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Checking on the poll, 11 of 35 votes so far believe the Senate is going to flip in 2018. Could anyone let us know what seats you think are going to switch to Republican to Democrat next year?
Democrats are defending states that include:
* Indiana
* Missouri
* Montana
* North Dakota
* West Virginia
Republicans are defending a small number of very strong red states, and just a few that are potentially more competitive:
* Arizona
* Nevada
Are you assuming that Democrats will hold all of their seats, then pick up both Arizona and Nevada? That would get the Senate to 50-50, and remember Pence as VP would break tied votes. I just don't see the third Democratic pickup - would it be Texas, Nebraska, Mississippi, Alabama or Utah? Sounds impossible to me.
Look kids, its simply not going to happen in 2018. Thirty-three states have Senate seats up for re-election: Of those 33, 25 seats are in blue states, 10 seats in states in which Trump carried, and 5 of which by double digits. This demonstrates precisely Democrats' handicap of concentrating the vast majority of their support in urban areas. It simply doesn't matter if 1 or 1 million people in a deep blue district vote for a Democrat. What matters is if Democrats can turn a red seat blue. Trump has already demonstrated that he's capable of turning blue to red. The best you can hope for in 2018 is that Trump voters stay home.
Look kids, its simply not going to happen in 2018. Thirty-three states have Senate seats up for re-election: Of those 33, 25 seats are in blue states, 10 seats in states in which Trump carried, and 5 of which by double digits. This demonstrates precisely Democrats' handicap of concentrating the vast majority of their support in urban areas. It simply doesn't matter if 1 or 1 million people in a deep blue district vote for a Democrat. What matters is if Democrats can turn a red seat blue. Trump has already demonstrated that he's capable of turning blue to red. The best you can hope for in 2018 is that Trump voters stay home.
Agreed with your main points. Just to be precise, there are 34 Senate seats up (25 Democrat, 9 Republican) since there is a special election coinciding with the midterms for the Alabama seat that Jeff Sessions departed to serve as Attorney General. This should make virtually no difference as far as the expected balance of the Senate, however.
An anti-Trump wave in 2018 could not shift the Senate D. At best they might pick up 2 seats (Nevada and Arizona if a true not-job successfully primaries the current R.) Indiana will be a definite loss. Manchin and Heitkamp will be hard D holds and Missouri would be an easier D hold if they can run their 2016 candidate instead of McAskill.
2020 will be the big test since its both a presidential year and the first re-election for the big R class from 2014. I think Colorado is a definite pick up and then North Carolina comes into play. The next states are an odd mix of states that vote R at the top but go D in other races like Iowa, Montana, possibly Alaska. I think we start to see regional and state political realignments kick in for both parties as well.
With Hillary getting out there running her mouth about resisting, maybe when she is pushing up daisies and probably not until then. She is a poison pill for the party and they must rid themselves of her. The more the liberals and Hillary and her sidekicks stir the pot, the less chance the Democrats will ever rise to the top again. Great news for me. Nationalism is the only way to go!
My advice to the Democratic Party: Pull yourselves together and stop being the party of tears and gender bashing as a start at least.
Actually Donald Trump had good advice for the Democratic party shortly after winning .... the Clintons should be relegated to history. However, it seems like the Democratic party is unable to do this.
Look kids, its simply not going to happen in 2018. Thirty-three states have Senate seats up for re-election: Of those 33, 25 seats are in blue states, 10 seats in states in which Trump carried, and 5 of which by double digits. This demonstrates precisely Democrats' handicap of concentrating the vast majority of their support in urban areas. It simply doesn't matter if 1 or 1 million people in a deep blue district vote for a Democrat. What matters is if Democrats can turn a red seat blue. Trump has already demonstrated that he's capable of turning blue to red. The best you can hope for in 2018 is that Trump voters stay home.
Look kids, its simply not going to happen in 2018. Thirty-three states have Senate seats up for re-election: Of those 33, 25 seats are in blue states, 10 seats in states in which Trump carried, and 5 of which by double digits. This demonstrates precisely Democrats' handicap of concentrating the vast majority of their support in urban areas. It simply doesn't matter if 1 or 1 million people in a deep blue district vote for a Democrat. What matters is if Democrats can turn a red seat blue. Trump has already demonstrated that he's capable of turning blue to red. The best you can hope for in 2018 is that Trump voters stay home.
Have you checked the temperature of Hell recently, to see if it's fallen below 32F yet?
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