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According to a new Y2 Analytics poll out of Utah, the state is in a dead heat, sitting at a statistical tie...
Trump: 29%
Clinton: 27%
Johnson: 26%
Adding to that, Trump and Clinton both performed poorly in their respective primaries with Trump actually coming in dead last in Utah. The heavily Mormon red state is recording the two major party candidates with some of their highest negatives in the country. Plus, not only is Gary Johnson within the margin of error of becoming the frontrunner, Mitt Romney has made several favorable comments in recent weeks about the Johnson/Weld ticket. If an endorsement were to come out of Romney's mouth, I have no doubt Utah will flip in November and we will see electoral votes go to the Libertarian Party for the first time in history...
I'm a Gary Johnson supporter, but I have strong doubts about Utah going Libertarian. Utah is too socially conservative to consider a Libertarian candidate. It's a Republican stronghold, much like some of the eastern states are Democrat strongholds. Even if Mitt Romney does the right thing by breaking away from the Trump train to support Johnson, Utah will still likely go red in November. It would be great, however, if Johnson would get enough votes to prevent the two corrupt candidates on the D & R sides from getting 50%.
This is a garbage, outcome-based non-poll by
a leading Anti-Trump troublemaker who led the Utah GOP.
There is no possible way to take the "poll" at face value.
Mr. Hansen most recently managed Senator Orrin Hatch’s campaign and has served in numerous other political roles, including Executive Director and Chairman of the Utah Republican Party, the Republican National Committee, and the National Republican Senatorial Committee. y2analytics | Survey Research & Data Analysis
hope this helps.
Trump will win Utah easily.
Especially if he just sends Pence there, even once.
Districts are required to be approximately equal by population size. Utah has 4 districts, so a poll of 1 of those is roughly a poll of 1/4 of the residents of Utah.
District 4 includes parts of the Salt Lake City and Provo metropolitan areas. It has been slightly less Republican than the state as a whole in the last few elections. Trump is probably getting 3-4% more support statewide than in District 4 - maybe enough to win a plurality, but substantially less than previous Republican nominees.
I think West Virginia or Wyoming will be displacing Utah as the "reddest" state this year.
It's not out of the question that we could see a slave revolt in the Democrat party. They are rare but do occur at various times in history.
Gosh, that's not offensive at all.
You know, I've been a lifelong Republican but stuff like this don't make it an easy choice and some what hard to defend. Oh, and statements like this also help assure that "slave revolt" is unlikely to happen in the near future.
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Not likely Utah, so conservative will end up supporting Johnson. I think right now it is just frustration on the part of many voters. As for NM, he was a very popular governor, but that was 15 years ago and he is thought of now, by many as kind of a weirdo.
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