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I'm not so sure, but I hope you're correct. The Clinton campaign needs to make sure people show up to vote. All the signs, rallies, Facebook pages or whatever people use to show their support of a candidate won't matter if people don't vote. I think she'll win Florida, however, even if it's not by much. She currently leads in every minority group. She also leads by a huge margin among Jewish voters.
Trump's ground game in Florida (and everywhere) is rather impotent.
"...The Marion County GOP headquarters in Ocala, Florida, is haunted. More specifically, the former movie theater that housed the headquarters was haunted, until it was torn down this summer to make way for a parking lot. And yet, for Republicans looking to volunteer in Ocala, the county GOP’s website still lists its address as the recently razed home of “Morris” the ghost.
Directing would-be volunteers to demolished buildings (and their now-homeless ghosts) is just one risk of outsourcing field operations to state and local parties..."
Trump's ground game in Florida (and everywhere) is rather impotent.
"...The Marion County GOP headquarters in Ocala, Florida, is haunted. More specifically, the former movie theater that housed the headquarters was haunted, until it was torn down this summer to make way for a parking lot. And yet, for Republicans looking to volunteer in Ocala, the county GOP’s website still lists its address as the recently razed home of “Morris†the ghost.
Directing would-be volunteers to demolished buildings (and their now-homeless ghosts) is just one risk of outsourcing field operations to state and local parties..."
I remember when I lived in the area, the GOP HQ was in a rundown building between Ocala and Silver Springs... Had a sign on it "the emerging majority".
The Florida Puerto Ricans ("Mickyricans") will be what halts Trump's chances in Florida if you ask me. The Republican Party is letting an opportunity slip through their fingers ... but hey, they seem to have a knack for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory
I'm starting to think Trump won't even be defeated by Puerto Ricans.
I think he is gonna lose Palm Beach county bigly based on the people who have returned their ballots. Why? I have no idea. Maybe posting all those anti semitic images didn't help.
Palm Beach county
Republicans*** 6,980
Democrats**** 12,254
NPA 3,513
According to Time republicans in FL outnumber democrats in absentee ballot voting while democrats outnumber republicans in Early in person voting.
So when FL Governor Rick Scott saw that in 2008 republicans outnumbered democrats by 15% in absentee ballots, he decided to cut the early voting in-person dates from 14 to 8 and advised people to mail their ballots instead. The result was that republicans advantage in absentee ballots decreased from 15% to 5% in 2012.
Right now 316,400 republicans and 305,626 democrats have mailed their ballots back. The difference right now is around 3.5%. It's still too early though. We might need more data.
aah, those pesky polls. always so accurate, never biased.
oh those polls.
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