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Old 09-01-2015, 05:43 PM
 
5,064 posts, read 5,729,580 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HyperionGap View Post
And so do the majority of people with a college degree. Which was the point of this entire thread. If you don't get that, I'm sorry but I'm moving on as it's clearly a waste of my time trying to explain something this simple.
47% of the people with college degrees voted for Obama in 2012.

51% voted for Romney.

If you don't know which of those are a majority, then you need to get a refund on your college degree.

 
Old 09-01-2015, 05:46 PM
 
Location: NE Ohio
30,419 posts, read 20,306,967 times
Reputation: 8958
Quote:
Originally Posted by HyperionGap View Post
Wisconsin poll shows Walker, GOP hated by women, young, and educated

Not at all surprising honestly since he basically represents uneducated, geriatric, neanderthals.

Other major dividers are education level, and age. Wisconsin Democrats tend to do markedly better among the younger and more educated, while Walker and Wisconsin Republicans do better among those of middle age, and those with limited education.
"and educated?" Meaning, everyone else is stupid? Like those who support Trump are "stupid?"

I wonder how many Wisconsin women helped to defeat the attempts to recall Walker? How many of them are educated?

This is like saying, "anyone who would support a Republican does so because they are ignorant and less educated."

This kind of rhetoric is simply hateful and childish.
 
Old 09-01-2015, 05:52 PM
 
Location: NE Ohio
30,419 posts, read 20,306,967 times
Reputation: 8958
Quote:
Originally Posted by HyperionGap View Post
The poll was by Marquette law school. A nice Catholic University. Daily Kos simply wrote an article with analyzing the findings.

Please refute the actual findings and data. I mean I understand walker supporters aren't educated so this might be difficult thing to ask on this forum... But you never know.
Tell me how you know Walker supporters aren't educated?

I can say the same thing about Obama supporters, and I'm betting there is more evidence to validate that claim.

Besides, having a college 'education' does not equate to being educated. Many college grads are totally clueless. They are "know nothings." They can parrot their liberal professors. That's it!
 
Old 09-01-2015, 06:14 PM
 
Location: Upstate NY 🇺🇸
36,754 posts, read 14,828,087 times
Reputation: 35584
Quote:
Originally Posted by HyperionGap View Post
Wisconsin poll shows Walker, GOP hated by women, young, and educated

Not at all surprising honestly since he basically represents uneducated, geriatric, neanderthals.

Other major dividers are education level, and age. Wisconsin Democrats tend to do markedly better among the younger and more educated, while Walker and Wisconsin Republicans do better among those of middle age, and those with limited education.


Who knew that all of those welfare recipients (a key Democrat constituency) were so well-educated?

The things you learn on these boards!
 
Old 09-01-2015, 06:16 PM
 
78,417 posts, read 60,593,823 times
Reputation: 49704
Quote:
Originally Posted by silverkris View Post
If we were to use the charisma factor as you stated, Walker wouldn't stand a chance in the first place.

Walker has won in his state elections not by building coalitions but by turning out his base in a very polarized electorate. It's different in a presidential election.

In presidential elections, WI has gone for the Democrats for the last 26 years. Not even Paul Ryan on the ticket in 2012 could change that. That won't change in 2016 with a lot of the unpopularity of Walker's moves, legislatively.
I was talking about charisma with regards to presidential elections specifically.
 
Old 09-01-2015, 06:19 PM
 
325 posts, read 255,583 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brentwoodgirl View Post
Sure. And Republicans win the voters with college degrees in Presidential elections- with one exception. Obama won college educated voters 49-48% in 2008. But the trend went back to normal in 2012, with Obama losing college educated voters by 4%.

The Dems biggest margins are among the least educated. They win 2-1 among people with no high school degree.

Dems also win among the low income while Republicans win households over $100,000.

Here's a breakdown from 2012 for reference:
How Groups Voted in 2012 - Roper Center
These are very accurate and well researched numbers - thank you for bringing unambiguous math into the debate. I would contend your interpretation has a significant flaw, however, that must be addressed. Using your same link, the data is as follows......


Some HS - 3.0% of voters, Obama 64% Romney 35%
HS graduate - 21.0% of voters, Obama 51% Romney 48%
Some college - 29.0% of voters, Obama 49% Romney 48%
College graduate - 29.0% of voters, Obama 47% Romney 51%
Postgraduate study - 18.0% of voters, Obama 55% Romey 42%

These categories are discreet (they add up to 100%) - so a weighted average is in order. If we take the sum of college graduates and ALL people who have done Postgraduate Study (one must be degreed to engage in such an endeavor), we get All College Graduates, and the following number:

All College Graduates - 47% of voters, Obama 51.3% Romney 48.7%

(Even as a Liberal Arts undergraduate, I took statistics. This is a gimme.)


The very well educated broke for Obama by 13% (and more so in 2008). It certainly seems counter-intuitive that a group who by definition earns more than the others also votes more leftist as of late. Why? I've seen a few interpretations of this data, some backed by evidence, and it suggests that there is a correlation between higher education and "social liberalness" - or at least tolerance at a level above the average Mississippian.

This is the essence of the current Democratic coalition - keep a lock on the poor, continue getting 80%+ of the minority vote (their percentage is growing), and harvest the well educated by offering a contrast to the silly moralism (or trailer-park nativism) of the modern GOP. This coalition is increasing as a percentage of the electorate, which makes the GOP's doubling down on undereducated white people particularly bizzare (but understandable given the infiltration of the party ranks by quasi-racists, evangelicals and AM radio dolts). Since the early Reagan years, the GOP has had trouble with math - initially with national debt, and now with electoral calculus.

