Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 11-07-2016, 06:15 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,187 posts, read 19,459,426 times
Reputation: 5303

Advertisements

Overall Early Vote dem advantage in Florida currently stands at 87,249

https://countyballotfiles.elections....ts/PublicStats
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 11-07-2016, 06:26 AM
 
Location: Mount Dora, FL
3,079 posts, read 3,121,138 times
Reputation: 1577
Quote:
Originally Posted by mlb View Post
Trump's gonna get his wall....... a wall of Latino Voters in NV, AZ, TX, Florida, NC.......

Arizona leads nation in early-voting surge by Latinos


Check out @phoenikera's Tweet: https://twitter.com/phoenikera/statu...c_ref=NEWSFEED
Yes, he is. Someone the other night on Foxnews said he's going to get his wall alright...just not the one he envisioned. Latino's are building a yuuuuge wall around the WH to prevent loser donald from getting in!
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:17 AM
 
1,400 posts, read 863,606 times
Reputation: 824
Quote:
Originally Posted by 1grin_g0 View Post
With 4 days remaining ballots returned in Colorado: 35.3% democrat and 35.3% republican

The trend continues as democrats continue spiraling downward. If you dig a little deeper in to the unaffiliated numbers, at this point, it is much more favorable to republicans than it was in 2012.

Republicans overtake Democrats in early voting | FOX31 Denver


drip, drip, drip


The data available as of yesterday shows republicans at 35.2% and democrats with 34.8%. The trend continues.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:34 AM
 
1,432 posts, read 1,091,763 times
Reputation: 333
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Overall Early Vote dem advantage in Florida currently stands at 87,249

https://countyballotfiles.elections....ts/PublicStats
Doesn't necessarily mean 87K. That is how people registered, not necessarily voted. Could be a 100K lead, but could be alot less. Over 1 million votes not affiliated, and who knows how many crossed over. I read where there are alot of voters in the mix who did not vote in 2012....so could be latino vote, or folks wanting to make a statement this go around...
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:52 AM
 
10,513 posts, read 5,165,182 times
Reputation: 14056
Quote:
Originally Posted by 1grin_g0 View Post
The data available as of yesterday shows republicans at 35.2% and democrats with 34.8%. The trend continues.
re: Colorado

Yes but polls consistently show that not all Repubs vote for Trump and not all Dems vote for Clinton. One of the last polls out of Colorado (PPP) shows 85% of Dems are voting for Clinton while 79% of Repubs are voting for Trump. So we can project the vote share among the two parties:

35.2% x 0.79 = 27.8% Trump
34.8% x 0.85 = 29.6% Clinton

Trump will need almost 2% more Repub ballots than Dem ballots to tie Clinton in the two-party contest.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:53 AM
 
Location: Silver Spring, MD
2,122 posts, read 1,793,443 times
Reputation: 2304
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Overall Early Vote dem advantage in Florida currently stands at 87,249

https://countyballotfiles.elections....ts/PublicStats
Quote:
Originally Posted by Secchamps98 View Post
Doesn't necessarily mean 87K. That is how people registered, not necessarily voted. Could be a 100K lead, but could be alot less. Over 1 million votes not affiliated, and who knows how many crossed over. I read where there are alot of voters in the mix who did not vote in 2012....so could be latino vote, or folks wanting to make a statement this go around...
I think it's most likely a bigger lead for Clinton since most results I have seen show that more republicans are voting for Clinton than you have Dems voting for Trump. Unless the others and non affiliated break hugely in Trumps favor he's probably well over 100K behind.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:00 AM
 
51,652 posts, read 25,813,568 times
Reputation: 37889
Quote:
Originally Posted by kingtodd View Post
Yes, he is. Someone the other night on Foxnews said he's going to get his wall alright...just not the one he envisioned. Latino's are building a yuuuuge wall around the WH to prevent loser donald from getting in!
Good one.

Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:01 AM
 
51,652 posts, read 25,813,568 times
Reputation: 37889
Quote:
Originally Posted by shellymdnv View Post
I think it's most likely a bigger lead for Clinton since most results I have seen show that more republicans are voting for Clinton than you have Dems voting for Trump. Unless the others and non affiliated break hugely in Trumps favor he's probably well over 100K behind.
Seem to recall reading that in Florida, 29% of Republicans reported voting for Clinton, while only 6% of Democrats report voting for Trump.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:06 AM
 
51,652 posts, read 25,813,568 times
Reputation: 37889
Quote:
Originally Posted by Secchamps98 View Post
Doesn't necessarily mean 87K. That is how people registered, not necessarily voted. Could be a 100K lead, but could be alot less. Over 1 million votes not affiliated, and who knows how many crossed over. I read where there are alot of voters in the mix who did not vote in 2012....so could be latino vote, or folks wanting to make a statement this go around...
One of my relatives hasn't voted since he voted for Reagan as California governor ages ago. Said Reagan ruined California and then went on to ruin the nation and felt like Reagan had the wool pulled over his eyes, that Reagan was not honest in his campaigning. So has not voted since.

He registered and voted this time. He may be an isolated example, but it may be that a lot of folks who think what difference does it make anyway, may actually be getting out to vote this time.

Whether that breaks for or against Trump, remains to be seen.

Keep reading that Latino registration drives and GOTV programs have stepped up their game this time around. We'll see.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:17 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,187 posts, read 19,459,426 times
Reputation: 5303
Quote:
Originally Posted by Secchamps98 View Post
Doesn't necessarily mean 87K. That is how people registered, not necessarily voted. Could be a 100K lead, but could be alot less. Over 1 million votes not affiliated, and who knows how many crossed over. I read where there are alot of voters in the mix who did not vote in 2012....so could be latino vote, or folks wanting to make a statement this go around...
That would be correct. 87k is the advantage in registered voters who have returned ballots, but doesn't everyone voted that way. I have seen reports that the npa vote leans morr Latino which will likely help Clinton.

Also regarding some of the polls with Republicans voting Clinton and Democrats voting Trump is a difference between how someone is registered and how they id.

It has changed somewhat due to affiliation changes, but northern Florida still tends to have a decent amount of Registered Democrats that vote increasingly Republican and might id that way. Likewise in southern Florida you have quite a few registered Republicans that vote increasingly Democratic. This is probably the most true with the Cuban population which was once heavily Republican, but have trended more D.

So while noting how each side has voted so far (according to the polls anyway) might be a good indicator, it might not be a complete one because party id doesn't always match up with party registration.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 09:38 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top