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Old 03-30-2016, 06:50 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,801 posts, read 41,003,240 times
Reputation: 62194

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I looked at different websites. None of them match each other on delegates awarded.

Last night, right before the CNN townhall, Trump said the recount was done. He had just been told he won Missouri (by more than what was announced primary night.) I wanted to see, with that adjustment made, who has how many delegates as of right now.

All I want to know is what website is most reliable for a delegate awarded count as of the minute I check it. Does each party have a reliable site for that info?

As I post this:

Real Clear Politics, Politico, Washington Post, Bloomberg says:

Trump 736
Cruz 463
Kasich 143

CNN says:

Trump 739
Cruz 460
Kasich 145

Frontloading HQ says:


Trump 751
Cruz 462
Kasich 144

*Nate Silver's 538 site says:


Trump 752
Cruz 463
Kasich 144

*Note: This 538 site says it was updated at 6:00P last night, around the same time Trump said he got the Missouri final count. But can it be that 4 major results sites haven't bothered to update or is the Silver site wrong? You'll note that the total delegates awarded to the 3 current candidates on the 538 site show more delegates in total awarded than the other sets so it's more than a distribution issue.
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Old 03-30-2016, 07:02 AM
 
Location: Kansas
25,962 posts, read 22,107,325 times
Reputation: 26694
I don't know if this is accurate but it is the site I use: 2016 Delegate Count Tracker: 2016 Election - POLITICO
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Old 03-30-2016, 07:09 AM
 
17,441 posts, read 9,265,380 times
Reputation: 11907
Nate Silver uses Green Papers for their stuff. They really dig into the weeds and follow all the little changes in each state with their State Laws.

The Green Papers
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Old 03-30-2016, 07:11 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,184 posts, read 19,457,116 times
Reputation: 5302
I have my own thread on here in which I try to keep track, best site I have found is the Green Papers. They tend to be a bit quicker with some of the updates than the other sites


Republican Convention 2016


Democratic Convention 2016
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Old 03-30-2016, 07:13 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,801 posts, read 41,003,240 times
Reputation: 62194
Quote:
Originally Posted by AnywhereElse View Post
I don't know if this is accurate but it is the site I use: 2016 Delegate Count Tracker: 2016 Election - POLITICO
I listed Politico but I don't know if it's accurate/up to date. I was hoping each party had some website. Since this election could be a squeaker, I'd like to know what count they recognize.
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Old 03-30-2016, 07:16 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,618,587 times
Reputation: 21097
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kibby View Post
Nate Silver uses Green Papers for their stuff. They really dig into the weeds and follow all the little changes in each state with their State Laws.

The Green Papers
I would go with the greenpapers too. They seem to have the most detail about it.
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Old 03-30-2016, 07:20 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,801 posts, read 41,003,240 times
Reputation: 62194
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kibby View Post
Nate Silver uses Green Papers for their stuff. They really dig into the weeds and follow all the little changes in each state with their State Laws.

The Green Papers
But, they don't match Nate Silver's website. They say:

Trump 752
R Cruz 464
J Kasich 144

They give Cruz an extra delegate than Silver.

But if they are accurate, that means CNN, Bloomberg, AP, Washington Post, Real Clear Politics, Politico are putting out garbage and they are the sites most people go to.
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Old 03-30-2016, 07:22 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,618,587 times
Reputation: 21097
^That could be because thegreenpapers makes constant updates to the delegate counts based on changes from each of the states. I'm guessing that Silver doesn't keep up with it to that extent.
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Old 03-30-2016, 07:30 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,184 posts, read 19,457,116 times
Reputation: 5302
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
But, they don't match Nate Silver's website. They say:

Trump 752
R Cruz 464
J Kasich 144

They give Cruz an extra delegate than Silver.

But if they are accurate, that means CNN, Bloomberg, AP, Washington Post, Real Clear Politics, Politico are putting out garbage and they are the sites most people go to.
Looking at it now Green Papers and Silver have the exact same numbers. Trump 752, Cruz 463
. As far as CNN, Politico, RCP, AP, etc, they tend to be more careful with their updates. By that I mean hold off on awarding some of the delegates until the races are certified on some of the closes races, or waiting on official numbers from the state. They also seem to wait a bit more when it comes down to awarding the delegates by Congressional District (which isn't always easy to tell until the state releases them) where Green papers will delve a bit deeper into it, extrapolate County level results or even Precinct level results when available. In some cases this causes Green Papers to be off a couple delegates here and there when they make the initial projections for the delegate count, but as a general rule probably gives a clearer picture of where things stand than the sites that are holding off on updating the delegates until they have a clearer picture.
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Old 03-30-2016, 07:42 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,801 posts, read 41,003,240 times
Reputation: 62194
Okay, I'm going with you guys, Green Papers it is. Thanks.
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