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I agree. It took a few weeks, but state polls are now clearly showing the momentum shift that started in late August. With darn near a 50/50 race, all the pressure is on Hillary to smoke Trump in the debates. With her being a career politician the bar has moved even higher...she needs a historically good performance.
A lot more people now in the basket Hillary labels deplorable.
I think it's more a mixture of having to smoke him and ensure he doesn't look Presidential. The same goes for Trump. This is more about coming off as being ready for the job. Which means he can't repeat primary performances and simply ramble on stage.
Starting to get into the panic zone for dems. Colorado was supposed to be about locked up over a month ago.
True, but it's one poll as well. I wouldn't place too much stock in it. Polling was even high for her there when things were bad in July. Need a few more to see how that state will go.
Ah yes, the good ol dornslife poll. Every time Trump gets 5 extra black voters to express support conservatives come out showing how he is appealing to them. No matter the fact that every other poll has him in single digits.
Ah yes, the good ol dornslife poll. Every time Trump gets 5 extra black voters to express support conservatives come out showing how he is appealing to them. No matter the fact that every other poll has him in single digits.
Don't pay attention to the rating. Pay attention to the number of polls they have conducted and the average. Emerson is new and only polled the GOP primaries. While they were right they were wrong on averages a lot. Their big issue is that they do IVR and Landline only polling. Which gives them a much older electorate.
Not a lot of state polls to compare, but in many states, their results aren't out of line with other pollsters. For example:
Texas - Emerson +6, Texas Lyceum +7, PPP +6
Georgia - Emerson +6, Fox 5 +4, NBC/WSJ/Marist +2, CBS News/You Gov +4
New Hampshire - Emerson +5, Marist +2, PPP +5 (all for Clinton)
Maine CD2 - Emerson +5, SurveyUSA +10 (both for Trump)
Some but in others they have been off. I just prefer to go with the averages. Yeah it's possible he is up in Colorado but she has had a healthy lead there all year. Chances are it's off. Remember he has polled in the 20's there several times. What is clear is that this will be the first time in a lonnnnnggggggggggg time that the debates actually matter. Be interesting to see the effects.
Blacks in SC have no reason to vote for Hillary Clinton.
Blacks have many reason to VOTE for Hillary.
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Trump went from 3% to 19% with blacks in 4 days!
