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Old 02-09-2016, 06:45 PM
 
2,212 posts, read 1,130,063 times
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I think Sanders is gaining momentum and his message is heard across other states with so much money out of fundraising. He might actually have a chance to win Nevada, South Carolina and the states in Super Tuesday...
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Old 02-09-2016, 06:45 PM
 
Location: Sweet Home Chicago!
5,189 posts, read 3,727,783 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
What planet do you live on?
He lives in the land of make believe. One of those who predicted Trump would be out by Labor Day.

I also wouldn't count Bernie out just yet. He's got a lot of momentum now and the National polls are almost even between Bernie and Hillary. It may end up being Trump vs. Sanders in the general election.
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Old 02-09-2016, 06:45 PM
 
1,116 posts, read 601,243 times
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Oh my, looks like that greasy Cuban-Canadian dude has overtaken Jebby for third at the moment...
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Old 02-09-2016, 06:46 PM
 
Location: LA, CA/ In This Time and Place
5,433 posts, read 3,510,457 times
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Seems life is being breathed into the campaigns of the governors, Kasich and Bush, Christie not so much.

This means a crowd still goes on, with Carly, Ben hopefully dropping out though it still does not make the GOP crowd thinner. Carly and Ben are actually non entities.
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Old 02-09-2016, 06:48 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
29,366 posts, read 39,800,226 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nep321 View Post
Bernie Sanders won! I'm so happy. However, realistically, I believe that Hillary will be the nominee, as well as Trump. And Hillary will defeat Trump by a bigger margin than Obama defeated Romney!
Trump's not going to win either. Add up the establishment and you see that the total is greater than Trump. He has no chance unless he gets a good `10-15% more than he is getting now. My pick, what it has been for a long time now: Bush vs. Clinton.
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Old 02-09-2016, 06:50 PM
 
Location: Minneapolis, MN
79 posts, read 113,806 times
Reputation: 75
Very glad Bernie won NH - granted his win was forecasted by polling information buy he's certainly piling on, up by 18 points right now - 58% to 40%. It will be a long arduous slog through the southeast states coming up in March, but this win will undoubtedly give momentum to his campaign which means more money and more media exposure.

Congratulations to Trump and his supporters. He certainly has a populist message that a decent chunk of the electorate is latching onto.

I would note that Trump is also benefitting from the plethora of establishment candidates still in the race; because the establishment vote is fractured among 5-6 candidates its allowing Trump to consolidate the outsider, insurgent voting bloc.

Will be very interesting going forward.
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Old 02-09-2016, 06:51 PM
Status: ""Trolling for dollars"" (set 9 days ago)
 
Location: Artane, Dublin
10,404 posts, read 12,251,434 times
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Damn. Trump and Sanders clobbered the competition.
Nice while it lasts.
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Old 02-09-2016, 06:52 PM
 
1,116 posts, read 601,243 times
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Bush is such a ******* dolt, but you might be right, Ponderosa...
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Old 02-09-2016, 06:52 PM
 
12,878 posts, read 4,657,792 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by drishmael View Post
Noise. Here's the signal: the country is more polarized than ever, and the vast, vast, vast majority of Sanders supporters will vote for Hillary over whomever the GOP nominates.
People will not vote, vote Jill Stein or even vote the other anti-establishment candidate. Like it or not, there is alot of cross-over appeal among Trump and Sanders. She is getting hammered among independents by Bernie Sanders. And especially in swing states. Sanders on the other hand does amazingly well among independents, especially in swing states. Nominating Hillary IS the biggest risk. She is getting crushed among independents in swing states. Now he also has massive grassroots funding. He is even outperforming Hillary in donations, all grassroots donors of course.
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Old 02-09-2016, 06:52 PM
 
Location: MPLS
752 posts, read 449,651 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
"Trump's not going to win either. Add up the establishment and you see that the total is greater than Trump. He has no chance unless he gets a good `10-15% more than he is getting now. My pick, what it has been for a long time now: Bush vs. Clinton."
Which establishment candidates are going to exit the race? Certainly not Bush, and probably not Kasich or Rubio. So the establishment side is going to remain crowded, and for the next month or so, the campaign is going to take place in a number of extremely conservative Southern states. New Hampshire was the establishment's best bet, and they blew it.
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