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Old 06-28-2015, 07:39 AM
 
Location: Old Bellevue, WA
18,782 posts, read 17,358,834 times
Reputation: 7990

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Chris Christie Launches Campaign Website Three Days Before His Announcement - NationalJournal.com

According to the National Journal he will announce on Tues. June 30 in his old high school gym in Livingston, NJ. So now we have:

Cruz
Walker
Rubio
Paul
Jindal
Perry
Firorina
Carson
Bush
Christie
Santorum
Huckabee
Trump

Did I miss any?

I'd say Christie's entrance makes it tougher on Bush, and he might take some support from Trump as well. I don't see any of those three getting much traction in the primaries. I still think it's going to be Cruz, Rubio, or Walker. I see Paul, Perry, and now Fiorina as longshots but not impossible shots. Just my opinion/speculation, of course.
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Old 06-28-2015, 07:43 AM
 
277 posts, read 291,555 times
Reputation: 1319
To paraphrase Roy Scheider, "You're gonna need a bigger clown car".
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Old 06-28-2015, 07:45 AM
 
Location: Old Bellevue, WA
18,782 posts, read 17,358,834 times
Reputation: 7990
Oh yeah, I forgot John Kasich. I'm not sure whether he officially declared yet. That is 14 names.
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Old 06-28-2015, 07:49 AM
 
Location: Out in the Badlands
10,420 posts, read 10,827,692 times
Reputation: 7801
Oh for joy... I await with "baited" breath. Smells kind a fishy in here.
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Old 06-28-2015, 08:01 AM
 
Location: West Michigan
12,372 posts, read 9,311,700 times
Reputation: 7364
I think he'll hurt Trump more than Bush. He's outspoken which seems to be Trump's biggest drawing card yet he's a lot smarter about getting his point out without ticking off so many people.
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Old 06-28-2015, 08:41 AM
 
Location: Honolulu/DMV Area/NYC
30,633 posts, read 18,222,068 times
Reputation: 34509
You also missed Pataki.

Seriously, this is a clown show. I've written it before: as most of these candidates know they don't have a snowball's chance in hell to win the nomination, they are either (1) vying for the VP selection, (2) vying for a cabinet position, (3) trying to increase their visibility for a cable news contract/higher speaking fees, or (4) in the case of Trump, just making an ass of out of themselves.

The serious candidates/soon-to-be candidates who actually have a chance of winning the nomination or being tapped for VP are Rubio, Bush, Walker, and Kasich (he is a VERY attractive VP choice, and one who could actually go a long way to helping the ticket carry an important swing state). I think the ticket will eventually include any two of the following three: Rubio, Walker, or Kasich.
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Old 06-28-2015, 08:52 AM
 
Location: Stasis
15,823 posts, read 12,463,404 times
Reputation: 8599
The 1st FOX debate will only include the top 10 based on the average of the five most recent national polls prior to August 4th. That is just a month away. There may be more than 10 if there is a tie for 10th place.
Making that top 10 is make or break for candidates.
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Old 06-28-2015, 08:56 AM
 
2 posts, read 1,416 times
Reputation: 15
I think Cruz
http://uiwalls.ml/6/o.png
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Old 06-28-2015, 09:11 AM
 
4,582 posts, read 3,408,206 times
Reputation: 2605
Quote:
Originally Posted by katzpaw View Post
The 1st FOX debate will only include the top 10 based on the average of the five most recent national polls prior to August 4th. That is just a month away. There may be more than 10 if there is a tie for 10th place.
Making that top 10 is make or break for candidates.
And a nervous GOP HQ is already trying to mess with that out of fear that Bush will not make the cut
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Old 06-28-2015, 09:15 AM
 
Location: Honolulu/DMV Area/NYC
30,633 posts, read 18,222,068 times
Reputation: 34509
Quote:
Originally Posted by katzpaw View Post
The 1st FOX debate will only include the top 10 based on the average of the five most recent national polls prior to August 4th. That is just a month away. There may be more than 10 if there is a tie for 10th place.
Making that top 10 is make or break for candidates.
I don't recall, but there may be a contingency for that where they look at other factors (primarily based on polling) to separate candidates who are in a tie. And it makes sense. In the unlikely case where every declared candidate made the race because there was a 5-way (or whatever number) tie for 10th place, I highly doubt that Fox News or CNN would allow every candidate on the stage. The fine print of their debate rules account for such scenarios I believe.
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