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Old 11-17-2015, 04:40 PM
 
Location: Tennessee
34,708 posts, read 33,734,897 times
Reputation: 51976

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"The Morning Consult tracking poll surveyed 2,001 registered voters between Nov. 13 and 16 for a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. Subsamples of 774 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents and 874 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents carry margins of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and 3.3 percentage points, respectively."

This national poll was taken in the days surrounding the deadly terrorist attacks in Paris.

New Poll: American Voters' Security Concerns Grow Following Terror Attacks in Paris - Morning Consult

3.5% margin of error

Donald Trump 38%
Ben Carson 19%
Someone else/don't know 11%
Ted Cruz 7%
Marco Rubio 7%
Jeb Bush 6%
Carly Fiorina 3%
Mike Huckabee 3%

Everyone else less than 3%.

3.3% margin of error

Hillary Clinton 57%
Bernie Sanders 26%
Someone else/don't know 15%
Martin O’Malley 2%

 
Old 11-17-2015, 04:48 PM
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
23,366 posts, read 11,569,810 times
Reputation: 4325
I dont think this poll will be an outlier, i think Trump is about to see a bump just like her did this summer.
 
Old 11-17-2015, 05:05 PM
 
Location: Tennessee
34,708 posts, read 33,734,897 times
Reputation: 51976
I didn't want to post this in the original information post but despite all of the debates, there sure are an awful lot of voters who don't know some of these candidates.

What percentage of "Never heard of" do you think is high at this point in time? Is that the fault of the voters or the candidates?

Never heard of (all registered voters):

Sanders 7%
O'Malley 31%
Clinton 0%
--------------
Kasich 34%
Pataki 28%
Jindal 30%
Graham 25%
Trump 1%
Fiorina 19%
Cruz 12%
Santorum 15%
Rubio 13%
Christie 11%
Carson 7%
Huckabee 9%
Paul 10%
Bush 3%

http://morningconsult.com/wp-content...13-16-2015.pdf
 
Old 11-17-2015, 05:07 PM
 
26,964 posts, read 9,150,498 times
Reputation: 9387
Trump getting stronger and picking up fuel after a short pit stop. "GO TRUMP"
 
Old 11-17-2015, 05:50 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
14,707 posts, read 9,755,792 times
Reputation: 12272
Threads predicting Trump’s demise after he called the people who believe in Carson stupid are still smoldering here. That “epic rant”, as the media put it, must surely have killed him. I don’t think the effect of Paris are fully accounted in this poll. He has to go up still.
 
Old 11-17-2015, 06:20 PM
 
Location: Tennessee
34,708 posts, read 33,734,897 times
Reputation: 51976
Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyRider View Post
Threads predicting Trump’s demise after he called the people who believe in Carson stupid are still smoldering here. That “epic rant”, as the media put it, must surely have killed him. I don’t think the effect of Paris are fully accounted in this poll. He has to go up still.
This poll has a pretty low margin of error compared to some other polls like the CBS and UMass polls. They actually started the poll on the day of the Paris attacks. If I was Trump I'd be happy with this, not so much for his percentage or rank but for the distance between Trump and Carson and the two Senators back in single digits, debate bump gone. I kept reading and hearing how the Paris situation would surely help them, especially Rubio.

Of course the media will ignore it (except for The Hill who is pretty good at reporting most polls even when they spin them).

Waiting for the CNN poll. I think it's due soon. I like to watch that one for trending.
 
Old 11-17-2015, 06:24 PM
 
6,089 posts, read 3,117,304 times
Reputation: 4100
Goo TRUMP!! We need you!!
 
Old 11-17-2015, 07:19 PM
 
7,311 posts, read 4,964,458 times
Reputation: 6338
Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyRider View Post
Threads predicting Trump’s demise after he called the people who believe in Carson stupid are still smoldering here. That “epic rant”, as the media put it, must surely have killed him. I don’t think the effect of Paris are fully accounted in this poll. He has to go up still.
Current events and the tone deaf politicians are helping Trump.

Obama needs to keep talking about his love of Islam after one of the largest terror attacks in recent history. Clinton needs to keep saying she's in favor of bringing hundreds of thousands of Syrian (Muslim terrorists; we don't know) refugees here. Sanders needs to keep blaming the weather for terrorism.

It's like a tidal wave of stupid and Trump is surfin' it to the nomination.
 
Old 11-17-2015, 07:23 PM
 
Location: Places you dream of
20,297 posts, read 12,156,257 times
Reputation: 8806
Yelled at my kids for 15 consecutive years for calling each other's "stupid" and now the wanna be pres does it. Arrggg,
 
Old 11-17-2015, 07:42 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
14,707 posts, read 9,755,792 times
Reputation: 12272
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post

Of course the media will ignore it (except for The Hill who is pretty good at reporting most polls even when they spin them).

Waiting for the CNN poll. I think it's due soon. I like to watch that one for trending.
That was my thought. I haven’t seen this poll talked about anywhere. Now find a poll showing Carson one point ahead of Trump and you’ll be hearing about it for weeks. If Trump was an investment advisor he would have made millions for his clients. He has been ahead of the curve by months. When last month he said he will send back the Syrian refugees I gasped. Now that it is safe everybody is getting on the bandwagon.
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