States that hold their primaries between
March 1 and March 14, 2016, will award their delegates on a proportional basis, meaning that no one candidate could likely win the nomination before late-voting states get to hold their primaries. States voting on March 15, 2016, or later will award their delegates on a winner-take-all basis, meaning candidates will likely pay more attention to them.
Proportional Delegate States
(GOP only):
Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota,
Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, Kansas, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Hawaii, Idaho, Mississippi, Michigan, Maine, Puerto Rico,
Washington D.C., North Dakota.
Needed to nominate:
1,237
Here's my point. Feel free to help by providing more information
if it is sourced. All those proportioned delegates become a commodity.
- If the GOP wants to bump Trump, the only mistake they made was
moving Florida to be winner-take-all this year. That was done before
the Trump phenomenon. It was done for Bush and Rubio. Now, it could
backfire on them if Trump wins. But Still...
- The delegates carried by lesser candidates could be absolutely key
to determine the winner. By keeping a large field in the race, as opposed
to gleaning the field down to a small number, GOP confuses the electorate
and keeps Trump under the needed number.
- Accumulated and individual delegate counts of lesser candidates could
become essential. They could actually decide the winner. We could see
a scenario where Ben Carson, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio or even a Rand Paul
or Chris Christie provides that necessary bump by distributing their delegates
(if they stay in the race).. but if they leave, delegates are freed to choose
on the day of the convention.
Those who expect the race to quickly begin whittling down to 2-4 candidates
will be disappointed ! Why ? Because it behooves the anti-Trump conspiracy
to stop that from happening.