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Old 08-24-2016, 12:17 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,274,353 times
Reputation: 5565

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Quote:
Originally Posted by GotHereQuickAsICould View Post
His ads aren't helping the situation.

Why in the world would you run ads about what a friend to business you are in the middle of businesses pulling out over HB2?

Some of his ads talked smack about Cooper's oversight of SBI Lab, while most of recall that his team uncovered the problems and worked to resolve them.

Whoever is running his ad campaign must be mole from the other side because all they are doing is reminding NC voters what a tool he is.
No, almost his entire team is amateurish. He is just lucky he is running against Clinton who is nearly as unlikable as he is.

 
Old 08-24-2016, 01:11 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,274,353 times
Reputation: 5565
What do you want to bet that Rasmussen returns to normal form and has Trump either ahead or tied with Clinton tomorrow? Just bracing ya'll for the inevitable and obnoxious "Trump is surging baby!!!! #TrumpTrain" posts that we will have to endure.
 
Old 08-24-2016, 02:08 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,274,353 times
Reputation: 5565
CNN/ORC:


Arizona Trump 42, Clinton 38, Johnson 12, Stein 4.

North Carolina: Clinton 44, Trump 43, Johnson 11.
 
Old 08-24-2016, 02:11 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,274,353 times
Reputation: 5565
North Carolina is going to be a squeaker like 2008 it looks like.
 
Old 08-24-2016, 02:25 PM
 
4,120 posts, read 6,605,436 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
From what I have gathered it's worth between 1-2 points. It's not a lot but can be beneficial in a close state.

Two points in

Nevada/N. Carolina/Florida/Missouri/Arizona

Is the difference between winning and loosing those 5 states. Also the people who are turned out vote a straight ticket in most cases which is the GOP nightmare. Add two points to each of the democratic senate candidates and instead of 51-49 democrats in January it's 56-45 and the democrats will have control for at least 6 years.
 
Old 08-24-2016, 02:32 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,274,353 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bellhead View Post
Two points in

Nevada/N. Carolina/Florida/Missouri/Arizona

Is the difference between winning and loosing those 5 states. Also the people who are turned out vote a straight ticket in most cases which is the GOP nightmare. Add two points to each of the democratic senate candidates and instead of 51-49 democrats in January it's 56-45 and the democrats will have control for at least 6 years.
Yeah pretty much. The Trump ground game is barely even started yet and the GOP (while good) just doesn't have enough to match the Clinton/DNC resources. I think you might want to hold your horses on the Senate. If Clinton wins they will likely take it back but not by much. Several Senate candidates are running ahead of Trump. The ones that are having issues are the ones that are connected to him. The ones that stayed away seem to be doing better.
 
Old 08-24-2016, 03:09 PM
 
4,120 posts, read 6,605,436 times
Reputation: 2289
Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
Yeah pretty much. The Trump ground game is barely even started yet and the GOP (while good) just doesn't have enough to match the Clinton/DNC resources. I think you might want to hold your horses on the Senate. If Clinton wins they will likely take it back but not by much. Several Senate candidates are running ahead of Trump. The ones that are having issues are the ones that are connected to him. The ones that stayed away seem to be doing better.

A lot of the polls have Clinton up on Trump in states where the GOP senators are up also. I doubt if this happens election day due to ticket splitting is very low these days.
 
Old 08-24-2016, 03:25 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,274,353 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by bellhead View Post
A lot of the polls have Clinton up on Trump in states where the GOP senators are up also. I doubt if this happens election day due to ticket splitting is very low these days.
It is rare but given how unpopular she is and how slim the margin is in some of these states it is possible. Some Republicans like Portman and Ayotte are not all that conservative either. Makes it easier to swallow.
 
Old 08-24-2016, 04:48 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,927,676 times
Reputation: 6927
Wow. Great day of polling for Mr Trump.

Economist/YouGov - pulled to within 3% in general election

Florida Atlantic University - up 2% in Florida

CNN/ORC - tied in North Carolina

CNN/ORC - up 7% in Arizona

Also, McCain, Burr and Rubio leading in polls.
 
Old 08-24-2016, 04:53 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,274,353 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Wow. Great day of polling for Mr Trump.

Economist/YouGov - pulled to within 4% in general election

Florida Atlantic University - up 2% in Florida

CNN/ORC - tied in North Carolina

CNN/ORC - up 7% in Arizona


Fixed that for you . Day was average for him honestly. About the same nationally as he has been doing in other polls, behind about 1-2 points in North Carolina, and ahead in a state he should be ahead in. Not exactly something to scream about. Would be better if there were some PA, CO, and NH polls that showed him doing well. McCain is having a good day. His tour of the state is obviously paying off in dividends. Burr and Rubio should be a tad concerned though. Barely ahead aganist pretty unknown opponents statewide. That's not a great place to be. Especially with Burr who has been a fixture of North Carolina politics for 20 years.
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