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Indeed. And if you know this for certain, then their votes won't decide the election they have been factored into this theory. i.e. It will be the While male vote that determines who gets elected.
Don't you wish.
Let me slow this down for you: Unless Trump's standing with women and minorities magically improves between now and November, he's going to need 70% of the White male vote to win. That doesn't mean there are no other routes to victory. It simply means they are far less likely. For example, Trump could also win by garnering 45% of the Latino vote or 20% of the AA vote, but Danny DeVito will win the NBA Slam Dunk contest barefoot before Trump garners that kind of support.
70% of the White male vote is a bit more realistic, but still a huge longshot, since recent GOP nominees top out at around 62-63%. Trump is headed in the direction of an electoral drubbing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by InformedConsent
Anecdotal, but I have a friend who's in management at a large American car company auto plant in the Midwest. The workers on the line, all UAW union members, have told him the union bosses want them to vote for Hillary (presumed November Dem candidate), but they're voting for Trump in the primary and will in November because they're scared sh*tless that their plant will be the next one moving to Mexico. And those auto plant workers are mostly male and mostly minority.
There's a lot more going on with this election than people realize. Americans are very fearful they're going to be the next to lose their jobs. That's going to influence their votes the most.
When Trump gets his teeth kicked in this November, will you go back and reminisce over these obviously phony anecdotes?
I am a conservative first and foremost and I hate Trump, most of us do. The ones who love Trump are Independents and right leaning Democrats.
You would rather a politician who is owned by lobbyist in which case nothing will ever change.
-Big pharma will have their ways of keeping prices high
- Insurance companies will continue to bend us over since they pay the politicians to keep the laws that benefits them and no one can compete
- Isis will continue to laugh at us and never be scared
- NAFTA will continue to benefit other countries and big corporations. Jobs gone
Because this is what lobbyists do to politicians (apart from Bernie), They buy them with millions and you peons can't even see it.
Ask Hillary to tell you how much she made talking to wall street.
Ask Rubio about the Goldman Sach loans
Ask Lyin Ted about who is big contributors are.
No one is asking them the tough questions about who owns them.
I say make your contribution public so that we all know. No hiding, no playing with the financial books.
Let me slow this down for you: Unless Trump's standing with women and minorities magically improves between now and November, he's going to need 70% of the White male vote to win.
You aren't addressing the article nor theory. That article already makes it clear that won't happen.
It clearly states that if Trump gains more than 70% of white male vote he wins election. If not Hillary wins. i.e. the rest don't matter.
You're not a Republican. Lol. But keep up that facade liberals. He'll get all the votes he needs. Get used to the title President Trump.
You don't have to be a Republican to figure out simple math. Most Republicans think that Trump can't win a general.
Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75
Ok, got it. So we have the 4 of you, plus Trump's 3 black friends and the 2 black women on Youtube who love him and the black pastor introducing him at OH rallies. So thats 10 minorities voting for Trump! Well, you are only half Asian so 9 1/2. He's well on his way to the nomination now! Thanks
Made me laugh so hard!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Caldus
I don't know how the general election will play out, but if the turnout is anything similar to what we've seen in the primaries, you would think the Republicans would crush it this time. Look at the turnout at all of their primaries. That should really scare the Democrats and that's simply data that is indisputable.
Indisputable data is that Trump has a problem with the female vote (large voting bloc, remember) and a minority problem; that is only getting worse. That should scare Republicans. Well, it does - but the ones on here shilling for Trump can't admit it.
I am a conservative first and foremost and I hate Trump, most of us do. The ones who love Trump are Independents and right leaning Democrats.
I turn on the TV and I see/hear the current president babble and I know that he lies to me, he lies to me all the time! I'm so sick of it!!!
So you liberals and anti-Trump people keep on electing Democrats/Republicans/Establishment/Politically experienced types that will lie to you with their rehearsed so-called talking point babble who are all talk and NO positive action (although most of you are under the kool-aid spell) and break all kinds of promises and making you a servant of them from your wallets and or depress you to a non-productive zombie.
If Trump is on the ballot imo he'll break all kinds of high vote records (for him) as too many people are quite SICK and TIRED of voting for the same status quo and someone like Trump is worth a shot as it surely (with many people's opinions) can't be any worse than what we had to endure for the past 7 plus years now.
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