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Old 03-03-2016, 08:05 PM
 
4,078 posts, read 2,339,730 times
Reputation: 1395

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hellion1999 View Post
1980 March Carter beats Reagan by 30%
1988 April Dukakis beats Bush by 25%
1992 May Bush I beats Bill Clinton by 22%
2004 March Kerry beats W Bush by 8%
2008 April Mccain beats Obama by 4%


both parties are not unified for 1 candidate now so polls will change after the conventions and the economy and news of the moment.
These are from which source?
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Old 03-03-2016, 08:15 PM
 
Location: pensacola,florida
3,202 posts, read 4,434,090 times
Reputation: 1671
Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75 View Post
What's going to change in 8 month? Trump can only go down from here with the more stupid things he seems to say daily. Her lead will probably grow into the double digits against him by summer.


Well which is it Dex?Nothing can change in 8 months or her lead will probably grow by summer??

You are always taking multiple,conflicting positions from thread to thread,post to post,sometimes taking two diametricly opposed positions within the same thread.I'm sure you've followed enough polls in your life to know that they nearly always do change over 4/6/8/10/18 months.If you really aren't aware of this fact a simple google search will prove it,but since you obviously know how to work a computer I suspect you are merely being disingenuous,although your motivation eludes me.

Do you really think ANYONE is going to discard ANY candidate because they are 5 points behind another in a race 8 months away?
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Old 03-03-2016, 08:18 PM
 
4,078 posts, read 2,339,730 times
Reputation: 1395
Quote:
Originally Posted by imbobbbb View Post
Well which is it Dex?Nothing can change in 8 months or her lead will probably grow by summer??

You are always taking multiple,conflicting positions from thread to thread,post to post,sometimes taking two diametricly opposed positions within the same thread.I'm sure you've followed enough polls in your life to know that they nearly always do change over 4/6/8/10/18 months.If you really aren't aware of this fact a simple google search will prove it,but since you obviously know how to work a computer I suspect you are merely being disingenuous,although your motivation eludes me.

Do you really think ANYONE is going to discard ANY candidate because they are 5 points behind another in a race 8 months away?
5 points? Look at the polls. Hillary beats Trump by double digits in most of them. Cruz and Rubio beat her.
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Old 03-03-2016, 08:49 PM
 
11,046 posts, read 5,271,700 times
Reputation: 5253
Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75 View Post
These are from which source?
Gallup and more polls during the time that you can look up.


Gallup Presidential Election Trial-Heat Trends, 1936-2004



1976 April Carter beats Ford by 5%
1976 August Carter Beats Ford by 32%

Final results: Carter won by 2%



1980 January: Carter beats Reagan 29%
1980 March: Carter beats Reagan by 25%
1980: June: Carter beats Reagan by 7%

Final results: Reagan beats Carter by 10%





1988 May Dukakis beats Bush I by 16%
1988 July Dukakis beats Bush I by 19%
1988 Aug Dukakis beats Bush I by 7%

Final results : Bush 1 by 8%




1992 April Bush 1 beats Clinton by 19%
1992 May Bush 1 beats Clinton by 15%
1992 June Bush 1 beats Clinton by 6%

Final results: Clinton beat Bush 1 by 6%




April 2004: Kerry beats W Bush by 6%
June 2004: Kerry beats W Bush by 6%
July 2004: Kerry beats W Bush by 5%
Oct 2004: Kerry beats W Bush by 1%

Final results: W Bush beat Kerry 2%


April 2008: Mccain beats Obama by 4%
May 2008: Mccain beats Obama by 6%
Sept: 2008: Mccain beats Obama by 7%

Final Results: Obama beat Mccain 7%




there you go!!......that's why anybody that knows about general elections doesn't take polls match ups before the summer and before conventions seriously that's why you sound clueless.
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Old 03-03-2016, 08:56 PM
 
11,046 posts, read 5,271,700 times
Reputation: 5253
dexter if people listen to you in 1980, they would dump Reagan in the primary:


1980 January: Carter beats Reagan 29%
1980 March: Carter beats Reagan by 25%
1980: June: Carter beats Reagan by 7%

Final results: Reagan beats Carter by 10%



if people listen to your silly argument, dukakis would have been President.......Bill Clinton would never have won......Kerry and Mccain would have been Presidents.


your argument is weak at best..... 9 months to go to the General and a 8 point lead in 1 poll is NOTHING!
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Old 03-03-2016, 08:57 PM
 
4,078 posts, read 2,339,730 times
Reputation: 1395
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hellion1999 View Post
Gallup and more polls during the time that you can look up.


Gallup Presidential Election Trial-Heat Trends, 1936-2004



1976 April Carter beats Ford by 5%
1976 August Carter Beats Ford by 32%

Final results: Carter won by 2%



1980 January: Carter beats Reagan 29%
1980 March: Carter beats Reagan by 25%
1980: June: Carter beats Reagan by 7%

Final results: Reagan beats Carter by 10%





1988 May Dukakis beats Bush I by 16%
1988 July Dukakis beats Bush I by 19%
1988 Aug Dukakis beats Bush I by 7%

Final results : Bush 1 by 8%




1992 April Bush 1 beats Clinton by 19%
1992 May Bush 1 beats Clinton by 15%
1992 June Bush 1 beats Clinton by 6%

Final results: Clinton beat Bush 1 by 6%




April 2004: Kerry beats W Bush by 6%
June 2004: Kerry beats W Bush by 6%
July 2004: Kerry beats W Bush by 5%
Oct 2004: Kerry beats W Bush by 1%

Final results: W Bush beat Kerry 2%


April 2008: Mccain beats Obama by 4%
May 2008: Mccain beats Obama by 6%
Sept: 2008: Mccain beats Obama by 7%

Final Results: Obama beat Mccain 7%




there you go!!......that's why anybody that knows about general elections doesn't take polls match ups before the summer and before conventions seriously that's why you sound clueless.
Thanks
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Old 03-03-2016, 08:59 PM
 
Location: pensacola,florida
3,202 posts, read 4,434,090 times
Reputation: 1671
Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75 View Post
5 points? Look at the polls. Hillary beats Trump by double digits in most of them. Cruz and Rubio beat her.
I was only referencing the last poll YOU POSTED.
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