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Old 03-06-2016, 09:10 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
18,978 posts, read 15,446,852 times
Reputation: 3946

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Looks like Sanders has picked up a delegate over Clinton in Louisiana although there is still a large amount that hasn't yet been broken out by CD, so a delegate or 2 shift there is still possible.

On the GOP side in Louisiana, while it is still 100% unclear it appears that there is a little more clarity with the way the Congressional District figures are rounded. Doesn't look like the 20% required to get any statewide delegates apply to Congressional District, nor does it look like it is a winner take most on the Congressional District, but purely proportional. This would net Rubio 5 delegates, 1 each in 5 Congressional Districts and an extra delegate in Louisiana for Cruz. Some of the vote hasn't been broken out by CD yet fully so it is possible it could be revised somewhat.


Kansas
Sanders 23
Clinton 10

*Nebraska
Sanders 15
Clinton 10

*Louisiana
Clinton 38
Sanders 13


*Nebraska has a bunch of votes outstanding in Lancaster County (Lincoln) which is heavily for Sanders, but it is unlikely to have any delegate impact. Louisiana is an estimated projection, 100% is in, but only portion of the results by CD is available

Yesterday
Clinton 58
Sanders 51


Clinton 666 (hard total 596)
Sanders 463 (hard total 389)
Too Close To Call 1




*Iowa, Nevada and Colorado's delegates are finalized later in the process, estimates can be made based off Caucus night results


Democrats have a Caucus in Maine tomorrow in which 25 delegates are at stake, proportionally at the statewide and Congressional District level, 15% is needed to receive any delegates.




Republicans


Kansas
Cruz 24
Trump 9
Rubio 6
Kasich 1


Maine
Cruz 12
Trump 9
Kasich 2
Rubio 0


Kentucky
Trump 17
Cruz 15
Rubio 7
Kasich 7


*Louisiana
Trump 18
Cruz 18
Rubio 5
Uncommitted/Unpledged 5


.


Yesterday
Cruz 69
Trump 53
Rubio 18
Kasich 8
Uncommited 5


Totals:
Trump 391
Cruz 305
Rubio 130
Kasich 37
*Carson 8
*Bush 4
*Paul 3
*Fiorina 1
*Huckabee 1
Uncommitted 5
Who Knows 6

* Dropped out


Republicans have a Primary in Puerto Rico today. 23 delegates at stake. Winner take all if a candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, if no candidate receives over 50% of the vote delegates are awarded proportionally, however a candidate needs to receive 20% of the vote to get any delegates.
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Old 03-06-2016, 02:30 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
18,978 posts, read 15,446,852 times
Reputation: 3946
Rubio will win Puerto Rico and get over 50% of the vote so he will get all 23 delegates.
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Old 03-06-2016, 02:54 PM
 
10,509 posts, read 3,961,309 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Rubio will win Puerto Rico and get over 50% of the vote so he will get all 23 delegates.
It appears so. The race has already been called for Rubio, who has 74% of the vote with 32% reporting.

2016 Election Center - Presidential Primaries and Caucuses

Unfortunately for him, Puerto Rico does not get to vote for President in November.
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Old 03-06-2016, 02:55 PM
 
Location: My beloved Bluegrass
14,690 posts, read 10,577,428 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spartacus713 View Post
It appears so. The race has already been called for Rubio, who has 74% of the vote with 32% reporting.

2016 Election Center - Presidential Primaries and Caucuses

Unfortunately for him, Puerto Rico does not get to vote for President in November.
No, but the Democrats and independents will, and they are more likely to vote for him in a head-to-head against Hillary than they would Trump against her. Poll after poll after poll has shown that.
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Old 03-06-2016, 02:57 PM
 
12,639 posts, read 7,298,359 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oldhag1 View Post
Rubio has been declared the winner of Puetro Rico. Right now he is at 75%. That might go up or down, but he'll get enough to make it winner-take-all.
I thought the Hispanics just loooooved Trump?
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Old 03-06-2016, 03:03 PM
 
Location: My beloved Bluegrass
14,690 posts, read 10,577,428 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LoveToRow View Post
I thought the Hispanics just loooooved Trump?
Sure, sure they do.
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Old 03-06-2016, 03:23 PM
 
10,812 posts, read 8,029,154 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Delahanty View Post
But, yes, New Yorkers in FL might help Drumpf. Just as NY, itself, long taken for granted by Democrats, might come into play for Drumpf in the general election--but not simply because that's his home state.

Just a little something for Dems to think about...
Clinton's a long-time NY resident also, was elected twice to the Senate there by very large margins (55% and 67%).
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Old 03-06-2016, 03:29 PM
 
Location: NJ/NY
10,817 posts, read 10,143,810 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LoveToRow View Post
I thought the Hispanics just loooooved Trump?
For what it's worth, Trump did beat Cruz (The other Hispanic candidate) in Puerto Rico.
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Old 03-06-2016, 03:45 PM
 
Location: My beloved Bluegrass
14,690 posts, read 10,577,428 times
Reputation: 19833
So, Rubio is the first Republican to win a majority in any primary.
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Old 03-06-2016, 04:09 PM
 
Location: Somewhere
8,071 posts, read 5,378,007 times
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This win is important because there are a lot of Puerto Ricans in Central Florida and this might indicate republican Cubans will be inclined to also vote for Rubio.

I don't know how many Puerto Ricans are registered as republicans though I think they tend to vote for democrats. A lot of Cubans are republican though.

I have said it before, there is a good probability Trump won't win Florida. Cubans are not like Mexicans, they vote because they are very political. I should know since I have put up with Cuban exile politics for decades. I even called once a station when I was 14 to fight with them. There were no internet forums back then LOL
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