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Old 09-02-2016, 10:44 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,180 posts, read 19,449,121 times
Reputation: 5297

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Misanthrope83 View Post
I linked to Ipsos not Reuters
It is the same pollster.......

 
Old 09-02-2016, 10:59 AM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,557 posts, read 17,256,908 times
Reputation: 37268
IBD/TIPP poll was released.

Likely voters....39/39/12/3 - Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein

That's the best I have seen Johnson do in a nationwide poll.
Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump Are Tied In Latest IBD/TIPP Poll | Stock News & Stock Market Analysis - IBD

Quote:
.......The margin of error for the horse-race results is +/‐3.4 percentage points. The IBD/TIPP Poll has been cited as the most accurate in the past three presidential elections.
 
Old 09-02-2016, 11:11 AM
 
Location: Georgia
1,202 posts, read 641,181 times
Reputation: 309
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
IBD/TIPP poll was released.

Likely voters....39/39/12/3 - Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein

That's the best I have seen Johnson do in a nationwide poll.
Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump Are Tied In Latest IBD/TIPP Poll | Stock News & Stock Market Analysis - IBD
Guess its showing that people really don't like Trump or Clinton eh? Usually the minor parties lose support the closer we get to election day...maybe people just don't care this time who gets elected.
 
Old 09-02-2016, 11:21 AM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,557 posts, read 17,256,908 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Misanthrope83 View Post
Guess its showing that people really don't like Trump or Clinton eh? Usually the minor parties lose support the closer we get to election day...maybe people just don't care this time who gets elected.
That's pretty much the way I see it.
When the top 2 are tied at 39/39 it makes some kind of statement - not sure what.

Most people that I talk to still feel that a vote for Johnson is a wasted vote, so he has that to contend with.
The D-Club and the R-Club have got people convinced that they are the only hope for America. If change comes in the form of Johnson, it will come quickly as people follow each other. Very few willing to take the first step.
 
Old 09-02-2016, 11:34 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,075 posts, read 51,199,205 times
Reputation: 28314
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
That's pretty much the way I see it.
When the top 2 are tied at 39/39 it makes some kind of statement - not sure what.

Most people that I talk to still feel that a vote for Johnson is a wasted vote, so he has that to contend with.
The D-Club and the R-Club have got people convinced that they are the only hope for America. If change comes in the form of Johnson, it will come quickly as people follow each other. Very few willing to take the first step.
What it means to me is that Trump, no matter how hard he tries can't get much above 40%. Clinton, on the other hand, has enjoyed better numbers, even above 50% a while back. As she gets back on the trail and gets the popular Obama out there, her numbers will edge back up. It is very telling that John McCain is begging people to vote for him as a check on Clinton. Those in the know know where this election is going to end up.
 
Old 09-02-2016, 12:34 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,274,353 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
That's pretty much the way I see it.
When the top 2 are tied at 39/39 it makes some kind of statement - not sure what.

Most people that I talk to still feel that a vote for Johnson is a wasted vote, so he has that to contend with.
The D-Club and the R-Club have got people convinced that they are the only hope for America. If change comes in the form of Johnson, it will come quickly as people follow each other. Very few willing to take the first step.
They will lose some as the election gets closer. The same as undecided voters will finally choose a side. Clinton better hope that more break in her favor in both cases because they way I see it there is a very good chance she is going to lose if things dont alter.
 
Old 09-02-2016, 12:35 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,274,353 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by Misanthrope83 View Post
I linked to Ipsos not Reuters
Ipsos is the pollster that Reuters uses. That's why all polls are listed as Reuters/Ipsos.
 
Old 09-02-2016, 12:52 PM
 
11,181 posts, read 10,526,555 times
Reputation: 18618
Today's electoral map on Financial Times is the same one shown on several other sites based on recent state poling averages.

It shows that if the election were held today, Trump's only path to a win would be to take all 8 toss-up states plus one blue-leaning state.
 
Old 09-02-2016, 01:00 PM
 
Location: Denver CO
24,204 posts, read 19,191,156 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~ View Post
He won't The cut off date is labor day. He's not likely to get 5 polls that give him 15 percent in that period.
There isn't a hard and fast date, just "Mid-September" per the CPD's website

Quote:
The CPD's 2016 Candidate Selection Criteria were announced on October 29, 2015. They will be applied in mid-September, 2016. If a candidate is invited to the first presidential debate, that person's vice presidential running mate will be invited to the vice presidential debate. The criteria will be reapplied between the first and second presidential debates and the second and third presidential debates.
CPD:


My guess is they will let him in the first debate if they can reasonably justify it, even if he doesn't pass 15% in every one of the polls they've defined. So he's got a couple of weeks more to try to make it happen although per Politico, he's still under 10% in the CPD polling group.

Quote:
The debate commission has said it will only invite candidates to the debate who score above 15 percent in five national polls — surveys from ABC News/Washington Post, CBS News/New York Times, CNN/ORC, Fox News and NBC News/Wall Street Journal — as of “mid-September.” A POLITICO analysis of the most recent surveys from these pollsters pegs Johnson’s average, currently, at 9.2 percent.
Read more: Is Gary Johnson’s debate bid doomed? - POLITICO
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
 
Old 09-02-2016, 01:22 PM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,289,311 times
Reputation: 7284
Latino Decisions Poll (Released 9/2/2016)

Clinton: 70%
Trump: 19%

In 2012, Romney received 27% of the Latino vote.


Among Latinos, Clinton has a +39% Favorability rating, while Trump is at a negative 53%.

http://www.latinodecisions.com/files..._Sept_2016.pdf
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