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Old 03-16-2016, 05:52 PM
 
45,165 posts, read 17,925,751 times
Reputation: 18912

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Trump only needs 547 delegates out of the 1044 delegates left to win nomination. Now that we are moving to "Winner Take All" and "Winner Take Most", I don't see where Cruz and Kasich have it in them to win 498 delegates in order to deny Trump those 547 delegates.

If Trump takes
  • Arizona
  • Wisconson
  • New York <-Winner Take Most
  • Delaware
  • Maryland
  • Pennsylvania
  • Indiana
  • California
  • New Jersey
He has 600 delegates. Hard to imagine that Cruz would win any of these winner take all states. Furthermore, as backup, The Trump states of Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Washington are all Winner Take Most. And of course Trump will rack up proportional delegates and most likely will win a few more of the Winner take All states.

With this kind of math, I think all the talk about brokered or contested conventions is yet another made up controversy created by the establishment and MSM.

Trump will be the GOP Nominee.

Sorry about that Ted Cruz Fans. Too Bad Hillary Fans.
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Old 03-16-2016, 05:56 PM
 
69,372 posts, read 55,491,494 times
Reputation: 9363
Dont tell the left, they are still trying to post threads about how Trump wont be the nominee,
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Old 03-16-2016, 06:05 PM
 
11,758 posts, read 5,546,891 times
Reputation: 7964
Quote:
Originally Posted by pghquest View Post
Dont tell the left, they are still trying to post threads about how Trump wont be the nominee,
So are the Republicans . . . .

They are way more invested than the Democrats. We just grab popcorn and see what kind of implosion might await them. Joy.

Mick
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Old 03-16-2016, 06:06 PM
 
Location: western East Roman Empire
6,614 posts, read 10,673,882 times
Reputation: 5762
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Trump only needs 547 delegates out of the 1044 delegates left to win nomination. Now that we are moving to "Winner Take All" and "Winner Take Most", I don't see where Cruz and Kasich have it in them to win 498 delegates in order to deny Trump those 547 delegates.

If Trump takes
  • Arizona
  • Wisconson
  • New York <-Winner Take Most
  • Delaware
  • Maryland
  • Pennsylvania
  • Indiana
  • California
  • New Jersey
He has 600 delegates. Hard to imagine that Cruz would win any of these winner take all states. Furthermore, as backup, The Trump states of Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Washington are all Winner Take Most. And of course Trump will rack up proportional delegates and most likely will win a few more of the Winner take All states.

With this kind of math, I think all the talk about brokered or contested conventions is yet another made up controversy created by the establishment and MSM.

Trump will be the GOP Nominee.

Sorry about that Ted Cruz Fans. Too Bad Hillary Fans.
A few hours ago I took a calculator and drew the same conclusion.

Still, just like in football we have odds and spreads, but they still have to play the game, the same goes for the rest of the primaries and the general election, polls for which, by the way, I'd take with a grain of salt right now.

So let's play the game, at the very least it should be a lot of fun!
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Old 03-16-2016, 06:06 PM
 
6,062 posts, read 3,105,509 times
Reputation: 4096
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Trump only needs 547 delegates out of the 1044 delegates left to win nomination. Now that we are moving to "Winner Take All" and "Winner Take Most", I don't see where Cruz and Kasich have it in them to win 498 delegates in order to deny Trump those 547 delegates.

If Trump takes
  • Arizona
  • Wisconson
  • New York <-Winner Take Most
  • Delaware
  • Maryland
  • Pennsylvania
  • Indiana
  • California
  • New Jersey
He has 600 delegates. Hard to imagine that Cruz would win any of these winner take all states. Furthermore, as backup, The Trump states of Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Washington are all Winner Take Most. And of course Trump will rack up proportional delegates and most likely will win a few more of the Winner take All states.

With this kind of math, I think all the talk about brokered or contested conventions is yet another made up controversy created by the establishment and MSM.

Trump will be the GOP Nominee.

Sorry about that Ted Cruz Fans. Too Bad Hillary Fans.
Thanks for breaking this down for us!!

Gooo TRUMP !!!
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Old 03-16-2016, 06:11 PM
Status: ""Trolling for dollars"" (set 2 days ago)
 
Location: In the basket
10,356 posts, read 12,218,900 times
Reputation: 6693
I still say it's going to be Jeb vs Hillary in November.
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Old 03-16-2016, 07:08 PM
 
3,904 posts, read 1,729,214 times
Reputation: 1085
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Trump only needs 547 delegates out of the 1044 delegates left to win nomination. Now that we are moving to "Winner Take All" and "Winner Take Most", I don't see where Cruz and Kasich have it in them to win 498 delegates in order to deny Trump those 547 delegates.

If Trump takes
  • Arizona
  • Wisconson
  • New York <-Winner Take Most
  • Delaware
  • Maryland
  • Pennsylvania
  • Indiana
  • California
  • New Jersey
He has 600 delegates. Hard to imagine that Cruz would win any of these winner take all states. Furthermore, as backup, The Trump states of Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Washington are all Winner Take Most. And of course Trump will rack up proportional delegates and most likely will win a few more of the Winner take All states.

With this kind of math, I think all the talk about brokered or contested conventions is yet another made up controversy created by the establishment and MSM.

Trump will be the GOP Nominee.

Sorry about that Ted Cruz Fans. Too Bad Hillary Fans.
Your math is off, he needs closer to 600 to win. You really expect Trumps racist, hateful rhetoric to fly in those states? You're in for a surprise. His rhetoric doesn't play well outside the south and Cruz just picked up a ton of new voters with Rubio dropping out.
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Old 03-16-2016, 07:18 PM
 
16,930 posts, read 8,613,921 times
Reputation: 9722
Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75 View Post
Your math is off, he needs closer to 600 to win. You really expect Trumps racist, hateful rhetoric to fly in those states? You're in for a surprise. His rhetoric doesn't play well outside the south and Cruz just picked up a ton of new voters with Rubio dropping out.
LOL youre crackin me up dude.. been sayin that for months..seriously just like the black knight in monty python keep em comin
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Old 03-16-2016, 07:20 PM
 
5,280 posts, read 3,318,179 times
Reputation: 6467
Quote:
Originally Posted by saltine View Post
LOL youre crackin me up dude.. been sayin that for months..seriously just like the black knight in monty python keep em comin
"'It's just a flesh wound!"
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Old 03-16-2016, 07:32 PM
 
6,062 posts, read 3,105,509 times
Reputation: 4096
Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75 View Post
Your math is off, he needs closer to 600 to win. You really expect Trumps racist, hateful rhetoric to fly in those states? You're in for a surprise. His rhetoric doesn't play well outside the south and Cruz just picked up a ton of new voters with Rubio dropping out.
Give it a rest man
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