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Why - because he is always RIGHT? If anything, this election cycle will further enhance his reputation.
You can be SURE his models will be 99.9% right on Election Day - yet again - just as they were in 2008 and 2012.
Clearly, you must be a Hillary supporter (as am I) and not too happy with Nate's numbers these days - that doesn't mean the 538 models are wrong. It just means our candidate may not win.
He will be right because he changes his forecasts by the hour. He isn't really forecasting at all. I suppose his last one will be something of a forecast, but now he just blows with the polls.
He will be right because he changes his forecasts by the hour. He isn't really forecasting at all. I suppose his last one will be something of a forecast, but now he just blows with the polls.
Exactly. Which is why I don't understand this hatred "I hope he fails" attacks on Nate?? Some people talk about him as though he's an enemy. He's just reporting the numbers. I don't get it.
He will be right because he changes his forecasts by the hour. He isn't really forecasting at all. I suppose his last one will be something of a forecast, but now he just blows with the polls.
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2950
In order to sell the drama of the debates, the networks I believe have started undersampling Democratic voters to close the margin to make it look like a "race". It's not that close. Does anyone think when Trump is hemorrhaging support from Republicans publically stating they won't vote for him, magically the lead is being closed at the same time?
538's projected vote share (now-cast) has Clinton 46.3% and Trump 44.3%. Trump has a 35.6% chance of winning the state.
So where's the cherry picking?
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