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Old 02-11-2016, 05:24 PM
 
44,339 posts, read 17,685,089 times
Reputation: 18663

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Democrats are losing 100s of 1000s of voters in last 8 years.

Results of the Iowa Caucus & New Hampshire Primary indicated the Democrats are lost significant number of voters between 2008 & 2016. This even though there were record turnouts and highly contested races. Furthermore more Republicans participated than Democrats in 2016. I don't think this has happened in NH in an open election year in a long time.

Iowa Democrat Caucus
  • 2008 - 239,872
  • 2016 - 140,548
  • Loss = 99,324
New Hampshire Democrat Primary
  • 2008 - 287,557
  • 2016 - 250,983
  • Loss = 36,574
On the other hand, these missing voters seem to have re-registered as Republicans


Iowa Republican Caucus
  • 2008 - 119,200
  • 2016 - 186,874
  • Gain = 67,674
New Hampshire Republican Primary
  • 2008 - 234,851
  • 2016 - 284,120
  • Gain = 49,269
So in just two small states, and one of them is decidedly a Blue state, the Democrats have lost 135,898 registered voters in just 8 years.

This is very bad news for where things are headed for the Democrats in the general election. Further proof that the Democrats have lost much of the middle class.
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Old 02-11-2016, 06:13 PM
 
2,658 posts, read 955,203 times
Reputation: 3140
Are they counting total votes? Because of those states allow independents to cross over and certainly the republican primary is more exciting with the wide number of candidates. Will have to wait until the real election and see how that turns out
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Old 02-11-2016, 07:07 PM
 
3,429 posts, read 2,478,080 times
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We saw this in the midterms when whites voted even more greatly for Republicans, Asians crossed over in large numbers, and Hispanics voted GOP heavily in key places or did not show up to vote.

The Dems, even on this site, dismissed it as "just the midterms," when their voters don't turn out, as if depending on low information, low interest voters is some kind of strength.

A few things are going on here:

A) Hillary Clinton is a totally uncompelling candidate (AGAIN) who conjures serious doubts. Bernie captures the hearts of Northeastren liberal types and limousine libs but does not have a broad appeal to other constituents. To say it another way, there is no Barrack Obama this year.

B) Party affiliation is down across the board. People have lost faith in both sides.

C) The Democrats are splitting, as happens with all coalitions eventually.

D) Jacksonian Democrats are switching sides because of Trump and Cruz, and the abandonment of white workng class voters by the Dems.

E) It is a a bad cycle for the Dems, as they have had the white house for eight years and we appear to be in some sort of crash.
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Old 02-11-2016, 07:22 PM
 
3,904 posts, read 1,720,925 times
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I called this 8 months ago when I said Democrats expecting huge turnouts to bail them out like 08 or even 12 were delusional. There is no hip, cool and young minority candidate to get new voters excited and running to the polls. Most minorities couldn't care less about an old, rich white woman or an even older white socialist. They are not firing anyone up to go vote. Democrats wont win this election.
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Old 02-11-2016, 07:34 PM
 
16,641 posts, read 8,499,372 times
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Imagine that! All you have to do is turn on pbs right now to understand why. eww
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Old 02-11-2016, 07:42 PM
 
Location: Florida
22,035 posts, read 9,361,490 times
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Yeah yeah, Dems are shaking in their boots. Their demise is greatly exaggerated by anonymous 'political pundits' on an internet forum.

More Americans identify with Democratic Party than GOP, poll shows - CBS News
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Old 02-11-2016, 08:32 PM
 
3,904 posts, read 1,720,925 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enigma777 View Post
Yeah yeah, Dems are shaking in their boots. Their demise is greatly exaggerated by anonymous 'political pundits' on an internet forum.

More Americans identify with Democratic Party than GOP, poll shows - CBS News
Dems got their asses handed to them in the last election, just like they will this year in the Presidential election.
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Old 02-11-2016, 08:38 PM
 
5,930 posts, read 5,409,365 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Beach Sportsfan View Post
Are they counting total votes? Because of those states allow independents to cross over and certainly the republican primary is more exciting with the wide number of candidates. Will have to wait until the real election and see how that turns out
This. That's a reflection of where the independents and perhaps new voters went this time, not registered democrats.

We have to see what happens when this gets to the general.
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Old 02-11-2016, 08:45 PM
 
1,115 posts, read 595,763 times
Reputation: 1121
Don't worry, kitty ... there's nothing like a pub maniac (Reckless Donnie or Crazy Ted the jesus freak) to get dems motivated before a general...
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Old 02-11-2016, 09:08 PM
 
Location: Somewhere
8,071 posts, read 5,367,363 times
Reputation: 5654
Kitty dear, have you seen those polls where the self proclaimed socialist and your King Hillary beat your orange clown by more than 10 points?

Just keeping it real.
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