For Which Candidates Do Voters Show Up On Election Day? (party affiliation, Democrats)
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This is about voter turnout for the general election.
"No matter what party affiliation you consider, Trump brings them out. Republicans, Democrats and independents are all most likely to show up if Trump is on the ballot. (In our analysis, we assumed a constant variable: the Democrats nominating Hillary Clinton.) Not only do they show up to vote, but they vote for Trump. He's got the highest percentage of voters — across both parties and independents. The other candidates cause more of a snooze response from the public. Among the Republicans surveyed, Kasich caused the lowest voter turnout. But Ben Carson, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and Carly Fiorina all saw lower voter turnouts compared with Trump."
Survey done Nov. 18, 2,026 adult Americans, +/- 3.5% margin of error conducted by Fluent.
There is a graph. I do not know why Ted Cruz is not included.
There is a suggestion in the article by Fluent, who conducted the survey, about what the candidates should do. The exact same article on the CNBC website is on the Fluent website, verbatim.
Polls this far out from the actual election are absolutely meaningless.
I find it odd that when the polls report on the "Which candidate would you vote for if you were voting today?" question all of the TV panels/news analysts/pundits say it's too early and point to Herman Cain or Fred Thompson or Rick Perry or Rudy Giuliani who were leading at one time. They say, "It's summer, people aren't paying attention yet, wait until Fall." Then Fall rolls around and they say, "It's too early. People are getting their kids off to school. They aren't paying attention yet." I suspect now through the end of December, we will hear, "People aren't paying attention. They're too busy with holiday stuff." But the funny thing is all of the panelists/news analysts/pundits have no problem with quoting other parts of the exact same polls to tell us who would do best versus Hillary.
I agree with the poll. Trump will bring out voters in droves.
True, I know plenty of people who would make sure to vote, just to vote against Trump the Birther if the right wingers were ever dumb enough to select him to be their candidate.
I find it odd that when the polls report on the "Which candidate would you vote for if you were voting today?" question all of the TV panels/news analysts/pundits say it's too early and point to Herman Cain or Fred Thompson or Rick Perry or Rudy Giuliani who were leading at one time. They say, "It's summer, people aren't paying attention yet, wait until Fall." Then Fall rolls around and they say, "It's too early. People are getting their kids off to school. They aren't paying attention yet." I suspect now through the end of December, we will hear, "People aren't paying attention. They're too busy with holiday stuff." But the funny thing is all of the panelists/news analysts/pundits have no problem with quoting other parts of the exact same polls to tell us who would do best versus Hillary.
For the most part, most people don't start paying attention until January when it comes to the primaries, and the rest of the voters that vote in the general election only, don't pay attention until late in the summer after the candidates have been figured out.
I do not believe polls period, especially this far out, but I would imagine, if he gets the nomination there will be a huge turnout, and I do not think it will be in his favor. I wish I could believe differently but I just can't see him winning. Of course I know a lot of people who will vote for him because they dislike Hillary so much, but that isn't necessarily the majority, especially minorities.
Yes, you have wonder with her on the ticket, how many are there voting against her. In the article, it says that they made the assumption that she would be the Democratic nominee.
It is still good news for Trump. Voters will be there to either vote for him because they support him or to keep Hillary out of office. All votes count the same in the final total.
I do think that with the REAL issues front and center because of Trump, I mean we all know how they try to bring up some social issue as a cover up for the real issues before elections, it makes it a total different experience.
While it is early, as said before, it is a "movement" not just about Trump as a candidate. Whole new ball game and way past due.
I agree with the poll. Trump will bring out voters in droves.
To vote against him.
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