==>90% of Sanders supporters will back Hillary<== (votes, democrat, Republican)
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I bet 30%-40% of Bernie supporters just stay home on election day.
There is no reason to believe that young people that aren't long time Democrats are going to go out and vote of a candidate like Hillary, that that can't stand, and is the very type of politician that they want out of politics.
Well, that is certainly no surprise. If you were a Bernie supporter and you're going to Trump, then you probably didn't have much of a real rational opinion rooted in anything Bernie stood for to begin with.
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You could say the exact same thing about Bernie supporters voting for Hillary. Some revolution feel the Bern.
I bet 30%-40% of Bernie supporters just stay home on election day.
There is no reason to believe that young people that aren't long time Democrats are going to go out and vote of a candidate like Hillary, that that can't stand, and is the very type of politician that they want out of politics.
There is also no reason to believe the numbers you just threw out there.
IF the Republicans hadn't nominated a sociopath - I would tend to agree that many will stay home.
Quote:
Originally Posted by vacoder
Perhaps. But the same can be said for the moderate GOP vote. They can easily sing for Clinton.
I don't gamble unless it's a 100% sure thing. If I was where I could place a wager on 90% I most certainly would.
It isn't happening.
One could note though, there were many that supported Sanders but never voted for him to start with.
"Yes, I support Sanders but he can't win so I am voting for Clinton". They didn't really support Sanders, they were just making excuses for voting for someone they knew was corrupt and were embarrassed.
I think a lot of them will support Hillary, but certainly not 90%. I know Bernie supporters who are voting for Trump. I've seen many more who are going to vote for Stein or Johnson. My guess is that at least 60% of them will vote for Hillary (maybe closer to 70%). The rest will vote for Trump, Stein, Johnson, or a write-in candidate.
Every (now former) republican I know is now voting for Clinton/Kaine who have pulled back ahead in every new poll. She is now predicted to win by at least the amount of EV's Obama beat Romeny by.
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