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I agree that this will be worth watching, and also will be a dilemma for GOP candidates in swing districts.
Last year we had an election to replace a GOP state senator who had died. The district used to be more conservative but now is dominated by young techies who lean left. The GOP candidate ran as a non-Trump supporter(said she hadn't voted for him). She ran a good campaign, and the Dem opponent was not great, but she still lost 55-45.
Unless there is a major economic downturn before Nov, my guess would be that most GOP candidates will be better off to run as Trump supporters than not.
Given the support for Trump among Republicans I think you are right.
Most of us have watched politics long enough to see this played out on both sides; we have had presidents who can help with their presence and presidents who should stay out. For right now in most GOP races, President Trump will help. Tennessee was a great example. Don't know if he can get Blackburn elected or not, but I do believe it will help.
Her Democratic opponent does not have anyone like Trump to call on. '04, '08, '12 & '16 Republicans took nearly 60% of the vote. https://www.270towin.com/states/Tennessee
I think Trump would be a help in the Senate races since those are mostly on home turf for Rs. Indiana, Montana, and North Dakota are all solid R states with Democratic Senators up for election. I think Missouri is the Mendoza line. Florida is Florida- he underperformed the typical winner in that state.
But I think he poses a problem in the House races which are going to be decided in suburbs and exurbs that are more neutral or moderate Republican bastions that are not as favorable to Trump.
I also think Republicans accept reality better than Dems. So many Ds tried to run away from Obama in 2010 and particularly 2014. They didn't convince a single R or moderate to vote for them and they basically turned off Obama's core supporters. I think the Rs realize you need to motivate someone and are casting their lot with Trumps base which has stayed engaged.
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