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Old 11-04-2016, 01:33 PM
 
14,489 posts, read 6,095,846 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gsoboi78 View Post
Haha not a legit poll. Most show Hillary ahead. It's about the average of polls, not one or two polls.
actually the majority of PA polls released recently are in the margin of error. This is pretty good

 
Old 11-04-2016, 01:33 PM
 
5,731 posts, read 2,192,381 times
Reputation: 3877
Quote:
Originally Posted by gsoboi78 View Post
Here is the reality. If Hillary Clinton wins Florida it's game over. All she has to do is hold down the blue states. She could even afford to lose either Michigan or Pennsylvania and still win the election if she wins Florida. Virginia allows Hillary to lose Pennsylvania or Michigan and still win.
He could lose Florida and win PA and Colorado and Nevada and still win.
 
Old 11-04-2016, 01:35 PM
 
Location: Greensboro, NC USA
6,156 posts, read 7,222,091 times
Reputation: 2458
Quote:
Originally Posted by ColoradoOnMyMind View Post
He could lose Florida and win PA and Colorado and Nevada and still win.
Pennsylvania, Colorado? Not a chance
 
Old 11-04-2016, 01:36 PM
 
14,489 posts, read 6,095,846 times
Reputation: 6842
it is true that Trump basically needs Florida. He has to hope Republican turnout that day is strong.
 
Old 11-04-2016, 01:36 PM
 
Location: The 719
18,010 posts, read 27,456,617 times
Reputation: 17325
No, he must win Florida

Quote:
Originally Posted by gsoboi78 View Post
Pennsylvania, Colorado? Not a chance
A fact. He will win these.

He will probably win Virginia.
 
Old 11-04-2016, 01:36 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,932,660 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by gsoboi78 View Post
Haha not a legit poll. Most show Hillary ahead. It's about the average of polls, not one or two polls.
538 gives Harper a "B" rating. 538 also has the PA projected vote share separated by 3% so a tie seems well within the realm of polling possibilities.
 
Old 11-04-2016, 01:43 PM
 
Location: Greensboro, NC USA
6,156 posts, read 7,222,091 times
Reputation: 2458
Here is my prediction for Hillary winning the election. She will win 323 electoral votes. Remember this come election day.
 
Old 11-04-2016, 01:47 PM
 
4,472 posts, read 3,824,488 times
Reputation: 3427
EXCLUSIVE POLL: Trump Surging Ahead Of Clinton In Michigan | The Daily Caller
 
Old 11-04-2016, 01:48 PM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,095 posts, read 34,702,478 times
Reputation: 15093
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Harper Polling

Pennsylvania


Trump 46%
Clinton 46%

Who is Harper polling?

Quote:
The organization was founded after the 2012 presidential election, with the goal of giving Republicans high-volume, inexpensive "robo-polling."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harper_Polling
 
Old 11-04-2016, 01:49 PM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,184,586 times
Reputation: 17209
Saw polls noting Trump and Hillary are tied in Michigan. I noted a couple months ago that I thought Trump would take Michigan for the very reasons Sanders beat her in Michigan.

I noted months ago that the odds of Trump taking Pennsylvania were decent also. That if she didn't get a huge turnout in Philly that she would lose.
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