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Based upon the latest FEC quarterly financial statements, Cook Political is changing the status on 7 races; they’re not shifting to Democrat favored, but in each case it lowers the probability of a Republican hold.
In the last quarter, Democratic challengers have outraised the Republican candidate(s) in 58 currently held R seats. On the flip side, a Republican has outraised the Democrats in 6 districts currently held by the D’s.
As far as the total ratings of seats deemed to be potentially competitive (less than solid rating), there are 84 Republican seats so listed, versus 16 Democratic ones.
Status:
"everybody getting reported now.."
(set 21 days ago)
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,550 posts, read 16,536,658 times
Reputation: 6033
Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp
That is not factual in Southern WV either. It's probably +50 (D).
Registered =/= identify
I believe Cook does not go by secretary of state numbers, they send out questionnaires and ask people do they identify more with Rs or D's and what are their beliefs .
I believe Cook does not go by secretary of state numbers, they send out questionnaires and ask people do they identify more with Rs or D's and what are their beliefs .
I think they make a wild guess based upon the last election. Ojeda is going to win. Trump only won southern WV because of Obama's and Hillary's position on coal. Joe Manchin will win also, especially if he is running against Blankenship. Blankenship might not be able to get a single vote in WV-3. Well, the governor may vote for him. (not sure if he votes in 2 or 3.)
You can't base anything on the Presidential election. Sanders even beat Hillary in WV.
Status:
"everybody getting reported now.."
(set 21 days ago)
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,550 posts, read 16,536,658 times
Reputation: 6033
Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp
I think they make a wild guess based upon the last election. Ojeda is going to win. Trump only won southern WV because of Obama's and Hillary's position on coal. Joe Manchin will win also, especially if he is running against Blankenship. Blankenship might not be able to get a single vote in WV-3. Well, the governor may vote for him. (not sure if he votes in 2 or 3.)
You can't base anything on the Presidential election. Sanders even beat Hillary in WV.
Cook clearly doesn't just go by presidential years though. .
Look we agree there are cross over districts, but at the same time, there are cross over candidates. Ojeda isn't exactly a " progressive" at least on some issues .
Cook clearly doesn't just go by presidential years though. .
Look we agree there are cross over districts, but at the same time, there are cross over candidates. Ojeda isn't exactly a " progressive" at least on some issues .
He isn't much of one at all. Southern WV isn't a very progressive area either. For lack of a better description WV-3 is old school (D). Back when (D)'s cared more about the people than Wall Street. Ojeda was a leader in getting the teachers a raise over getting the upper percent a tax cut.
Ojeda will help the national (D)'s less than Joe Manchin.
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