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Old 11-04-2013, 05:49 AM
 
27,872 posts, read 8,789,055 times
Reputation: 2930
Default 2014 Midterms - Incumbent Dems in Trouble

Quote:
In Democratic districts, net incumbent approval has plummeted by 11 points, from +8 approval to +3 disapproval. In Republican districts, incumbent approval has gone down only 4 points. You see the same results when they ask a question about warmth of feeling toward incumbents: It's down 7 points in Republican districts and 9 points in Democratic districts.

This isn't good news for Democrats.
New Poll Shows Democratic Incumbents in Big Trouble | Mother Jones
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Old 11-05-2013, 04:16 AM
 
Location: Cherokee Nation
27,576 posts, read 10,501,712 times
Reputation: 6086
This is not just Democrats. It is the Progressive incumbents, in both parties that will see a Conservative surge.
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Old 11-05-2013, 05:03 AM
 
Location: Old Bellevue, WA
12,502 posts, read 4,544,977 times
Reputation: 4985
Obamacare looks to be the gift that keeps on giving for the GOP. It was a big part of taking back the house in 2010. It seems unlikely that the mess will be sufficiently cleaned up in 12 short months.

Passing landmark, sea-change, 2700 page legislation with zero bi-partisan support, using a parliamentary trick to avert filibuster in the Senate....bad idea. From what I've read, neither social security nor Medicare were done in that manner.
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Old 11-05-2013, 06:15 AM
 
3,118 posts, read 1,093,538 times
Reputation: 1062
the seats are too gerrymandered for there to be a wave either way. also, another report suggested 48 house gopers were in potential danger. too early for these guessing games. wait until next summer.
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Old 11-06-2013, 11:39 AM
 
Location: Billerica, MA
3,352 posts, read 3,931,787 times
Reputation: 1109
The Tea Party is not as much in trouble as people think. Remember, they come from districts that are strongly supportive of them. If the Obamacare rollout mess continues, however, Democrats are in bigger trouble in more politically-mixed districts.

Of course, there could also be some random GOPer with some affair or saying some stupid comment about women. These seem to always happen in even years.
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Old 11-06-2013, 11:43 AM
 
6,223 posts, read 1,846,052 times
Reputation: 2920
Guess what? Those numbers are going to get EVEN WORSE for the Democrats once the employer mandate hits next year.
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Old 11-06-2013, 12:07 PM
 
Location: Northern VA
2,555 posts, read 1,572,277 times
Reputation: 1597
Don't Stop, Believing...

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Old 11-06-2013, 12:37 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
32,040 posts, read 8,793,422 times
Reputation: 5262
Is that like the Tea Party surge we saw in 2012 when they took over both branches of Congress and the Presidential election? I am sure 2014 will be a repeat of 2012 when the Tea Party scored big.
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Old 11-06-2013, 12:53 PM
 
17,683 posts, read 4,534,088 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Guess what? Those numbers are going to get EVEN WORSE for the Democrats once the employer mandate hits next year.
Trace, It's unbelievable that they haven't figured out why Obama delayed the mandate for a year for a reason. They'll keep ignoring any reference to it. It will have to hit them in the pocket before they get it.

Millions will lose their insurance and will have to pay higher premiums and deductibles.
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Old 11-06-2013, 01:04 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
32,040 posts, read 8,793,422 times
Reputation: 5262
Quote:
Originally Posted by petch751 View Post
Trace, It's unbelievable that they haven't figured out why Obama delayed the mandate for a year for a reason. They'll keep ignoring any reference to it. It will have to hit them in the pocket before they get it.

Millions will lose their insurance and will have to pay higher premiums and deductibles.
You keep telling yourself that when you are watching Republicans lose seats in Congress in 2014.
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