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The Special Election in GA-6 has started to receive considerable attention. This is the seat vacated by Tom Price. Democrats are pinning their hopes on 30 year old Jon Ossoff.
The Special Election is being held on April 18th as a Jungle Primary. If any candidate receives 50% of the vote they win outright on the 18th. If no one receives 50% of the vote, those who finish in the top 2 in the jungle primary (regardless of party) will have a runoff election on June 20th.
The district is primarily located in the northern Atlanta suburbs, and has traditionally been very Republican. This is Newt's old district. Price won the district by 23 in 2016, but that was less than any of his previous margins. Trump did win the district as well, but it swung HARD against him. Trump won it by 1.5%, Romney won it in 2012 by 23 points. The district is the wealthiest in Georgia by a considerable margin and has the highest education levels in the state as well by a large margin.
I am thinking that Ossoff will fall just short of 50% in the jungle primary. The election in June will depend on whether he faces Gray or Handel, he can beat Gray but would likely lose to Handel since she is less polarizing. I think it will be very, very close either way though, even if Ossoff loses in June he will likely come within single digits of winning ... and that alone will be a stunner considering that GA-6 is a historical Republican stronghold.
I live just outside the 6th district, but have noticed a lot of signs for Dan Moody on major roads so maybe he will be a contender for the runoff. My guess is that Ossoff will achieve a significantly higher vote percentage than past Democrats, but actually winning this district will be difficult especially as his links with the national party become more apparent. One interesting fact is that if he wins, Ossoff will be the youngest member of Congress, taking over that title from Elise Stefanik of New York's 21st district (she is 32).
I live just outside the 6th district, but have noticed a lot of signs for Dan Moody on major roads so maybe he will be a contender for the runoff. My guess is that Ossoff will achieve a significantly higher vote percentage than past Democrats, but actually winning this district will be difficult especially as his links with the national party become more apparent. One interesting fact is that if he wins, Ossoff will be the youngest member of Congress, taking over that title from Elise Stefanik of New York's 21st district (she is 32).
Perhaps, but keep in mind there is no one you could tie closer to the national Democrats than Hillary Clinton and she got within 1.5.
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Originally Posted by Smash255
Perhaps, but keep in mind there is no one you could tie closer to the national Democrats than Hillary Clinton and she got within 1.5.
Hmm, and that is the most interesting part about this. Donald Trump may be so hated that the district does shift.
I honestly think Democrats are putting their hopes in the wrong situation though.
Last edited by dsjj251; 04-01-2017 at 10:18 PM..
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