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Old 09-26-2016, 02:14 PM
 
14,489 posts, read 6,047,554 times
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Yet another NBC poll with Hillary up by a massive amount. The third NBC poll in a week


NBC News - Breaking News & Top Stories - Latest World, US & Local News

 
Old 09-26-2016, 02:14 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
38,970 posts, read 50,902,191 times
Reputation: 28145
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ariadne22 View Post
Why - because he is always RIGHT? If anything, this election cycle will further enhance his reputation.

You can be SURE his models will be 99.9% right on Election Day - yet again - just as they were in 2008 and 2012.

Clearly, you must be a Hillary supporter (as am I) and not too happy with Nate's numbers these days - that doesn't mean the 538 models are wrong. It just means our candidate may not win.
He will be right because he changes his forecasts by the hour. He isn't really forecasting at all. I suppose his last one will be something of a forecast, but now he just blows with the polls.
 
Old 09-26-2016, 02:22 PM
 
14,489 posts, read 6,047,554 times
Reputation: 6842
If Trump wants to win he must devote the vast majority of money and resources to Florida, NC, and Colorado
 
Old 09-26-2016, 02:57 PM
 
Location: Wisconsin
25,593 posts, read 56,266,868 times
Reputation: 23256
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
He will be right because he changes his forecasts by the hour. He isn't really forecasting at all. I suppose his last one will be something of a forecast, but now he just blows with the polls.
Exactly. Which is why I don't understand this hatred "I hope he fails" attacks on Nate?? Some people talk about him as though he's an enemy. He's just reporting the numbers. I don't get it.
 
Old 09-26-2016, 03:14 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,846,310 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
He will be right because he changes his forecasts by the hour. He isn't really forecasting at all. I suppose his last one will be something of a forecast, but now he just blows with the polls.
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2950 View Post
In order to sell the drama of the debates, the networks I believe have started undersampling Democratic voters to close the margin to make it look like a "race". It's not that close. Does anyone think when Trump is hemorrhaging support from Republicans publically stating they won't vote for him, magically the lead is being closed at the same time?
Here we go with "polls are rigged" arguments.

I love it.
 
Old 09-26-2016, 03:20 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,846,310 times
Reputation: 6927
We now have THREE polls in the last few days with PA within 2%.

Harper polling

Clinton 45%
Trump 43%
 
Old 09-26-2016, 03:49 PM
 
16,376 posts, read 22,370,553 times
Reputation: 14396
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
We now have THREE polls in the last few days with PA within 2%.

Harper polling

Clinton 45%
Trump 43%
You should change your username to cherrypicker.

The most recent 5 polls for PA are as follows. Newest polls toward the top.

Clinton +3 ----9/26
Clinton +2 ----9/26
Clinton +3 ----9/24
Clinton +9 ----9/23
Clinton +9 -----9/17




Link to these polls
Pennsylvania Presidential Election Voting History

Last edited by sware2cod; 09-26-2016 at 04:25 PM..
 
Old 09-26-2016, 04:00 PM
 
5,714 posts, read 2,165,017 times
Reputation: 3860
Quote:
Originally Posted by dashrendar4454 View Post
Yet another NBC poll with Hillary up by a massive amount. The third NBC poll in a week


NBC News - Breaking News & Top Stories - Latest World, US & Local News
NBC working triple time for hillary
 
Old 09-26-2016, 04:07 PM
mlb
 
Location: North Monterey County
4,971 posts, read 4,425,588 times
Reputation: 7903
Quote:
Originally Posted by Snowball7 View Post
I have been saying this for months.

All the states that:

1) Hillary lost to Bernie
2) Have a high White majority population

are IN PLAY.

And account for BUPKIS in the Electoral College.
 
Old 09-26-2016, 04:27 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,846,310 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by sware2cod View Post
You should changed your username to cherrypicker.

The most recent 5 polls for PA are as follows. Newest polls toward the top.

Clinton +3 ----9/26
Clinton +2 ----9/26
Clinton +3 ----9/24
Clinton +9 ----9/23
Clinton +9 -----9/17




Link to these polls
Pennsylvania Presidential Election Voting History
Here are the 5 most recent polls from 538:

CNN - Clinton +1
Muhlenberg College - Clinton +2
Harper Polling - Clinton +2

You can view them here: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...nsylvania/#now

538's projected vote share (now-cast) has Clinton 46.3% and Trump 44.3%. Trump has a 35.6% chance of winning the state.

So where's the cherry picking?
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