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Updated below based off the results for the 15th. Please note these numbers are very preliminary, and are subject to change, especially on the Democratic side in Illinois and Florida as the Congressional District data is very incomplete and in some cases it is a pure guess.
FLORIDA Clinton 142 Sanders 72
ILLINOIS Clinton 80 Sanders 76
MISSOURI Clinton 36 Sanders 35
NORTH CAROLINA Clinton 61 Sanders 46
OHIO Clinton 79 Sanders 64
Total Last Night Clinton 398 Sanders 293
Clinton 1172 (hard total 1097) Sanders 845 (hard total 755) Too Close To Call 1 49.8% of pledged delegates have been awarded so far
*Iowa, Nevada, Colorado and Maine's delegates are finalized later in the process, estimates can be made based off Caucus night results (this includes later Convention's if not final) Due to the fact these can still change later in the process any Congressional District or statewide delegate that is within 1% of flipping I will put them in the category of too close to call
Republicans
FLORIDA Trump 99
ILLINOIS Trump 52 Cruz 9 Kasich 8
MISSOURI Trump 42 Cruz 10
NORTH CAROLINA Trump 30 Cruz 27 Kasich 9 Rubio 6
NORTHERN MARINAS ISLANDS Trump 9
OHIO Kasich 66
Total Last Night Trump 232 Kasich 83 Cruz 46 Rubio 6
59.3% of delegates awarded so far, this does include uncommitted and potential superdelegates
* Dropped out, each state has its own rules on what they do for candidates who have dropped out, in some cases the delegates are bound on the first ballot, in some cases later, in other cases they are automatically released, and a candidate can also choose to release their delegates (though still could be bound initially) For now I am going to keep them tallied ad is, but might update if a candidate releases the delegates or if I get a chance to do more research into the individual states. Previously meant little, but will have a much larger impact potentially now with Rubio dropping out
Updated below based off the results for the 15th. Please note these numbers are very preliminary, and are subject to change, especially on the Democratic side in Illinois and Florida as the Congressional District data is very incomplete and in some cases it is a pure guess.
Republicans MISSOURI Trump 42 Cruz 10
Total Last Night Trump 232 Kasich 83 Cruz 46 Rubio 6
N.Y. Times reports that Trump took all of Missouri.
There are 52 delegates up for grabs in Missouri, the Times only allocated 15. There are 12 delegates awarded to the statewide winner, 40 delegates awarded between the 8 Congressional Districts, 5 delegates per district to the winner. The NY Times is allocating 15 to Trump at this point because he is the clear winner in 3 of the 8 districts, but the statewide numbers as well as the other districts are all close so they aren't allocating those as of yet. I took my projection a bit further and awarded the delegates to who was ahead in each CD and statewide, even if it was narrow. This might not be correct when its all set and done, but wanted to estimate the full delegate allocation (as it looks now it will either be 42-10 Trump or 37-15 Trump)
Your numbers are off, Trump doesn't have 696. CNN Election Center has him at 662, RCP and Politico have him at 661.
Keep in mind these are just estimates. I allocated all of the delegates that were at stake last night, (including the ones that were still fairly close). CNN/ Politico and some others only allocated the ones that have been officially called. Green Papers has Trump at 691, as they have not allocated 10 of the Missouri delegates (5 of which I allocated to Trump in my count, 5 of which I allocated to Cruz)
Unless my math skills have suddenly tanked, I see Trump only needing about 52% of the remaining delegates and not the 60% that the pundits keep mentioning.
Unless my math skills have suddenly tanked, I see Trump only needing about 52% of the remaining delegates and not the 60% that the pundits keep mentioning.
It is a little over 53%, it was 56-57%/ depending on the count prior to Tuesday. There are a handful of uncommitted delegates on the GOP side so when you add that into the mix may have been pretty close to the 6% prior to Tuesday.
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