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Old 10-14-2015, 07:36 PM
 
Location: Tennessee
34,691 posts, read 33,700,331 times
Reputation: 51914

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The CNN/ORC poll for Nevada that come out today (10/14/15) shows Trump with 38%. It is a high margin of error +/- 6% but Carson in second place has 22% so even if Trump had 6% less and Carson had 6% more Trump would still be out in front with Nevada Republican likely caucus goers.

I checked and they didn't sample enough people to show a non-white percentage. I wanted to see how Hispanics answered.

I don't seem to recall Trump doing a lot of campaigning in Nevada. So why?

Trump gets a whopping 67% on the economy. The next closest is Fiorina with 7%.
Trump gets 55% on illegal immigration. The next closest is Rubio with 13%.
Trump gets 34% on foreign policy. The next closest is Rubio with 13%.
Trump gets 25% on social issues (abortion, same sex marriage). Carson has 23% so this one is close.
Trump gets 46% on handling ISIS. The next closest is Rubio with 13% followed by Bush with 10%.

He gets 60% for being the most likely to change Washington but the next closest candidate is Carson with only 10%. I think maybe this is the main reason for the good Trump showing in this state in addition to The Economy.

The top 3 most important issues with Nevada Republican Likely Caucus Goers is: The Economy, Terrorism and Illegal Immigration but the top 3 most important issues with all Nevada adults is: The Economy, Healthcare, Social Issues.

Full results: CNN/ORC Poll

Under the same link is the South Carolina poll. Trump is winning big there, too, but I seem to recall him campaigning there more so I am not as surprised. The margin of error is lower in the SC poll. +/- 4.5% with Republican Likely Voters.

Trump has 38% here too. Carson has 18% and everyone else is in single digits.
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Old 10-14-2015, 07:51 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
14,668 posts, read 9,720,714 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post

I checked and they didn't sample enough people to show a non-white percentage. I wanted to see how Hispanics answered.
Doesn’t matter. They’ll just be discounted as Republican Hispanics. With all the tweeter and facebook and what not, I don’t think it matters as much if Trump has ever been to Nevada. If he comes to my neck of the woods I will go and to see him but if he never shows up I’ll vote for him just the same.
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Old 10-14-2015, 08:03 PM
 
Location: Tennessee
34,691 posts, read 33,700,331 times
Reputation: 51914
Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyRider View Post
Doesnít matter. Theyíll just be discounted as Republican Hispanics. With all the tweeter and facebook and what not, I donít think it matters as much if Trump has ever been to Nevada. If he comes to my neck of the woods I will go and to see him but if he never shows up Iíll vote for him just the same.
When he comes to my state he goes to Nashville. I don't know why other than they have an international airport and the Knoxville area doesn't. Nashville is Democrat as is Memphis. My part of the state, East Tennessee is Republican.
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Old 10-14-2015, 08:09 PM
 
Location: Jewel Lake (Sagle) Idaho
27,569 posts, read 17,647,836 times
Reputation: 15639
Trump is a a clown, sort of like a stand up comic. No wonder he wows 'em in Vegas. You have to remember, that's the state that voted for Reid.
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