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I suppose it will largely depend on how he does his first couple years, but if he is a disaster, I think the Republicans will mount a primary challenge in 2020.
What do you think, and who do you think would mount the challenge? Ted Cruz? Rand Paul?
I think you are wasting your time.
Trump hasn't even taken the office yet and here you are talking about 2020.
Trump might get primaried in 2020. This primary challenge may come from either his right (by somebody like Ted Cruz, Ben Sasse, or Mike Lee) or his left (by somebody like Marco Rubio, John Kasich, or Lindsey Graham). I really don't think that a primary challenge coming from Trump's left has any chance of succeeding. And it would certainly be very difficult for Trump to be defeated by a more conservative challenger for the 2020 GOP Nomination, though perhaps such a challenge could succeed if Trump doesn't fulfill many of his campaign promises.
However, I think that the topic of this thread misses the bigger point. Normally, an incumbent president is doomed if he receives a credible challenge from within his own party (witness what happened when Gerald Ford was challenged by Ronald Reagan in 1976, Jimmy Carter was challenged by Ted Kennedy in 1980, and George H.W. Bush was challenged by Pat Buchanan in 1992). However, we have to realize that Trump managed to defy all the conventional rules of politics in 2016. Thus, even if he is challenged for the Republican nomination in 2020, such a challenge could end up having little impact on his re-election chances.
Apart from a primary challenge, I'm curious if an anti-Trump Republican will run (as an Independent candidate) in the 2020 general election. If such a challenge gets underway, it could siphon off enough votes to throw the election to the Democrat. However, even here, such a challenge may still not end up having an effect on Trump's ability to win in 2020. Remember that in 1948, Harry Truman was not the only Democrat who ran in that year's general election. Two independent candidates--Strom Thurmond and Henry Wallace--also ran, yet Truman still managed to win re-election.
I suppose it will largely depend on how he does his first couple years, but if he is a disaster, I think the Republicans will mount a primary challenge in 2020.
What do you think, and who do you think would mount the challenge? Ted Cruz? Rand Paul?
of course they will and why not? I don't think this takes a brain even to figure out. As for who, that is anyone's guess; maybe either of the two you mentioned but unlikely, maybe Rubio or maybe someone we haven't even thought about; a female might be a choice or a minority other than Cruz.
More important: why are you even bringing this up when he hasn't even taken office? I can't believe some people. Give him time, he might be the greatest think since electricity or he may decide on his own not to run again. But for now, lets do our best to support him and wish him well for our country's sake.
I suppose it will largely depend on how he does his first couple years, but if he is a disaster, I think the Republicans will mount a primary challenge in 2020.
What do you think, and who do you think would mount the challenge? Ted Cruz? Rand Paul?
This is RICH!!!
The guy has not even taken office to see how he governs and the warmongering globalist, already planning 2020, as if their recalled crystal balls have all the sudden fixed themselves.
From what we have learned from this entire ordeal. 180º is going to happen, from what that recalled crystal ball has told you.
I suppose it will largely depend on how he does his first couple years, but if he is a disaster, I think the Republicans will mount a primary challenge in 2020.
What do you think, and who do you think would mount the challenge? Ted Cruz? Rand Paul?
If Russia doesn't interferes, Trump will be easily defeated. Trump didn't run a campaign of policy in 2016 and will not run one in 2020.
Trump might get primaried in 2020. This primary challenge may come from either his right (by somebody like Ted Cruz, Ben Sasse, or Mike Lee) or his left (by somebody like Marco Rubio, John Kasich, or Lindsey Graham). I really don't think that a primary challenge coming from Trump's left has any chance of succeeding. And it would certainly be very difficult for Trump to be defeated by a more conservative challenger for the 2020 GOP Nomination, though perhaps such a challenge could succeed if Trump doesn't fulfill many of his campaign promises.
However, I think that the topic of this thread misses the bigger point. Normally, an incumbent president is doomed if he receives a credible challenge from within his own party (witness what happened when Gerald Ford was challenged by Ronald Reagan in 1976, Jimmy Carter was challenged by Ted Kennedy in 1980, and George H.W. Bush was challenged by Pat Buchanan in 1992). However, we have to realize that Trump managed to defy all the conventional rules of politics in 2016. Thus, even if he is challenged for the Republican nomination in 2020, such a challenge could end up having little impact on his re-election chances.
Apart from a primary challenge, I'm curious if an anti-Trump Republican will run (as an Independent candidate) in the 2020 general election. If such a challenge gets underway, it could siphon off enough votes to throw the election to the Democrat. However, even here, such a challenge may still not end up having an effect on Trump's ability to win in 2020. Remember that in 1948, Harry Truman was not the only Democrat who ran in that year's general election. Two independent candidates--Strom Thurmond and Henry Wallace--also ran, yet Truman still managed to win re-election.
I don't think we would see a challenge based on the desire for a more ideologically Conservative candidate. Mike Pence is definitely to the right of Trump in ideology, and I don't think many Republicans have a grudge against Pence.
Trump will impeached by his own party waaaaay before then.
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