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Sunday Update from Steve Schale's Florida Blog
(served as Obama State Chair in 2008)
South Florida
Quote:
I’ve run out of words to describe Miami. Mr. 305 himself might use the term “en fuego” to describe it.
Yesterday, 50K more people voted there, meaning 708K have voted there through yesterday, compared to 879K who voted there in the entire 2012 election. Yesterday almost matched Friday’s record, but compared to the rest of the state, it was even bigger. 12% of all voters came from Dade yesterday, and it was 42.5 Dem, 33.2 NPA, 24.4 GOP. That NPA number is going to be all Caribbean and Hispanic voters. I honestly at this point don’t know what to think about final turnout in Dade. It is going to be well over a million votes at this point, which if HRC wins by just same margin as Obama, will net +237K votes to her margin. If she increases the margin to say 65-35, which isn’t inconceivable at all, it goes to 300K. If that happens, she’s not going to lose Florida.
Quote:
I don’t have yesterday’s diversity numbers, but based on voting patterns, there is no question in my mind we will go into Election Day under the 2012 standard of 67% white. The electorate is now under 67.6% white (67 In 2012), with Black and Hispanic voters continuing to grow in share of the electorate. Friday was 61 white to 39 non-whites. There is no question in my mind that the electorate will be more diverse than 2012.
Miami and Orlando continue to over-perform. Fort Myers is the bright spot for Republicans. There are still another 3.4m or so likely votes, but I'm sure of one thing, the folks in Brooklyn have to be feeling better than the folks in Trump Tower.
I don't know the exact numbers, but Trump is up among Cubans and they make up a large part of South Florida. National Hispanic numbers won't be uniform nationwide.
Cubans have traditionally been Republican, but have trended more Democratic of late. Do you have any links to show Trump leading among Cubans?
The Wall Street bailout was before he took office.... The auto bailout was when Obama was President.
How is it that people can get this exactly backwards?
Inaccurate information is posted constantly on this forum. Constantly.
Correct information will be posted, but is promptly disregarded.
I've seen these bogus posts of how Obama bailed out the banks but not the auto workers before. Each time they are refuted. Each time the lies are repeated.
How do people make sense of the world when they are so susceptible to believing lies?
It must be a nightmare of bum deals and bad relationships.
How is it that people can get this exactly backwards?
Inaccurate information is posted constantly on this forum. Constantly.
Correct information will be posted, but is promptly disregarded.
I've seen these bogus posts of how Obama bailed out the banks but not the auto workers before. Each time they are refuted. Each time the lies are repeated.
That isn't what was argued. Why change the argument?
I don't know the exact numbers, but Trump is up among Cubans and they make up a large part of South Florida. National Hispanic numbers won't be uniform nationwide.
Of course you don't know the numbers because they don't fit your agenda.
Trump is not getting a single extra vote that Romney didn't get from republican cubans... and Romney lost FL. I would expect areas like Hialeah to be very pro-Trump. My guess is that he will get 50-60% of the vote in those areas like Mitt Romney did. Younger Cuban Americans are turning democrat. To make things worse the number of non-cuban hispanics keeps growing and those people tend to be democrats.
This is how our county voted in the 2012 presidential election. There is a tool at the bottom of the screen where you can narrow the results to precinct level.
Obama bailed out Wall Street and told Detroit that they could **** off.
Zero credibility in this post. None at all.
Quote:
Originally Posted by djmilf
That's...unreal that you actually posted the lie above.
She can lie and grasp at straws all she wants, Michigan will stay blue.
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