I will contend that, as a whole, the US is a slightly center-right country in orientation (especially in terms of economics, size of government and foreign policy), so seeing the continued bumbling of the GOP is interesting to watch. The easiest avenue to gaining an electoral majority would be to cut into the 70% of Hispanics who voted Democratic - a near impossibility given the Trump sideshow and AM radio fanning of the flames. Followed by this would be an appeal to the well educated by dropping some of the more stupid moralism of the party (to include the attacks on immigrants), but it would take an artful politician to navigate this nomination minefield, and I don't think any of the more moderate contenders have that kind of juice.

Bottom line, you have lost the vote in 5 of the last 6 Presidential elections, and you are fighting against a demographic trend that will eventually bury you (if you do not change). Scott Walker is probably not the guy to do this (he might improve the numbers among "some college" voters, given his lack of a degree) - but I am sure he gets adequate "mega dittos" all the same.
 
Old 09-01-2015, 06:27 PM
 
4,571 posts, read 3,520,506 times
Reputation: 3261
So the op tries to elevate himself by demeaning others. Got it. Says he's not a lib but we all know the tactic.

And, pacman, to say the "very well educated" broke for obama tells everyone just how frigging stupid those people really are.
 
Old 09-01-2015, 06:33 PM
 
325 posts, read 255,583 times
Reputation: 288
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ed from California View Post
And, pacman, to say the "very well educated" broke for obama tells everyone just how frigging stupid those people really are.
Yes, but you can take that education and turn it into a superior income, general happiness and a superior set of life experiences.

AM Talk Radio wisdom, not so much.......
 
Old 09-01-2015, 06:35 PM
 
4,571 posts, read 3,520,506 times
Reputation: 3261
Jesus, but you people are so full of horsecrap. What you posted is pretty much opposite of reality.
 
Old 09-01-2015, 06:43 PM
 
5,064 posts, read 5,729,580 times
Reputation: 4770
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pac_5 View Post
These are very accurate and well researched numbers - thank you for bringing unambiguous math into the debate. I would contend your interpretation has a significant flaw, however, that must be addressed. Using your same link, the data is as follows......


Some HS - 3.0% of voters, Obama 64% Romney 35%
HS graduate - 21.0% of voters, Obama 51% Romney 48%
Some college - 29.0% of voters, Obama 49% Romney 48%
College graduate - 29.0% of voters, Obama 47% Romney 51%
Postgraduate study - 18.0% of voters, Obama 55% Romey 42%

The least educated have the biggest divides. The least educated prefer Dems 2 to 1. So the OP looks like a fool for claiming the least educated people vote for Republicans.

These categories are discreet (they add up to 100%) - so a weighted average is in order. If we take the sum of college graduates and ALL people who have done Postgraduate Study (one must be degreed to engage in such an endeavor), we get All College Graduates, and the following number:

All College Graduates - 47% of voters, Obama 51.3% Romney 48.7%

(Even as a Liberal Arts undergraduate, I took statistics. This is a gimme.)


The very well educated broke for Obama by 13% (and more so in 2008). It certainly seems counter-intuitive that a group who by definition earns more than the others also votes more leftist as of late. Why? I've seen a few interpretations of this data, some backed by evidence, and it suggests that there is a correlation between higher education and "social liberalness" - or at least tolerance at a level above the average Mississippian.

Considering Dems depend on the poorest and least educated to get their candidates elected, then that would make some of their voters also the least tolerate using your logic. And you've nicely proved my point with a slap at a whole state. (which ironically is made up of 40% blacks, a group that votes 95+% for Dems)

This is the essence of the current Democratic coalition - keep a lock on the poor, continue getting 80%+ of the minority vote (their percentage is growing), and harvest the well educated by offering a contrast to the silly moralism (or trailer-park nativism) of the modern GOP. This coalition is increasing as a percentage of the electorate, which makes the GOP's doubling down on undereducated white people particularly bizzare (but understandable given the infiltration of the party ranks by quasi-racists, evangelicals and AM radio dolts). Since the early Reagan years, the GOP has had trouble with math - initially with national debt, and now with electoral calculus.

Look, more "tolerance." BTW- Republicans won the 2014 House Elections among college age voters by 10 points. So even larger margins than the 2012 election.

I will contend that, as a whole, the US is a slightly center-right country in orientation (especially in terms of economics, size of government and foreign policy), so seeing the continued bumbling of the GOP is interesting to watch. The easiest avenue to gaining an electoral majority would be to cut into the 70% of Hispanics who voted Democratic - a near impossibility given the Trump sideshow and AM radio fanning of the flames. Followed by this would be an appeal to the well educated by dropping some of the more stupid moralism of the party (to include the attacks on immigrants), but it would take an artful politician to navigate this nomination minefield, and I don't think any of the more moderate contenders have that kind of juice.

Dems are not appealing to the well educated. They are appealing to he people who think Guam might tip over.

Bottom line, you have lost the vote in 5 of the last 6 Presidential elections, and you are fighting against a demographic trend that will eventually bury you (if you do not change). Scott Walker is probably not the guy to do this (he might improve the numbers among "some college" voters, given his lack of a degree) - but I am sure he gets adequate "mega dittos" all the same.
5 of the last 6? Last time I checked, Bush was president twice, whether you like it or not. How have the last few Senate elections worked out?
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