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Old 11-04-2013, 05:49 AM
 
39,309 posts, read 15,287,080 times
Reputation: 4403

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Quote:
In Democratic districts, net incumbent approval has plummeted by 11 points, from +8 approval to +3 disapproval. In Republican districts, incumbent approval has gone down only 4 points. You see the same results when they ask a question about warmth of feeling toward incumbents: It's down 7 points in Republican districts and 9 points in Democratic districts.

This isn't good news for Democrats.
New Poll Shows Democratic Incumbents in Big Trouble | Mother Jones
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Old 11-05-2013, 04:16 AM
 
Location: Cherokee Nation
36,525 posts, read 17,449,405 times
Reputation: 8097
This is not just Democrats. It is the Progressive incumbents, in both parties that will see a Conservative surge.
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Old 11-05-2013, 05:03 AM
 
Location: Old Bellevue, WA
16,892 posts, read 9,114,950 times
Reputation: 6974
Obamacare looks to be the gift that keeps on giving for the GOP. It was a big part of taking back the house in 2010. It seems unlikely that the mess will be sufficiently cleaned up in 12 short months.

Passing landmark, sea-change, 2700 page legislation with zero bi-partisan support, using a parliamentary trick to avert filibuster in the Senate....bad idea. From what I've read, neither social security nor Medicare were done in that manner.
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Old 11-05-2013, 06:15 AM
 
3,624 posts, read 2,047,407 times
Reputation: 1497
the seats are too gerrymandered for there to be a wave either way. also, another report suggested 48 house gopers were in potential danger. too early for these guessing games. wait until next summer.
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Old 11-06-2013, 11:39 AM
 
Location: Billerica, MA
3,467 posts, read 5,054,665 times
Reputation: 1169
The Tea Party is not as much in trouble as people think. Remember, they come from districts that are strongly supportive of them. If the Obamacare rollout mess continues, however, Democrats are in bigger trouble in more politically-mixed districts.

Of course, there could also be some random GOPer with some affair or saying some stupid comment about women. These seem to always happen in even years.
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Old 11-06-2013, 11:43 AM
 
9,169 posts, read 3,791,283 times
Reputation: 5144
Guess what? Those numbers are going to get EVEN WORSE for the Democrats once the employer mandate hits next year.
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Old 11-06-2013, 12:07 PM
 
2,598 posts, read 2,272,034 times
Reputation: 1636
Don't Stop, Believing...

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Old 11-06-2013, 12:37 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,060 posts, read 18,915,876 times
Reputation: 7774
Is that like the Tea Party surge we saw in 2012 when they took over both branches of Congress and the Presidential election? I am sure 2014 will be a repeat of 2012 when the Tea Party scored big.
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Old 11-06-2013, 12:53 PM
 
25,792 posts, read 10,172,253 times
Reputation: 7659
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Guess what? Those numbers are going to get EVEN WORSE for the Democrats once the employer mandate hits next year.
Trace, It's unbelievable that they haven't figured out why Obama delayed the mandate for a year for a reason. They'll keep ignoring any reference to it. It will have to hit them in the pocket before they get it.

Millions will lose their insurance and will have to pay higher premiums and deductibles.
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Old 11-06-2013, 01:04 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,060 posts, read 18,915,876 times
Reputation: 7774
Quote:
Originally Posted by petch751 View Post
Trace, It's unbelievable that they haven't figured out why Obama delayed the mandate for a year for a reason. They'll keep ignoring any reference to it. It will have to hit them in the pocket before they get it.

Millions will lose their insurance and will have to pay higher premiums and deductibles.
You keep telling yourself that when you are watching Republicans lose seats in Congress in 2014.
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