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Old 03-09-2016, 12:44 PM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,628,813 times
Reputation: 21097

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Hmm. Maybe Rule 40 will mean that Trump is the only candidate that can be nominated no matter the number of delegates. As rule now stands, if candidate doesn't meet this requirement, they can't be nominated.

Trump now has 7 of the 8 states needed to meet requirement to be considered for nomination for the GOP presidential candidate.
  • South Carolina - 50 of 50
  • Alabama - 36 of 50
  • Georgia - 46 of 76
  • Massachusetts - 22 of 42
  • Tennessee - 33 of 58
  • Hawaii - 10 of 19
  • Mississippi - 24 of 40
Trump should easily score the 8th state on the 15th.

On the other hand, Cruz only has 4 states. He is unlikely to win a majority in 4 more states.
Rubio only has 1 and that's only if Puerto Rico is counted as a state.
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Old 03-09-2016, 12:47 PM
 
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Read what it says. Those rules expire a day before the convention starts, which means they can vote to move that threshold at the convention. Trump could get the majority of delegates in 49 states and they could vote to change the threshold to 50 states at the convention and block Trump's nomination. He's not going to win, keep dreaming.
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Old 03-09-2016, 12:49 PM
 
Location: My beloved Bluegrass
20,126 posts, read 16,159,824 times
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They will drop that requirement like a hot potato if the only person it qualifies is Trump. Don't kid yourself. The only reason they have that rule now is because they enacted the day before the 2012 convention to shut out Ron Paul.
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Old 03-09-2016, 12:57 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,771 posts, read 104,739,062 times
Reputation: 49248
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Hmm. Maybe Rule 40 will mean that Trump is the only candidate that can be nominated no matter the number of delegates. As rule now stands, if candidate doesn't meet this requirement, they can't be nominated.

Trump now has 7 of the 8 states needed to meet requirement to be considered for nomination for the GOP presidential candidate.
  • South Carolina - 50 of 50
  • Alabama - 36 of 50
  • Georgia - 46 of 76
  • Massachusetts - 22 of 42
  • Tennessee - 33 of 58
  • Hawaii - 10 of 19
  • Mississippi - 24 of 40
Trump should easily score the 8th state on the 15th.

On the other hand, Cruz only has 4 states. He is unlikely to win a majority in 4 more states.
Rubio only has 1 and that's only if Puerto Rico is counted as a state.
There are 2 things you are overlooking: 1-the rules can be changed up to convention and 2-there is a difference between a brokered convention and a contested convention. Google the two.
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Old 03-09-2016, 01:01 PM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,628,813 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oldhag1 View Post
They will drop that requirement like a hot potato if the only person it qualifies is Trump. Don't kid yourself. The only reason they have that rule now is because they enacted the day before the 2012 convention to shut out Ron Paul.
Haha. Oh I'm counting on it if it turns out that way.
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Old 03-09-2016, 01:03 PM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,628,813 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nmnita View Post
There are 2 things you are overlooking: 1-the rules can be changed up to convention and 2-there is a difference between a brokered convention and a contested convention. Google the two.
No difference if you are not eligible to be considered for nomination.
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Old 03-09-2016, 01:08 PM
 
4,078 posts, read 2,339,730 times
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How does a contested convention work? - CBS News
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Old 03-09-2016, 01:10 PM
 
6,617 posts, read 5,009,834 times
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The GOP can change any and all rules at any time. If Trump gets the nomination it will be no doubt because he made a backroom deal with the GOP power brokers, while Trump may not need the donor class (jury still out), everyone else in the GOP does to get reelected, microfinancing only works in Presidential races, a congress race does not get people motivated enough to support it with micro donations, so if you think Trump is goign to be able to thumb his nose up at the donor class and get the nomination is just wishful thinking.
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Old 03-09-2016, 05:57 PM
 
2,464 posts, read 1,286,813 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
No difference if you are not eligible to be considered for nomination.
This is a non issue if the eligibility can be changed at any time. Trump doesn't have this in the bag without first going through the Republican establishment in a very messy convention.
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Old 03-09-2016, 06:15 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
16,911 posts, read 10,591,580 times
Reputation: 16439
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oldhag1 View Post
They will drop that requirement like a hot potato if the only person it qualifies is Trump. Don't kid yourself. The only reason they have that rule now is because they enacted the day before the 2012 convention to shut out Ron Paul.
They were so dumb to do that. Ron Paul would not have one and they just alienated a significant percent of their base and showed their corruption. As for Cruz, I don't see how he can be president since he was born in Canada.
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