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Old 11-04-2013, 05:49 AM
 
59,400 posts, read 26,111,985 times
Reputation: 7198

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In Democratic districts, net incumbent approval has plummeted by 11 points, from +8 approval to +3 disapproval. In Republican districts, incumbent approval has gone down only 4 points. You see the same results when they ask a question about warmth of feeling toward incumbents: It's down 7 points in Republican districts and 9 points in Democratic districts.

This isn't good news for Democrats.
New Poll Shows Democratic Incumbents in Big Trouble | Mother Jones
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Old 11-05-2013, 04:16 AM
 
Location: The Republic of Texas
56,903 posts, read 28,844,621 times
Reputation: 11985
This is not just Democrats. It is the Progressive incumbents, in both parties that will see a Conservative surge.
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Old 11-05-2013, 05:03 AM
 
Location: Old Bellevue, WA
18,006 posts, read 13,022,962 times
Reputation: 7648
Obamacare looks to be the gift that keeps on giving for the GOP. It was a big part of taking back the house in 2010. It seems unlikely that the mess will be sufficiently cleaned up in 12 short months.

Passing landmark, sea-change, 2700 page legislation with zero bi-partisan support, using a parliamentary trick to avert filibuster in the Senate....bad idea. From what I've read, neither social security nor Medicare were done in that manner.
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Old 11-05-2013, 06:15 AM
 
3,624 posts, read 2,881,724 times
Reputation: 1499
the seats are too gerrymandered for there to be a wave either way. also, another report suggested 48 house gopers were in potential danger. too early for these guessing games. wait until next summer.
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Old 11-06-2013, 11:39 AM
 
Location: Norman, OK
3,479 posts, read 6,074,277 times
Reputation: 1187
The Tea Party is not as much in trouble as people think. Remember, they come from districts that are strongly supportive of them. If the Obamacare rollout mess continues, however, Democrats are in bigger trouble in more politically-mixed districts.

Of course, there could also be some random GOPer with some affair or saying some stupid comment about women. These seem to always happen in even years.
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Old 11-06-2013, 11:43 AM
 
12,641 posts, read 6,694,057 times
Reputation: 7444
Guess what? Those numbers are going to get EVEN WORSE for the Democrats once the employer mandate hits next year.
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Old 11-06-2013, 12:07 PM
 
2,633 posts, read 2,896,416 times
Reputation: 1660
Don't Stop, Believing...

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Old 11-06-2013, 12:37 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,055 posts, read 27,404,262 times
Reputation: 7819
Is that like the Tea Party surge we saw in 2012 when they took over both branches of Congress and the Presidential election? I am sure 2014 will be a repeat of 2012 when the Tea Party scored big.
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Old 11-06-2013, 12:53 PM
 
37,001 posts, read 17,965,471 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Guess what? Those numbers are going to get EVEN WORSE for the Democrats once the employer mandate hits next year.
Trace, It's unbelievable that they haven't figured out why Obama delayed the mandate for a year for a reason. They'll keep ignoring any reference to it. It will have to hit them in the pocket before they get it.

Millions will lose their insurance and will have to pay higher premiums and deductibles.
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Old 11-06-2013, 01:04 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,055 posts, read 27,404,262 times
Reputation: 7819
Quote:
Originally Posted by petch751 View Post
Trace, It's unbelievable that they haven't figured out why Obama delayed the mandate for a year for a reason. They'll keep ignoring any reference to it. It will have to hit them in the pocket before they get it.

Millions will lose their insurance and will have to pay higher premiums and deductibles.
You keep telling yourself that when you are watching Republicans lose seats in Congress in 2014.
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