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Old 04-12-2017, 02:50 PM
 
8,085 posts, read 4,415,698 times
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I don't think your anecdotal 'research' is better than the WSJ, which is what the AJC quoted in showing almost 9 million coming into the race for Mr Ossoff. From out of state money. What you are seeing is most likely The Republican Congressional Campaign Committee. Dems have one too, which is probably where Ossoff's support comes from.

Mrs Handel was a good County Commission Chair, a so so Secretary of State and is not who I'd favor as the one to carry the republican banner. There are several viable Republican candidates, only one unknown from the Democrat side. Where are the local Democrat candidates?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jstarling View Post
From the number of daily mailings I get, the money is coming from outside conservative pacs.
Most just anti-Ossoff. very few backing a single Rep. candidate. Except Karen Handel----remember her? (Hint: Susan Komen foundation)
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Old 04-14-2017, 02:53 PM
 
Location: Springfield, Ohio
12,193 posts, read 10,407,297 times
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It seems most will be voting Ossoff just to stick it to Trump, including many Republicans in the district. 2018 could be very similar for the GOP what 2010 was for Democrats.

Georgia voters in this reliably Republican district may be preparing to 'stick it' to Trump - LA Times
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Old 04-15-2017, 06:52 AM
 
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There is certainly an element of that to this election - I am local, though not in the 6th district. Yet, this groundswell of positivity, eventuality of support for a Dem candidate seems so reminiscent of Mrs Clinton's campaign last summer and fall. If Ossoff wins either without or with a runoff, it more Republican internecine warfare and perhaps complacency, than anything.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Natural510 View Post
It seems most will be voting Ossoff just to stick it to Trump, including many Republicans in the district. 2018 could be very similar for the GOP what 2010 was for Democrats.

Georgia voters in this reliably Republican district may be preparing to 'stick it' to Trump - LA Times
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Old 04-15-2017, 09:22 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
19,017 posts, read 15,472,483 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by earthlyfather View Post
There is certainly an element of that to this election - I am local, though not in the 6th district. Yet, this groundswell of positivity, eventuality of support for a Dem candidate seems so reminiscent of Mrs Clinton's campaign last summer and fall. If Ossoff wins either without or with a runoff, it more Republican internecine warfare and perhaps complacency, than anything.
Perhaps, that could play a role, but the Trump factor is certainly a major reason why it could happen and why this once ruby red district is now in play. It went from Romney 23.3, to Trump 1.5, that is a massive swing.

There were only 5 districts in the entire country that swung more on the Presidential level (either way) than GA-6, compared to 2012. One was a pro-Trump swing in rural western Minnesota, the other four were all in Utah, and there were certainly other factors at play there
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Old 04-15-2017, 09:35 AM
 
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Both, your and mine are personal opinions. If you are a reasonable person, then you will agree it is some of both. Actual correct and accurate analysis will be after the primary or June 20 run-off, if there is a run-off.

I gave up pissing contests when I was about 8 or 9.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Perhaps, that could play a role, but the Trump factor is certainly a major reason why it could happen and why this once ruby red district is now in play. It went from Romney 23.3, to Trump 1.5, that is a massive swing.

There were only 5 districts in the entire country that swung more on the Presidential level (either way) than GA-6, compared to 2012. One was a pro-Trump swing in rural western Minnesota, the other four were all in Utah, and there were certainly other factors at play there
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Old 04-15-2017, 10:17 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
19,017 posts, read 15,472,483 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by earthlyfather View Post
Both, your and mine are personal opinions. If you are a reasonable person, then you will agree it is some of both. Actual correct and accurate analysis will be after the primary or June 20 run-off, if there is a run-off.

I gave up pissing contests when I was about 8 or 9.
We will certainly know more than and I'm not looking for a pissing contest. There are certainly issues with the GOP among themselves in the district, which is bound to happen when there are so many candidates and "The Club for Growth" gets involved in a Primary. However, the simple fact that this is a fairly affluent, well educated, white-collar suburban district that swung more than 20 points against Trump is the major factor here.

If the district didn't swing so heavily, it wouldn't be regarded as such a potential fight on both sides even with the internal GOP issues unless perhaps a Akin or Murdoch type candidate emerged.
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Old 04-15-2017, 02:33 PM
 
12,639 posts, read 7,310,823 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
We will certainly know more than and I'm not looking for a pissing contest. There are certainly issues with the GOP among themselves in the district, which is bound to happen when there are so many candidates and "The Club for Growth" gets involved in a Primary. However, the simple fact that this is a fairly affluent, well educated, white-collar suburban district that swung more than 20 points against Trump is the major factor here.

If the district didn't swing so heavily, it wouldn't be regarded as such a potential fight on both sides even with the internal GOP issues unless perhaps a Akin or Murdoch type candidate emerged.
How did your 2016 predictions turn out?
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Old 04-15-2017, 03:47 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
19,017 posts, read 15,472,483 times
Reputation: 3956
Quote:
Originally Posted by LoveToRow View Post
How did your 2016 predictions turn out?
Crappy, but better than your 2012 predictions....


FWIW, I'm not even predicting Ossoff will win yet, I was mainly discussing the dynamics of the district.

With that being said, if I were to predict, I think the Democrats will get the majority of the votes on Tuesday, but Ossoff will not break the 50% barrier himself (probably be in the 45-47% range with the rest of the Democrats combined in the 6-8% range) it is really hard to predict the GOP field right now, and without knowing that or what shapes up over the net two months it is way too early to predict a run off.
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Old 04-15-2017, 07:40 PM
 
Location: Pyongjang
5,495 posts, read 2,327,400 times
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Default Now the Democrats say they will win in Georgia lol

After Hillarys landslide win and the special election win in Kansas, now the libs are saying Georgia is next. You can't make this stuff up lol

Is Georgia Poised for a Democratic Upset? - POLITICO Magazine

Quote:
Enjeti’s frustrations point to a dilemma for Democrats, who are hoping to pick up a seat from Republicans and embarrass the president. In December, Trump named Price as his pick to be secretary of health and human services, setting the stage for Ossoff’s surprisingly strong run.

Of course, similar hopes were pinned on the April 11 special election for an open seat in the fourth district in Kansas, where strong polling for Democratic challenger James Thompson led to Democratic optimism and GOP anxiety — and a last-minute infusion of cash and ground support. Thompson’s surprisingly narrow loss in a district Trump won by 27 percent points in November has Democrats hopeful that they can win Price’s seat and build momentum heading into the 2018 midterms.
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Old 04-15-2017, 07:42 PM
 
44,940 posts, read 17,878,270 times
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LOL!

Democrats got plastered in KS special election. Yet they say it's a win because they only lost by 8 pts. LOL

I guess they will do the same in GA.

The Democrat can't win elections anymore between NY and LA.
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