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Old 11-19-2015, 04:46 PM
 
11,058 posts, read 3,725,868 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sware2cod View Post
Republicans do much better in elections that occur during non-presidential election years. Such as 2010 and 2014. Democrat voter turnout is higher during presidential election years and lower during mid-term elections.

So the poll should be estimating voter turnout percentages based on whether it's a presidential election cycle, or mid-term cycle.

please, in the last 4 presidential elections both parties have split 2-2........the odds are against the party in the WH trying to win 3 in a row because of the Obama fatigue.


Obama's approval is at 44%, with the ISIS threat and his mishandling of it, it will go down.]



Hillary is NO Obama as a campaigner. She doesn't excite people like Obama in 2008.
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Old 11-19-2015, 04:52 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,054 posts, read 29,425,983 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Got some data to back this up? Or this is just desperation speaking?

No matter. King Hilarious and Anthony Wiener's wife will not be haunting the WH in 2017.
Have you ever looked at voter turn out in each election?
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Old 11-19-2015, 04:56 PM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
14,330 posts, read 19,500,249 times
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Default Far too early to be relevant

Only Republicans cling to the desperate hope that Hillary falters, since they haven't a snowball's chance in hell of beating her. She is "losing big time in Colorado" a YEAR AWAY from elections?
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Old 11-19-2015, 05:04 PM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
12,300 posts, read 7,932,113 times
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This is how I think 2016 will turn out
2016 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College
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Old 11-19-2015, 05:09 PM
 
Location: Jawjah
2,468 posts, read 1,592,079 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shooting4life View Post
Its almost guaranteed that the GOP will lose house and senate seats - and if you think the GOP gets anywhere near 270 electoral votes with the current poll leaders, you have to be dreaming.
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Old 11-19-2015, 05:12 PM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
12,300 posts, read 7,932,113 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rorqual View Post
Its almost guaranteed that the GOP will lose house and senate seats - and if you think the GOP gets anywhere near 270 electoral votes with the current poll leaders, you have to be dreaming.
Thanks for the laugh.

At least predict something that has a semblance of a chance.
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Old 11-19-2015, 05:15 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,054 posts, read 29,425,983 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shooting4life View Post
That is a fair guess, better than some others guesses on the election. Though even by your numbers, the GOP would have to really run the distance and not lose a single state other than Virginia, and would have to pick up states that typically swing towards the Democrats.
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Old 11-19-2015, 05:19 PM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
12,300 posts, read 7,932,113 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
That is a fair guess, better than some others guesses on the election. Though even by your numbers, the GOP would have to really run the distance and not lose a single state other than Virginia, and would have to pick up states that typically swing towards the Democrats.
Republicans are not running away with anything barring Hillary getting arrested next summer.

I just think Hillary won't get her base out and moderates are tired of democrats after Obama's failed foreign policies and stagnant wages that Hillary was apart of. Not to mention if Hillary and Obama spend the next year talking about gun control then they will be fighting a real uphill battle in swing states.

The GOP could pick up va then lose Iowa and Nevada as well.

The problem will be if the republicans elect trump since he has negatives almost as high as Hillary.
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Old 11-19-2015, 05:21 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,054 posts, read 29,425,983 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shooting4life View Post
Republicans are not running away with anything barring Hillary getting arrested next summer.

I just think Hillary won't get her base out and moderates are tired of democrats after Obama's failed foreign policies and stagnant wages that Hillary was apart of. Not to mention if Hillary and Obama spend the next year talking about gun control then they will be fighting a real uphill battle in swing states.
Well, I was giving you credit with your prediction....and then you went off the deep end with the whole Hillary getting arrested nonsense. Let's try to stick to reality, and not right wing fantasies.

Hillary will see 60+ million votes for her if she were to be nominated, that part I am not too concerned about.
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Old 11-19-2015, 05:28 PM
 
Location: Jawjah
2,468 posts, read 1,592,079 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shooting4life View Post
Thanks for the laugh.

At least predict something that has a semblance of a chance.
You really think the GOP will reach 270 with Donald Trump or Ben Carson or Ted Cruz?

Hi Pot, meet kettle..
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