*****The FINAL Presidential Poll Thread of 2016***** (Brown, Kennedy, African American, Senate)

[sware2cod]

Originally Posted by eddiehaskell

Gravis poll is Oct 31.

That's the old poll with poll dates Oct 25-30 and release date Oct 31.

PA has had 13 newer polls since then.

[mightleavenyc]

Currently if you add 0.8 Trump to each state on the RCP average, Trump wins 270-266. Very close.

[eddiehaskell]

Originally Posted by sware2cod

That's the old poll with poll dates Oct 25-30 and release date Oct 31.

PA has had 13 newer polls since then.

No it's a poll done on Oct 31st.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/doc...r_3rd_2016.pdf

[dashrendar4454]

Trump needs Florida. Without it he has no ahot

[Fiyero]

Originally Posted by dashrendar4454

Trump needs Florida. Without it he has no ahot

Trump needs every single swing state and a blue state and all red states. Hillary only needs the blue wall.

[Elliott_CA]

Peak Trump? 538 odds

Nov. 3, at 6:17 p.m. EDT Clinton 65.2% Trump 34.8%
Nov. 3, at 11:51a.m. EDT Clinton 63.9% Trump 36.1% << high water mark?
Nov. 2, at 9:31 p.m. EDT Clinton 65.4% Trump 34.5%
Nov. 1, at 6:04 p.m. EDT Clinton 69.6% Trump 30.3%

First sign of a momentum break -- this may be the end of the FBI Letter bump. He can't afford to stall now, the clock is running out, he needs to carry this momentum to 50% or higher by Tuesday.

[biscuitmom]

Originally Posted by sware2cod

Comment: I thought Trump would be doing much better in GA. GA could be a surprise.
I wonder if someone from the Clinton campaign makes a quick visit to GA. If they do, then we know their internal polls shows GA in play.

Former FLOTUS Rosalyn Carter will be hitting the GA trail the next few days to campaign for Clinton & GA Dems.

[mightleavenyc]

Originally Posted by Elliott_CA

Peak Trump? 538 odds

Nov. 3, at 6:17 p.m. EDT Clinton 65.2% Trump 34.8%
Nov. 3, at 11:51a.m. EDT Clinton 63.9% Trump 36.1% << high water mark?
Nov. 2, at 9:31 p.m. EDT Clinton 65.4% Trump 34.5%
Nov. 1, at 6:04 p.m. EDT Clinton 69.6% Trump 30.3%

First sign of a momentum break -- this may be the end of the FBI Letter bump. He can't afford to stall now, the clock is running out, he needs to carry this momentum to 50% or higher by Tuesday.

Is that electoral or popular? State polls take a while to bake due to their staggered nature. Probably more upside from the bump.

[dashrendar4454]

Yep FBI bump is fading. I hate to say it but unless another negative story about Hillary breaks out she should be able to win

[Fiyero]

There is supposedly another oppo dumb coming out on Trump soon. Not holding my breath, but would be awesome if that happened to keep him on the defense for the last few days.