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Old 06-28-2014, 11:30 PM
 
23,838 posts, read 23,123,773 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Egbert View Post
This is so wrong on so many levels. First off you know nothing about North Carolina. Kay Hagan won most of the counties in Eastern North Carolina and central North Carolina last time as well as the Greensboro area, and a lot of the large towns and cities like Fayetteville, Greenville, and Boone. She will definitely win again in Greensboro and some other cities you didn't mention like Fayetteville, Durham, Wilson, Greenville etc. and Northeastern NC Secondly Tom Tillis is the face of the state legislature and Kay Hagan is getting a big boost from it just being in session. They wanted to get out of session quickly, but that failed because their policies have been so fiscally irresponsible that they cannot pass a state budget easily.

Local and National Election Results - Election Center 2008 - Elections & Politics from CNN.com

Kay Hagan will likely win in NC. Even the Republican polls are showing it.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2014 - North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Hagan
I'm FROM North Carolina. Which means your post is 100% obliterated.

Regarding Kay Hagan in 2008....she rode into office with Obama at the top of the ticket. Obama lost NC in 2012 ....Hagan doesn't get that BO boost in 2014. She's toast.

That's all you need to know. What she did in 2008 is wholly irrelevant.
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Old 06-28-2014, 11:37 PM
 
23,838 posts, read 23,123,773 times
Reputation: 9409
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobtn View Post
Hagan will, in all liklihood, widen her lead some. She is popular where people live, high density pop centers. This NC race is mimicking Va, which is now dominated by NOVA. You want to win-you must do well where more people than livestock live.
Nope. See the post above. 2008 and 2014 are very different races.
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Old 06-29-2014, 12:34 AM
 
Location: NJ
18,665 posts, read 19,970,287 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AeroGuyDC View Post
Nope. See the post above. 2008 and 2014 are very different races.

Not going by 2008, I'm going by polls aggregated beautifully on rcp, and following the trendlines.
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Old 06-29-2014, 12:36 AM
 
Location: NJ
18,665 posts, read 19,970,287 times
Reputation: 7315
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Originally Posted by dsjj251 View Post
You have to remember, Republicans seem to think, land area = votes. Thats why they claim Illinois is really a red state outside Chicago Metro, even though half the states population is in Cook County, and another 3 million live in the counties that touch cook county.
I'm expecting them to start a Bison Suffrage movement any day now.
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Old 06-29-2014, 01:11 AM
 
25,021 posts, read 27,933,813 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dsjj251 View Post
You have to remember, Republicans seem to think, land area = votes. Thats why they claim Illinois is really a red state outside Chicago Metro, even though half the states population is in Cook County, and another 3 million live in the counties that touch cook county.
Yep, they claim the entire US is a conservative country because 90%+ of all US counties are some shade of red, nevermind the fact that almost all of these counties are rural. Acres don't vote, people do, and most Americans live in urban centers; contrary to popular conservative myth where the rural American is glorified as the standard by which Real Americans (tm) should aspire to be
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Old 06-29-2014, 03:37 AM
 
Location: San Antonio Texas
11,431 posts, read 19,000,893 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AeroGuyDC View Post
I'm FROM North Carolina. Which means your post is 100% obliterated.

Regarding Kay Hagan in 2008....she rode into office with Obama at the top of the ticket. Obama lost NC in 2012 ....Hagan doesn't get that BO boost in 2014. She's toast.

That's all you need to know. What she did in 2008 is wholly irrelevant.

What kind of job has she done in the past 6 years then? She might have gotten a boost in 2008 from Obama, but surely demographics have also changed since then as well. Did Obama even lose No Carolina by much in 2012?; only 2 percentage points.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_...Carolina,_2012
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Old 06-29-2014, 08:07 AM
 
15,047 posts, read 8,872,800 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bobtn View Post
The Engles and O'Donnells of the past have left them no margin for error. It was a very impressive (sar) achievement for them NOT to gain control by 2010.
Add Akin and Mourdock to that list, and now McDaniel's antics in Mississippi that could possibly lead to a Democratic Senator in that state.

The Tea Party is the gift that keep on giving...to the Democrats.
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Old 06-29-2014, 08:51 AM
 
1,825 posts, read 1,419,211 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AeroGuyDC View Post
I'm FROM North Carolina. Which means your post is 100% obliterated.

Regarding Kay Hagan in 2008....she rode into office with Obama at the top of the ticket. Obama lost NC in 2012 ....Hagan doesn't get that BO boost in 2014. She's toast.

That's all you need to know. What she did in 2008 is wholly irrelevant.
I live in North Carolina. Did you ever leave the town you lived in? Once more Kay Hagan won with an entirely different coalition then Obama did. My goodness look at a map sometime. You having lived here at one point doesn't mean you know anything and your post shows it. Just for reference compare and contrast.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/res...vidual/#mapPNC

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/res...vidual/#mapSNC
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Old 06-29-2014, 11:52 AM
 
Location: NJ
18,665 posts, read 19,970,287 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HeyJude514 View Post
Add Akin and Mourdock to that list, and now McDaniel's antics in Mississippi that could possibly lead to a Democratic Senator in that state.

The Tea Party is the gift that keep on giving...to the Democrats.
I suspect some Dems joined the TP to insure their wing nut antics continue.
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Old 06-29-2014, 12:00 PM
Status: "everybody getting reported now.." (set 23 days ago)
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,551 posts, read 16,542,682 times
Reputation: 6040
Quote:
Originally Posted by AeroGuyDC View Post
I'm FROM North Carolina. Which means your post is 100% obliterated.

Regarding Kay Hagan in 2008....she rode into office with Obama at the top of the ticket. Obama lost NC in 2012 ....Hagan doesn't get that BO boost in 2014. She's toast.

That's all you need to know. What she did in 2008 is wholly irrelevant.
Barack Obama lost Montana, North Dakota,and Indiana, all by far larger margins than he lost North Carolina and yet Democrats won Senate races in all those states.

your argument is flawed.
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