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Many of the states with large Evangelical populations are now out of the way with Cruz having lost the majority of them. Now the race moves into the Industrial Midwest and Northeast, which have many more secular Republicans, and states on the West Coast where Republicans are not as religious as they are in, say, Iowa. These states are also much bigger than states like Wyoming and Idaho and some of them are winner take all (Jersey). Which ones does Cruz have a realistic chance of winning?
Also, in a general election, which states could Cruz win against Clinton?
Ohio
Wisconsin
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Florida
Colorado
New Hampshire
Virginia
New Mexico
He might be able to win Utah. That's about it. Trump has this wrapped up. It's just a formality to let it play out at this point to the 1237.
You don't think Cruz can appeal to Catholic voters in Wisconsin, New Jersey, Connecticut and New York as well as moderate conservatives in California and Washington?
You don't think Cruz can appeal to Catholic voters in Wisconsin, New Jersey, Connecticut and New York as well as moderate conservatives in California and Washington?
How can Cruz win Virginia if he finished behind Rubio and Trump there? Virginia is tilting towards the northern end of the state nowadays and it doesn't seem like a very conservative Republican would do well there at all.
You don't think Cruz can appeal to Catholic voters in Wisconsin, New Jersey, Connecticut and New York as well as moderate conservatives in California and Washington?
Northeast Republicans and Catholics tend to be more moderate. I can't see Cruz successfully appealing to them.
As said above, the "New York" values will haunt him.
Can Cruz be relied on to protect the auto industries in Michigan and Ohio? Any chance he gets union backing in those states?
Also, could he appeal to voters in the Philly suburbs by denouncing same sex marriage?
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