Predict How Many Senate Seats the Democrats Will Lose in 2014

[wutitiz]

Interesting to note that of those who voted in the OP's poll, 49 people undershot the actual outcome of 9 GOP pickups, while only 7 predicted more than 9.

IMO what that shows is that there was a tendency for people to really underestimate how unpopular Obamacare is. Also consider that NC was the only one of 9 GOP pickups where the outcome was very close. NC was 49-47.3, Tillis over Hagan.

[wutitiz]

Here are the numbers for the 9 GOP pickups according to politico
2014 Election Results Senate: Map by State, Live Midterm Voting Updates - POLITICO

NC 49-47,3
AK 48.8-45.6
CO 48.5-46.0
SD 50.4-29.5
WV 62.1-34.5
IA 52.2-43.7
AR 56.5 39.5
LA 55.9-44.1
MT 57.9-40.0

Only NC, AK, and CO were remotely close; the others were blowouts. Another little side vote, Ed Gillespie (R, VA) lost by only 1.8 pct, while the Libertarian candidate drew 2.5 pct.

[prospectheightsresident]

Originally Posted by Smash255

Once again??

I have made quite a few predictions on here and was basically dead on in 2012 with the exception of thinking the GOP would pick up the North Dakota Senate seat.


With that being said, if I were to guess now I would say 3-5 seat gain for the GOP is likely, if I had to make an exact prediciton now I would say 4


West Virginia
South Dakota
Montana
Louisiana

How'd that prediction work out for you?