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Old 11-06-2016, 08:39 PM
 
4,472 posts, read 3,797,405 times
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Scary news for Clinton voters in Philly.

A Transit Strike In Philly Could Lower Turnout, Especially Among Black And Poor Voters | FiveThirtyEight

 
Old 11-06-2016, 08:42 PM
 
51,583 posts, read 25,500,783 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xboxmas View Post
This has been posted before.

Since most polling places are within walking distance of people's homes, not sure a transit strike will change things all that much.

Plus, rumor has it that Philly folks have cars.

Who knew?
 
Old 11-06-2016, 08:42 PM
 
16,376 posts, read 22,362,118 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xboxmas View Post
Since Clinton has a ground game, it's likely they have arranged for transportation to the polls for people that need it.
 
Old 11-06-2016, 08:49 PM
 
Location: SW King County, WA
6,400 posts, read 8,227,172 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xboxmas View Post
Its more likely to happen than Georgia, South Carolina, or Texas.
Where has anyone actually said Clinton will win those states? I certainly never factored them in.
 
Old 11-06-2016, 08:52 PM
 
51,583 posts, read 25,500,783 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sware2cod View Post
Since Clinton has a ground game, it's likely they have arranged for transportation to the polls for people that need it.
Well, there's that.
 
Old 11-06-2016, 08:56 PM
 
51,583 posts, read 25,500,783 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 04kL4nD View Post
Where has anyone actually said Clinton will win those states? I certainly never factored them in.
They were never factored in. I've never heard anyone mention South Carolina as even a possibility.

Georgia and Texas are occasionally mentioned as having a smaller margin than expected, but I don't believe they have ever been in Clinton's column.

North Carolina, Nevada, Florida, New Hampshire... these are the ones on the cusp.
 
Old 11-06-2016, 09:15 PM
 
33,748 posts, read 16,742,725 times
Reputation: 17043
Quote:
Originally Posted by GotHereQuickAsICould View Post
This has been posted before.

Since most polling places are within walking distance of people's homes, not sure a transit strike will change things all that much.

Plus, rumor has it that Philly folks have cars.

Who knew?

Inner city in Philly are mostly low income, fewer cars per capita.


But like many urban areas, turnout wasn't going to be anywhere near BO levels, more like Al Gore "ho hum" levels. This strike decrease it more.


RCP shows Trump with a larger avg margin in Ohio than HRC in Pa.
 
Old 11-06-2016, 09:17 PM
 
4,472 posts, read 3,797,405 times
Reputation: 3427
Quote:
Originally Posted by GotHereQuickAsICould View Post
They were never factored in. I've never heard anyone mention South Carolina as even a possibility.

Georgia and Texas are occasionally mentioned as having a smaller margin than expected, but I don't believe they have ever been in Clinton's column.

North Carolina, Nevada, Florida, New Hampshire... these are the ones on the cusp.
Liberals are ALWAYS going on about how Georgia is a swing state and how South Carolina and Texas will turn blue in the next few elections.
 
Old 11-06-2016, 09:26 PM
 
943 posts, read 1,315,563 times
Reputation: 900
Quote:
Originally Posted by xboxmas View Post
A PAC has offered to fund free rides on Uber or Lyft to anyone in Philadelphia who needs a ride to the poll because of the strike.:

http://6abc.com/traffic/uber-lyft-zi...n-day/1592582/
 
Old 11-06-2016, 09:33 PM
 
Location: az
13,271 posts, read 7,684,261 times
Reputation: 9196
It's all about the turn out.

The polls are pretty much meaningless at this point

the battleground states will be close

Aa turnout is down and for at least this election the Hispanic vote won't make up the difference.

Then there's the sanders supporters who are either sitting this out or voting 3rd party.

Prediction :

269
269

On the other hand if it breaks big it's likely to go trump way.
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