts, read 30,049,876 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Randomstudent View Post
Also if the past two election cycles are any indication. The GOP can be expected to tea party torpedo 2-3 of their best shots for winning or holding seats. I am thinking this is a real possibility in West Virginia, Iowa, and Georgia.
Shelley Capito is the candidate in WV and the Dems are finding it hard to even find anyone to run against her.
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Old 02-21-2013, 06:41 AM
 
77 posts, read 67,551 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
Shelley Capito is the candidate in WV and the Dems are finding it hard to even find anyone to run against her.
She is a candidate.

And she had been a candidate for all of about three hours before Club For Growth made it clear how unhappy they are with the thought of her as the GOP nominee for the seat.
Club for Growth whacks Capito - POLITICO.com

My guess is that she will probably be the nominee. That said, Club For Growth is probably looking for the West Virginia equivalent of Richard Mourdock to run against her.
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Old 02-21-2013, 06:46 AM
 
71,504 posts, read 30,049,876 times
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She will be the new Senator from WV. I may not agree with everything she does but it doesn't matter. She will be the new Senator.

Besides, you said the Tea Party would be the one to come out against her. This is where you argument devolves into the truther, birther realm. For so many whenever anyone does something they disagree with they say it was the Tea Party.

I suppose you would go along with the idea that those who dislike gays should be able to blame everything they dislike on gays? A shooter in a school? He must be gay.
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Old 02-21-2013, 06:49 AM
 
77 posts, read 67,551 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dayton Sux View Post
I think CV is that the party out-of-power in the WH picks up seats in Congress, so Slivers predicition isnt that off.
Yeah, it's hard to see the GOP not gaining some seats, given the fact that it's a mid-term as well as the fact that the lay of the land simply looks so good for Republican candiates (ie, the Democrats are defending more seats, many of them in red states, and all but one of the seats -- Maine -- the GOP is defending are in red states).
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Old 02-21-2013, 06:55 AM
 
77 posts, read 67,551 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
She will be the new Senator from WV. I may not agree with everything she does but it doesn't matter. She will be the new Senator.

Besides, you said the Tea Party would be the one to come out against her. This is where you argument devolves into the truther, birther realm. For so many whenever anyone does something they disagree with they say it was the Tea Party.

I suppose you would go along with the idea that those who dislike gays should be able to blame everything they dislike on gays? A shooter in a school? He must be gay.
You're confusing me with someone else; I said absolutely nothing about the Tea Party.

Like you, I don't know precisely how this race will pan out (though I have made it clear that I think Capito will be the nominee -- if she is, she will be the overwhelming favorite).

Unlike you, I am fully aware that I don't know precisely how this race will pan out.

And where on earth you get that embarassing tangent on school shooters is beyond me. You seriously need to take a deep breath and respond to individuals, not to baseless assumptions of your own creation.
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Old 02-21-2013, 07:01 AM
 
71,504 posts, read 30,049,876 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jestak View Post
You're confusing me with someone else; I said absolutely nothing about the Tea Party.
Sorry, you are right, it wasn't your argument. I apologize.
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