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Old 02-19-2008, 08:52 AM
 
Location: Houston
241 posts, read 1,095,637 times
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Every single website I go to, every single news station, everywhere I look; the delegate counts are different. They all show Barack Obama in the lead, however they are all completely different, ranging from over 100 delegates. What's the deal?
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Old 02-19-2008, 09:00 AM
 
Location: Greenville, SC
5,233 posts, read 7,742,661 times
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Different agencies are counting different ways:

USATODAY.com

Delegates count, but how do you count 'em? - Decision '08 - MSNBC.com
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Old 02-19-2008, 09:06 AM
 
Location: Washington state
7,208 posts, read 8,384,513 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rick4Life View Post
Every single website I go to, every single news station, everywhere I look; the delegate counts are different. They all show Barack Obama in the lead, however they are all completely different, ranging from over 100 delegates. What's the deal?
Here's one view
Quote:
Some of the news organizations might be either including or excluding the number of unpledged, or superdelegates, each candidate currently has. Because superdelegates can change their support for any candidate, at any time, some news media choose not to include them in the official tally simply because at a future date they might eventually be deducted from the overall count.

Another possible explanation for the scorecard differences might be because different news organizations often make their own projections when it comes to the outcomes of political races. One organization might call a race in Obama's favor, based on exit polling, though all of the votes remain uncounted. As a result, that organization might call a race that a different organization has not -- thus, the difference in their actual delegate tally.

However, it might seem unlikely that five separate news organizations would come up with differing scorecards exclusively because of this reason.

Another explanation might seem to be the simplest and most likely of all; that each of the five news organizations last updated their tallies at different times -- even though they might have been done on the same day.

Keep in mind that on days when primaries and caucuses occur, votes are continually being counted from the time the polls open until they close -- which is typically late in the evening. Because of this, one organization might update its website at an earlier time than another -- not reflecting the delegates still to be counted in races yet to be determined.

It is hard to say which of the previous explanations might explain the discrepancies in the differing scorecards, but it is likely that they are due to a combination of those reasons.
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Old 02-19-2008, 09:20 AM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
2,290 posts, read 5,046,402 times
Reputation: 788
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rick4Life View Post
Every single website I go to, every single news station, everywhere I look; the delegate counts are different. They all show Barack Obama in the lead, however they are all completely different, ranging from over 100 delegates. What's the deal?
I'd focus on the delegates that the candidates have already won (the pledged delegates) in the states where primaries and caucuses have been won.

The remaining delegates (the Super Delegates) are subject to change.
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