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Old 11-06-2016, 09:23 AM
 
Location: East Bay, CA
4,871 posts, read 6,261,513 times
Reputation: 4297

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Clinton 323
Trump 215

 
Old 11-07-2016, 04:27 PM
 
491 posts, read 242,011 times
Reputation: 219
The final electoral tally will be 322 for Hillary Clinton, 210 for Donald Trump, and 6 for Evan McMullin. Essentially, all states vote for the same party as in 2012 with the following exceptions:

*McMullin wins in UT (which was carried by Romney)
*Clinton wins in NC (which was also carried by Romney)
*Trump wins in IA, OH, & ME's Second Congressional District (which were all carried by Obama).

UT is the state that I am most unsure about. Because polls show Trump in the lead, I would not be surprised if he won that state. Obviously, I am assuming that these polls are incorrect and that Trump's massive unpopularity with Mormons will lead to a McMullin victory.

In the popular vote, Clinton gets about 45 percent of the vote compared to Trump's 40 percent. (The minor-party candidates will receive the remaining 15 percent.) Interestingly, should these predictions hold up, Trump would do better than Romney in the electoral college while losing the popular vote by a larger margin than Romney did.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 04:29 PM
 
Location: Springfield, Ohio
12,193 posts, read 10,364,632 times
Reputation: 11201
Quote:
Originally Posted by 04kL4nD View Post

Clinton 323
Trump 215
That's pretty good, Oak. But I'm gonna go out on a limb and say my current state will overcome its stodginess and go Clinton.

Clinton 341, Trump 197
 
Old 11-07-2016, 04:32 PM
 
Location: Mount Dora, FL
2,968 posts, read 2,624,529 times
Reputation: 1423
I'm going with a beatdown. We will finally be able to put this nightmare of an election behind us. I have a feeling though that trumps bots won't go away quickly enough though.

She takes Florida, NC and OH.

Clinton: 341
Trump: 197
 
Old 11-07-2016, 04:37 PM
 
Location: Hollywood, CA
1,576 posts, read 2,525,496 times
Reputation: 1119
Here's mine. I'm going to say Trump will surprisingly win in Michigan to go along with Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Maine 2nd district. While I give Hillary Colorado, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. .

http://www.270towin.com/presidential...maps/RJy8m.png
 
Old 11-07-2016, 04:43 PM
 
491 posts, read 242,011 times
Reputation: 219
Quote:
Originally Posted by hipcat View Post
Here's mine. I'm going to say Trump will surprisingly win in Michigan to go along with Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Maine 2nd district. While I give Hillary Colorado, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. .

http://www.270towin.com/presidential...maps/RJy8m.png
Apart from UT, I think that it is possible for MI, NH, AZ, & GA to all surprise us on Election Night. In other words, given each state's demographics, a surprise Trump victory in MI or NH is possible, as is a surprise Clinton victory in AZ or GA. Regarding MI in particular, I fully remember how Sanders scored an unexpected victory over Clinton during the primaries, proving that the polls were way off.

IMO, NC will be the closest state tomorrow night, with Clinton scoring a narrow victory.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 04:43 PM
 
Location: NJ = liberalism is a mental disorder!
6,456 posts, read 4,368,024 times
Reputation: 3934
Approx.

Trump: 423
Hillary: 115
 
Old 11-07-2016, 04:47 PM
 
613 posts, read 269,980 times
Reputation: 736
Quote:
Originally Posted by lol-its-good4U View Post
Approx.

Trump: 423
Hillary: 115
LOL!!!

Hillary over 300 easily, with Florida, Nevada, Ohio, PA, NH in her pocket.

Only battleground state Trump might win is NC (and Iowa but that's lean Trump already).


http://www.270towin.com/maps/dNBkd

Last edited by Immerse; 11-07-2016 at 04:57 PM..
 
Old 11-07-2016, 05:11 PM
 
Location: Carrboro, NC
1,460 posts, read 1,437,100 times
Reputation: 1878
Quote:
Originally Posted by 04kL4nD View Post

Clinton 323
Trump 215
That is pretty much my guess as well.



I'm gonna toss McMullin a bone though. Best chance any 3rd party candidate has had to win electoral votes in a long time. I haven't seen many great polls of Utah post Comeygate so Republicans might be a little more unified now, and a little less likely to protest. But I'd still love to see that happen.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 05:34 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
18,976 posts, read 15,428,301 times
Reputation: 3946
Same as 2012 with NC & Iowa flipped. Ohio is the closest state.
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