Quote:
Originally Posted by NewToCA
President's position on Iran:
We know that they're still trying to learn how to enrich uranium. We know that enriching uranium is an important step in a country who wants to develop a weapon. We know they had a program. We know the program is halted.
I think it is very important for the international community to recognize the fact that if Iran were to develop the knowledge that they could transfer to a clandestine program it would create a danger for the world. And so I view this report as a warning signal that they had the program, they halted the program. And the reason why it's a warning signal is that they could restart it. And the thing that would make a restarted program effective and dangerous is the ability to enrich uranium, the knowledge of which could be passed on to a hidden program.
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This is the Bush foreign policy in a nut shell, should, could, maybe, IF, would, and all of it "hidden" and secret and undetectable. Lack of evidence is proof of guilt. We now use "desire" as guilt.
NTC, My problem with Bush's position, which is that of Paul Wolfowitz, Richard Perle, Norman Poderhertz, you know the schpeel here, is the premise of threat based in lack of evidence. Not that there is no threat because there is, but lack of proof to support a level of engagement out of measure with the level of threat. (extreme disproportion)
Like the "Plan B crowd"(wolfowitz and Perle) who said the Soviets had submarine technology that was so advanced we could not detect it and because we had no evidence (since we could not detect them) that it was in fact evidence. Twisted logic, you betcha.
Again in the lead up to Iraq as I am sure you are well aware of the song and dance that we all collectively bought into. Aluminum tubes for making nukes, well, not quite. 400 tonnes of VX nerve gas in and around Tikrit, well... not exactly. Niger yellow cake to go with tea and crumpets, well... not exactly. Chemical weapons trailers, well, not exactly... unless you are Krusty the clown and need to blow up a few balloons for a Kennedy party in Mass.
Again, the lack of physical evidence they claimed was in fact sufficient evidence because it was so secret, so sinister that we could not detect it so thus justified our invasion and subsequent occupation.
This brand of twisted logic is getting to be a pattern and one can only cry "maybe, IF, could be, might, some people say, one day, etc..." for so long then people no longer believe it. These people already spent all their currency of credibility and are now merely going deeper into debt.
On another thread I posted a bit on CSPAN airing a conference from the Council of Foreign Relations and during that conference there were some more level minded reality based Israeli's that were worried that this approach we are taking with Iran would damage long term relations. I was not aware that there are factions within the Israeli government that have had close ties to Iran over the past 50 or so years. I suspect this may be due to the substantial Jewish population in Iran, but in any case, it was framed that a hawkish but vocal minority in Israel and the United States were pushing for confrontation with Iran really hard.
As you pointed out in the thread about Chavez, in a year he will no longer be relevant, and in this case I can say the same for Bush. Between now and then however, I suspect that the straights of Hormuz and surrounding area will be one to watch with great intensity.
Quote:
Originally Posted by burdell
It's surely not surprising that anything to do with intelligence has nothing to do with Bush's own views. 
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Not surprising at all. Bush does not need intelligence, he has faith based ideology, one based in a reality that he will create (his own words), and one that we will all read about in the days to come to study and later understand. If this is not one koolaid drinking nut case, I don't know what is.