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Weird poll. The crosstabs seem at odds with the topline. If Clinton is down only 11 with whites, she will win easily. Obama lost whites by 20! The main thing is Johnson is not getting in the debates with his numbers in this one.
Trump has picked up some momentum, but keep in mind momentum hits, fades, comes back, stagnates, etc. Fact of the matter is Clinton is still in the lead, 538's three models all have Clinton ahead ranging from a 62.7% chance to 64.2% chance. In his latest bump Trump hasn't even reached Romney's peak from October of 2012 (where he ranged from 39-43% chance on October 12th before fading)
Weird poll. The crosstabs seem at odds with the topline. If Clinton is down only 11 with whites, she will win easily. Obama lost whites by 20! The main thing is Johnson is not getting in the debates with his numbers in this one.
That's a bad comparison though. It's not so much how much you lose as where you lose them. Most of Obamas loss was coming from Republican strongholds. He actually ran quite well with whites in Northern states. Clinton is polling better in Republican states but worse in swing states.
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