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Old 02-25-2016, 08:04 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,769 posts, read 40,902,683 times
Reputation: 62071

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Ted Cruz is giving up on everything but his home state. Only thing missing is the obit.

The Cruz Event Schedule on his website is VERY interesting. Saturday the 27th he has only one event scheduled at 11:30A in Georgia. I'm going to assume it's something he can't get out of, a rally in Atlanta.

He's going to be campaigning with his wife in Texas. He's conceding everything but Texas like I said in my first post.

4 events in Texas on the 26th
3 events in Texas on the 27th (plus the one in Atlanta)
3 events in Texas on the 28th

Now what we have to do is the math. His team must have figured out that if he finishes first in Texas (155 delegates - proportionally distributed), he'll get more delegates than Rubio finishing second in every state except maybe Georgia where Cruz hopes to finish ahead of Rubio.
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Old 02-25-2016, 08:06 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,249,275 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
I bet I know why. It has nothing directly to do with Alabama, either. Cruz has to defend Texas where he is leading. He didn't anticipate he'd have to spend a lot of time in Texas. See if he replaces the Alabama timeslot with a Texas event. He probably sacrificed the Southern state where he had the least chance of winning for more time in Texas. Just a guess.
Actually, the last two non Texas paper polls have him in a tie with Trump. Emmerson has him one point ahead and Survey USA has them tied. I really think he is likely going to lose there. Cruz is not as popular with Texans as most people seem to think.
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Old 02-25-2016, 08:07 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,249,275 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
Ted Cruz is giving up on everything but his home state. Only thing missing is the obit.

The Cruz Event Schedule on his website is VERY interesting. Saturday the 27th he has only one event scheduled at 11:30A in Georgia. I'm going to assume it's something he can't get out of, a rally in Atlanta.

He's going to be campaigning with his wife in Texas. He's conceding everything but Texas like I said in my first post.

4 events in Texas on the 26th
3 events in Texas on the 27th (plus the one in Atlanta)
3 events in Texas on the 28th

Now what we have to do is the math. His team must have figured out that if he finishes first in Texas (155 delegates - proportionally distributed), he'll get more delegates than Rubio finishing second in every state except maybe Georgia where Cruz hopes to finish ahead of Rubio.
Yes, I'm sure that is the case. The issue is that Trump could come in second and actually come up with more delegates though. If he actually manages to sweep the other states and gets as many or nearly as many as Cruz then that is not a good sign.
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Old 02-25-2016, 08:12 AM
 
17,318 posts, read 11,192,172 times
Reputation: 40737
Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
Yes, I'm sure that is the case. The issue is that Trump could come in second and actually come up with more delegates though. If he actually manages to sweep the other states and gets as many or nearly as many as Cruz then that is not a good sign.
Isn't Texas a winner take all delegate state?
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Old 02-25-2016, 08:13 AM
 
11,755 posts, read 7,092,054 times
Reputation: 8011
Cruz Pulls Out of Saturday's Forum in Alabama

Well, it was either that or the rhythm method.

Mick
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Old 02-25-2016, 08:27 AM
 
4,040 posts, read 2,547,645 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
Isn't Texas a winner take all delegate state?
Nope.
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Old 02-25-2016, 08:32 AM
 
52,433 posts, read 26,518,232 times
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This is exactly the reason that Rubio & Cruz will not prevail against Trump. They are being forced to play defense instead of going on the offense.

The game is over for the both of them.
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Old 02-25-2016, 08:35 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,769 posts, read 40,902,683 times
Reputation: 62071
Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
Isn't Texas a winner take all delegate state?
No. The first winner takes all states vote March 15.
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Old 02-25-2016, 08:50 AM
 
Location: Starting a walkabout
2,691 posts, read 1,657,844 times
Reputation: 3130
Quote:
Originally Posted by phma View Post
It might actually work out better in the long run if Cruz wins Tx. It keeps him in the race longer and hurts Rubio too as Trump wins in other states.
Actually I want Cruz to win Texas by a slim majority than lose it by a slim margin. The former will strengthen his resolve to stay in the race and thus deny Rubio and the Establishment the chance to push him out, while the latter might cause him to drop out and leave the robot as the sole opponent to Trump
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