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Old 09-14-2016, 11:10 AM
 
3,841 posts, read 1,977,467 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sagle Sam 2016 View Post
You are right, the dems are getting more pathetic in their defense of Hillary every day, just like her campaign.
They were super cheery a few weeks ago. You would have thought HRC already won. Heck, I had to check my calendar to confirm I did not miss the election! The last week has been pretty hard on them.

 
Old 09-14-2016, 11:10 AM
 
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538's polls-plus forecast now has Trump at 34.7%...his highest since right after the RNC. The surge is real.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 11:12 AM
 
Location: Somewhere
8,069 posts, read 6,965,507 times
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Newsflash: Hillary is still winning.

And there is a sticky thread for polls. Stop spamming. Your candidate is still the loser.

Trump's campaign song:

"Soy un perdedor"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YgSPaXgAdzE
 
Old 09-14-2016, 11:26 AM
 
Location: Middle of nowhere
24,260 posts, read 14,197,584 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
538's polls-plus forecast now has Trump at 34.7%...his highest since right after the RNC. The surge is real.
In 2012 on Sept 14th it showed 51% Obama 47% Romney. Trump is going to have to surge a bit more just to catch up with Romneys numbers.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...forecast/?_r=0
 
Old 09-14-2016, 11:27 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tall Traveler View Post
Yep, his polls plus forecast has Trump winning NC & Ohio and a 49.5% chance of winning Florida....if he holds the states 538 show as Trump's in the plus forecast, all Trump has to do to go over 270 is flip 1% in Florida and he's Prez....it's going to happen barring something unforeseen to trip him up.
Polls-plus model now has him at 50.2% to win Florida.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 11:30 AM
 
4,587 posts, read 2,596,069 times
Reputation: 2349
I will give his supporters some hope. " Dems snatching defeat from the jaws of victory " back in the day that was our grim refrain.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 11:35 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jjrose View Post
In 2012 on Sept 14th it showed 51% Obama 47% Romney. Trump is going to have to surge a bit more just to catch up with Romneys numbers.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...forecast/?_r=0
Are we looking at the same graph? The "chance of winning" graph shows Romney with a 23.8% chance to win on September 14th. By September 25th he was at 20%...by the 30th 15%.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 11:37 AM
 
Location: Middle of nowhere
24,260 posts, read 14,197,584 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Are we looking at the same graph? The "chance of winning" graph shows Romney with a 23.8% chance to win on September 14th. By September 30th he was at 15%.
You're right. I was looking at the wrong graph. Thanks.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 11:38 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,927,676 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjrose View Post
You're right. I was looking at the wrong graph. Thanks.
It's all good.
 
Old 09-14-2016, 12:08 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,927,676 times
Reputation: 6927
Bloomberg

Nevada


Trump 44%
Clinton 42%
Johnson 8%

Last edited by eddiehaskell; 09-14-2016 at 12:28 PM..
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