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Old 08-07-2016, 09:27 AM
Status: "Apparently the worst poster on CD" (set 28 days ago)
 
27,647 posts, read 16,133,597 times
Reputation: 19067

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Came across this

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5pXLGdVlxqk

 
Old 08-07-2016, 09:35 AM
 
Location: Florida
33,571 posts, read 18,161,091 times
Reputation: 15546
Trump is not the problem. It's the propaganda coming out of Univision. The illegal Hispanics want the jobs of legal hispanics, legal blacks and legal whites. They push the legals out when more and more illegals get into the workplace. That is their goal. Big business loves cheap labor. More money in the pockets of investors.
 
Old 08-07-2016, 09:37 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,281,720 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
I don't see why it matters considering the term "bounce" refers to something temporary. Nice attempt at turning what I said into a TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome) attack though.


Bounces by definition are temporary events. They peak a couple days after the convention and begin to diminish after that. By 5-7 days they are gone and things are back to normal. Clintons is maintaining 10 days after her convention. That's beginning to suggest that there is more here than simply her bounce. Some bounces never go away and the candidate builds on them. So if Trump is still trailing like this by this point next week then he needs to really start worrying.
 
Old 08-07-2016, 09:44 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,281,720 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by Taratova View Post
Trump is not the problem. It's the propaganda coming out of Univision. The illegal Hispanics want the jobs of legal hispanics, legal blacks and legal whites. They push the legals out when more and more illegals get into the workplace. That is their goal. Big business loves cheap labor. More money in the pockets of investors.
 
Old 08-07-2016, 09:46 AM
 
6,129 posts, read 6,810,838 times
Reputation: 10821
Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
Bounces by definition are temporary events. They peak a couple days after the convention and begin to diminish after that. By 5-7 days they are gone and things are back to normal. Clintons is maintaining 10 days after her convention. That's beginning to suggest that there is more here than simply her bounce. Some bounces never go away and the candidate builds on them. So if Trump is still trailing like this by this point next week then he needs to really start worrying.
I think her bump was extended because Trump had a week of gaffes after the convention. But, it should start floating back down in the coming week, week and a half over the "Iran ransom" story and her own "short circuit" comment reminding people of her email scandal and overall trust issues.
 
Old 08-07-2016, 09:52 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,281,720 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tinawina View Post
I think her bump was extended because Trump had a week of gaffes after the convention. But, it should start floating back down in the coming week, week and a half over the "Iran ransom" story and her own "short circuit" comment reminding people of her email scandal and overall trust issues.
Nobody cares about the ransom story. It was talked about in January and got no traction and isn't getting any now. Any chance Trump had in playing that up was killed by his own scandals. Now with the Olympics he isn't going to get any serious coverage there. Same goes for the "short circuit" comment which is a pretty feeble attempt to get the ball rolling. It might tighten but not because of Trumps attempts to make it happen at this point.
 
Old 08-07-2016, 09:55 AM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,281,720 times
Reputation: 5565
YouGov:


General Election


Nevada Clinton 43, Trump 41

Arizona Trump 44, Clinton 42


I'm sort of surprised that Arizona keeps staying tight. A loss there would be a big deal for Trump.
 
Old 08-07-2016, 10:14 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
Bounces by definition are temporary events. They peak a couple days after the convention and begin to diminish after that. By 5-7 days they are gone and things are back to normal. Clintons is maintaining 10 days after her convention. That's beginning to suggest that there is more here than simply her bounce. Some bounces never go away and the candidate builds on them. So if Trump is still trailing like this by this point next week then he needs to really start worrying.
Willing to be on race not tightening? Seems no one wants to play when talking money.
 
Old 08-07-2016, 10:15 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,190 posts, read 19,462,661 times
Reputation: 5305
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tinawina View Post
I think her bump was extended because Trump had a week of gaffes after the convention. But, it should start floating back down in the coming week, week and a half over the "Iran ransom" story and her own "short circuit" comment reminding people of her email scandal and overall trust issues.
Much of it is the same things just rehashed and Trump probably lost and mileage he could have gotten out of the Iran story when he flat out lied about seeing the secret video. With that being said, I do think what we see with the polling over the next 7-10 days as we get two weeks beyond the Convention will really tell us where things stand. That of course doesn't mean things can't change either way after it, but it will certainly give a clearer view of where things stand and certainly beyond the point where it can just be attributed to a Convention bounce
 
Old 08-07-2016, 10:15 AM
 
Location: In a little house on the prairie - literally
10,202 posts, read 7,922,771 times
Reputation: 4561
From Nate Silver's site. I'm amazed that Georgia AND Arizona are both in play for Clinton.

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