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Old 11-05-2014, 08:24 PM
 
6,940 posts, read 9,659,234 times
Reputation: 3153

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This is from 2011, but it still stands. Basically, the GOP will retain the House for the foreseeable future and lose Senate majorities every presidential race. Since turnout is higher in presidential races, liberal regions of the state sway senate seats blue. The House majority was just a result to gerrymandering.

Quote:
On the one hand, a shift in the GOP stance towards redistricting allowed more solid conservatives to be elected to the House and subsequently moved the party to the right. In the early 1980s, House Republicans voted overwhelmingly to oppose race-based redistricting. But by the time of the 1990 Census, Republicans had reversed course; they realized they could forge a strategic alliance with minority politicians to create majority-minority districts that would elect more black and Latino Democrats but also more Republicans, because heavily-Democratic minority voters would be packed inefficiently into fewer districts. This plan succeeded electorally, but also deterred House Republicans from building the sort of cross-racial coalitions needed to win—especially in statewide contests for Senate seats or electoral college votes—in an increasingly non-white nation.

How Republicans Came to Dominate the House (and not the Senate) | New Republic
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Old 11-09-2014, 12:21 AM
 
Location: Pluto's Home Town
9,982 posts, read 13,732,686 times
Reputation: 5689
Sure seems like you are on to something. And the current group of crazies in the house seem like they don't even consider appealing to democratic or independent voters in their districts. It is like most are trying to outcrazy each other in the primaries.
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Old 11-09-2014, 01:06 AM
 
4,213 posts, read 8,287,203 times
Reputation: 2680
They're going to be pretty strong in the Senate now, 54-46 after Begich concedes and Landrieu loses. Granted in 2016 they will lose seats, maybe even the majority, but will gain it back/gain seats in 2018 when 25 Democrats are up and only 8 Republicans.
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Old 11-09-2014, 03:16 AM
 
Location: Texas
471 posts, read 805,909 times
Reputation: 318
The GOP will not lose the senate majority in the next election. They've picked up too many seats.
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Old 11-09-2014, 03:35 AM
 
79,908 posts, read 44,064,775 times
Reputation: 17204
Quote:
Originally Posted by knowledgeiskey View Post
The House majority was just a result to gerrymandering.
The GOP will not lose a large swath of seats like the Dem's did as long as the Dem's continue to make up excuses like this for their losses and continue to refuse to look at why they lost.

They lost because Obama simply can not tell the truth and this excuse falls perfectly in line with that problem.
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Old 11-09-2014, 04:35 AM
 
Location: NE Ohio
30,421 posts, read 20,258,541 times
Reputation: 8958
Quote:
Originally Posted by knowledgeiskey View Post
This is from 2011, but it still stands. Basically, the GOP will retain the House for the foreseeable future and lose Senate majorities every presidential race. Since turnout is higher in presidential races, liberal regions of the state sway senate seats blue. The House majority was just a result to gerrymandering.




How Republicans Came to Dominate the House (and not the Senate) | New Republic
Aren't you counting your chickens before they hatch? Keep dreaming.
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Old 11-09-2014, 04:46 AM
 
Location: NE Ohio
30,421 posts, read 20,258,541 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fiddlehead View Post
Sure seems like you are on to something. And the current group of crazies in the house seem like they don't even consider appealing to democratic or independent voters in their districts. It is like most are trying to outcrazy each other in the primaries.
LOL! Have any Democrats ever tried to "appeal to" Republicans? In my district, the only one who ever did was Jim Traficant. What they did to him was shameful, but it was all about politics. Jim couldn't be manipulated. I liked him a lot, and he always showed up at the Trumbull County Fair to give people a chance to chat with him.

"Beam me up, Mr. Speaker!"
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Old 11-09-2014, 04:51 AM
 
Location: NE Ohio
30,421 posts, read 20,258,541 times
Reputation: 8958
Quote:
Originally Posted by disgruntled la native View Post
They're going to be pretty strong in the Senate now, 54-46 after Begich concedes and Landrieu loses. Granted in 2016 they will lose seats, maybe even the majority, but will gain it back/gain seats in 2018 when 25 Democrats are up and only 8 Republicans.
"Granted" ... "they will lose seats?" Just what makes you so sure?

Pundits speculate that it may be decades before the Democrats regain control again, so devastating was their loss. To that I say, "Good." Democrats are just plain evil, and they hate America. They are all collectivists, every damn one!
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Old 11-09-2014, 04:58 AM
 
Location: NE Ohio
30,421 posts, read 20,258,541 times
Reputation: 8958
Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
The GOP will not lose a large swath of seats like the Dem's did as long as the Dem's continue to make up excuses like this for their losses and continue to refuse to look at why they lost.

They lost because Obama simply can not tell the truth and this excuse falls perfectly in line with that problem.
They lost because of Obama, their lockstep support of him, Obamacare (which they all voted for), their lying ways, things like the IRS scandal, their "progressivism," which is anti-Constitutionalism, their unyielding support for open borders and amnesty (ever hear a Democrat talk of closing the borders?), and numerous other issues that are not in America's best interests.
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Old 11-09-2014, 07:19 AM
 
Location: CasaMo
15,972 posts, read 9,360,300 times
Reputation: 18547
Let's be honest. Nobody knows what's going to happen in 2016 and 2018. That is a long time, politically.
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