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Old 10-04-2015, 10:44 PM
 
Location: Tennessee
34,682 posts, read 33,681,492 times
Reputation: 51877

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"Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 2,665 registered voters in the U.S. (for One America News Network) regarding the presidential election. The sample includes 898 Republicans, 1,021 Democrats, and the remainder not Republican or Democratic, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of Ī 1.9% [3.3% for Republican Primary/3.1% for Democratic Primary].

Trump 34.7%
Carson 17.2%
Rubio 10.8%
Fiorina 8.8%
Cruz 7.3%
Bush 6.9%
Huckabee 4.5%
Kasich 3.1%
Paul 2.5%
Christie 2.3%
Santorum 1.4%
Graham 0.3%
Pataki 0.2%
Jindal 0.1%

-----------

Clinton 44.4%
Sanders 25.4%
Biden 23.1%
Webb 3.4%
Chafee 2.2%
O'Malley 1.5%

Interestingly, the poll asked about the Republicans versus Hillary Clinton.

Trump, Bush, Fiorina, Christie, Rubio, Kasich beat Clinton the same 52% to 48%
Versus Paul and Huckabee it was tied 50% to 50%
Carson beat her 53% to 47%
Cruz, Jindal and Pataki lost to her 52% to 48%
Santorum and Graham lost to her 51% to 49%

National Polling Results | One America News Network
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Old 10-05-2015, 07:23 AM
 
2,345 posts, read 1,362,741 times
Reputation: 778
I so strongly believe that unforeseen developments between Now and November 2016, will alter the normal process of all stability in the nation.
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Old 10-05-2015, 08:00 AM
 
Location: USA = 2017 New Venezuela
587 posts, read 305,775 times
Reputation: 229
Laura now that you are researching poll methodology, did you look up Gravis American?

Let me guess, you were going to do it but you haven't had enough time...

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GRAVIS Polling - You couldn't Make This Up
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Old 10-05-2015, 08:44 AM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
14,661 posts, read 9,709,922 times
Reputation: 12210
And the burning question on everybody’s mind is when will Trump drop out?
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Old 10-05-2015, 08:45 AM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
14,661 posts, read 9,709,922 times
Reputation: 12210
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pulgarcita View Post
Laura now that you are researching poll methodology, did you look up Gravis American?

Let me guess, you were going to do it but you haven't had enough time...

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GRAVIS Polling - You couldn't Make This Up
Ok, letís say their methodology is flawed. Why didnít Rubio come on top, or Fiorina or Jeb?
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Old 10-05-2015, 08:55 AM
 
Location: Long Island, NY
19,717 posts, read 11,560,116 times
Reputation: 5613
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
"Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 2,665 registered voters in the U.S. (for One America News Network) regarding the presidential election. The sample includes 898 Republicans, 1,021 Democrats, and the remainder not Republican or Democratic, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of Ī 1.9% [3.3% for Republican Primary/3.1% for Democratic Primary].

Trump 34.7%
Carson 17.2%
Rubio 10.8%
Fiorina 8.8%
Cruz 7.3%
Bush 6.9%
Huckabee 4.5%
Kasich 3.1%
Paul 2.5%
Christie 2.3%
Santorum 1.4%
Graham 0.3%
Pataki 0.2%
Jindal 0.1%

-----------

Clinton 44.4%
Sanders 25.4%
Biden 23.1%
Webb 3.4%
Chafee 2.2%
O'Malley 1.5%

Interestingly, the poll asked about the Republicans versus Hillary Clinton.

Trump, Bush, Fiorina, Christie, Rubio, Kasich beat Clinton the same 52% to 48%
Versus Paul and Huckabee it was tied 50% to 50%
Carson beat her 53% to 47%
Cruz, Jindal and Pataki lost to her 52% to 48%
Santorum and Graham lost to her 51% to 49%

National Polling Results | One America News Network
A poll asking people (who generally aren't paying attention and only have name-recognition to go on) 13 months before election day are essentially worthless.

This time in 2007, this is how it looked:
Rasmussen Reports Poll (with Gore) Sep 28 – Oct 1, 2007 Hillary Clinton 37%, Al Gore 32%, Barack Obama 22%, John Edwards 13%
CBS News Oct 26, 2007 Hillary Clinton 45%, Barack Obama 16%, John Edwards 7%

Rasmussen Reports Poll Oct 4–7, 2007 Fred Thompson 24%, Rudy Giuliani 23%, Mitt Romney 14%, John McCain 9%, Mike Huckabee 5%
Rasmussen Reports Poll Oct 2–5, 2007 Fred Thompson 21%, Rudy Giuliani 19%, Mitt Romney 16%, John McCain 11%, Mike Huckabee 4%
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Old 10-05-2015, 09:29 AM
 
11,758 posts, read 5,545,768 times
Reputation: 7964
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pulgarcita View Post
Laura now that you are researching poll methodology, did you look up Gravis American?

Let me guess, you were going to do it but you haven't had enough time...

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GRAVIS Polling - You couldn't Make This Up
According to 538's retrospective analysis, Gravis gets a "C" grade and a 1.4 Republican bias. Whatever it's worth.

Mick
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Old 10-05-2015, 09:32 AM
 
11,758 posts, read 5,545,768 times
Reputation: 7964
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
Interestingly, the poll asked about the Republicans versus Hillary Clinton.

Trump, Bush, Fiorina, Christie, Rubio, Kasich beat Clinton the same 52% to 48%
Versus Paul and Huckabee it was tied 50% to 50%
Carson beat her 53% to 47%
Cruz, Jindal and Pataki lost to her 52% to 48%
Santorum and Graham lost to her 51% to 49%
That's comical, not because Hillary is unbeatable or anything, but how could Huckabee, Paul, Jindal, Pataki, Santorum and Graham (i.e., the 0%'ers or thereabouts) do only 2-3% worse than Trump, Bush, etc.? Wut?

Mick
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Old 10-05-2015, 10:08 AM
 
4,414 posts, read 3,355,491 times
Reputation: 2321
A poll conducted by one of the worst polling outfits out there for a news network that make FOX look like the Daily Kos. So take the sources for what they're worth

I'm no fan of Clintons, but do you honestly think she'd only beat Santorum by 3 points or that she'd tie with Huckabee? That's so far out of the realm of possibility that it's laughable. For goodness sake, Joe Biden who isn't even in the race and trailing Clinton among Democrates, beats every single Republican in a head to head election poll.
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Old 10-06-2015, 11:56 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
34,682 posts, read 33,681,492 times
Reputation: 51877
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pulgarcita View Post
Laura now that you are researching poll methodology, did you look up Gravis American?

Let me guess, you were going to do it but you haven't had enough time...

Automated Calls | Automated Calling System

GRAVIS Polling - You couldn't Make This Up
I refer you back to the first page of this August thread:

POLL: DONALD TRUMP SETS RECORD, HITS 40 PERCENT IN NEW POLL - Trump Train Barreling on...
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