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That 5% number is valid if you include others & not voting. Their other number is Clinton +2. Both numbers are still within the margin of error. Trump is also trending up in the Ipsos Reuter poll released this evening. It's still June...so take it all with a grain of salt.
In the latest RealClearPolitics average of several polls, Trump trails Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee, by 5.8 points. It's a 6-point reversal from a month ago.
Trump has fallen behind Clinton in 12 consecutive polls posted to RealClearPolitics.
Not to say that there isn't time for trends to change, but - whoopsie daisie.
I personally hope he continues to argue that President Obama is supporting ISIS and do end zone "football spikes" when he predicts mass shootings (which is not that hard to predict these days). Also hilarious to watch him try to reach out to the LGBT community and pretend as if he cared, would like to see more of that as well.
So Trump has some work to do...he's a much stronger leader than Hillary who is a skilled strategist. DT will need to offer a program that people believe will improve the country....when it gets down to the end, people will respond to the brighter vision.
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But look at the graph - Hillary's support was way up over 50% - whereas Trump has only had a high of 45% support. Hillary has fallen far more than Trump. Given he was running against multiple candidates and she just 1 - sorry - she's the one who has to work hard. With all that's coming out now with the emails ect... she's carrying a lot more baggage.
As all know, the two main political parties do their own private polling. I believe that one barometer that could indicate that the Republican party has become convinced of impending loses in November (not only the presidency, but 'down the ladder') is if the Senate suddenly decides this fall to hold a confirmation hearing for Obama's nominee for the Supreme Court.
As has been noted before, they (Senate Republicans) would probably rather have a rather moderate man in the seat rather than have Clinton as the new president, and a new Democrat-controlled Senate, to readily confirm whomever she would pick.
I will note that the Reuter's polling site indicates that some 55 percent of those polled support President Obama on this issue. Of course, Ms. Clinton also keeps bringing it up.
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